TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$95,848
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$108,059

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $95,848 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4133…5e70backed No78c16,898$13,206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,691.522,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x880a…e678backed No78c10,390$8,104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,285.8966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes23c9,687$2,207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,206.682,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes22c8,112$1,785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,784.6885048.4%411 W · 439 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2753…c474backed No78c4,386$3,421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$964.92450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-32.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd43…cd41backed No77c4,178$3,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$948.592875%21 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick72cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes23c3,829$881 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$880.671,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe49…9c28backed No77c3,593$2,766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$826.341866.7%12 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick70cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x95a9…4352backed No77c2,463$1,896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$566.393881.6%31 W · 7 L+5.1wins+0.13per pick68cpaid+24.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed Yes22c2,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44090751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12c6…0691backed No77c2,000$1,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4604643.5%20 W · 26 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-20.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes22c1,653$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.731,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07eb…95a8backed Yes23c1,500$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3451020%2 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-56.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked Yes23c1,422$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.0613939.6%55 W · 84 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x16f2…f62cbacked Yes23c1,300$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-22.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa42…2ff3backed Yes1c1,059$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.144216.7%7 W · 35 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick10cpaid+80.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb44e…c2c6backed No77c1,000$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2304250%21 W · 21 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes22c1,000$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22019735.5%70 W · 127 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No77c943.03$723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.0152454.2%284 W · 240 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2733…ac38backed Yes24c800$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1901040%4 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick29cpaid+18.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No79c760.84$601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.026,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x45e1…c872backed Yes2c645.16$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.033850%19 W · 19 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8479…37f8backed Yes16c620$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.23531.4%11 W · 24 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick23cpaid+44.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes23c534$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.8230143.9%132 W · 169 L-16.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Yes13c518.87$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.4161143.7%267 W · 344 L+0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0df…8f41backed No78c517$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.747176.1%54 W · 17 L+5.0wins+0.07per pick69cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x447e…9710backed Yes22c517$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.7411346%52 W · 61 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5351…9b3cbacked No77c510.78$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.486261.3%38 W · 24 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No76c495.45$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.912,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50ff…b0e6backed No78c443.03$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.473560%21 W · 14 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes23c440$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.211223.2%26 W · 86 L-10.0wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-26.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x43df…fdb0backed Yes23c434.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick37cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17cb…3ab8backed Yes24c416.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013834.1%47 W · 91 L-11.9wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-23.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes23c413$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.991,26433.7%426 W · 838 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8675…e850backed Yes23c403.63$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.843630.6%11 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick31cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe486…0c26backed Yes5c400$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205825.9%15 W · 43 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc471…abe0backed No78c342$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.24333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick61cpaid-57.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked No77c323.28$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.359532.6%31 W · 64 L-0.1wins0.00per pick33cpaid-25.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb441…89a1backed Yes23c300$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$691163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.20per pick43cpaid+60%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe822…f89fbacked No78c270.73$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.561080%8 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.21per pick59cpaid+72.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5528…c098backed Yes24c266.67$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-39.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes23c261$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.0368942.2%291 W · 398 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x219e…14d9backed No78c256.41$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.4113565.2%88 W · 47 L-0.3wins0.00per pick65cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcddb…0d22backed No77c256.22$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.935164.7%33 W · 18 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick60cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c78…5a57backed Yes23c256$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.88450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-31.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79e9…6c98backed No78c255.74$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.261145.5%5 W · 6 L-2.6wins-0.24per pick69cpaid-40.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed No78c238.1$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.3849753.7%267 W · 230 L+27.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Yes22c234.5$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.5946651.9%242 W · 224 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked Yes23c184.26$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.3832453.1%172 W · 152 L+13.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x21e6…cbd8backed Yes23c182.08$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.884353.5%23 W · 20 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+18.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc0a7…90f4backed Yes23c177.65$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.861030%3 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Yes23c169.57$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3939052.6%205 W · 185 L+19.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4e05…1b97backed No77c165.06$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.962035%7 W · 13 L-4.0wins-0.20per pick55cpaid-42.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xada4…c344backed Yes23c160.87$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373836.8%14 W · 24 L-4.4wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-32.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4d79…2f2fbacked Yes24c150$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-48.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbfd…46f8backed Yes19c145.83$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272832.1%9 W · 19 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6768…692dbacked Yes23c119.13$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.410846.3%50 W · 58 L+0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid+10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Yes23c108.7$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2540841.9%171 W · 237 L-8.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e6f…eb72backed No78c100.64$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.147972.2%57 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick71cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe85f…7f69backed Yes23c100$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233818.4%7 W · 31 L-7.6wins-0.20per pick38cpaid-38.7%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xd257…d215backed Yes16c100$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1645224.8%112 W · 340 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick22cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfccd…02d6backed No76c99.99$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244753.2%25 W · 22 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Yes23c95.13$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.8839948.4%193 W · 206 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7ff…5c2abacked Yes23c90$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.71338.5%5 W · 8 L-3.3wins-0.25per pick64cpaid-42.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Yes23c88.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.361,00646.6%469 W · 537 L-20.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d97…7d3bbacked Yes23c86.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204533.3%15 W · 30 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+30.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c37…3fd1backed Yes24c83.87$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.131338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-33.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x06d5…0417backed Yes24c83.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2016142.9%69 W · 92 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-1.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a30…b094backed Yes24c83.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206946.4%32 W · 37 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f1f…feaebacked Yes22c82.45$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.268933.7%30 W · 59 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-18.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed No78c82.18$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.3421049%103 W · 107 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed No80c72.95$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.5925530.2%77 W · 178 L-22.1wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-46.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes24c70$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.845142.6%192 W · 259 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc81a…c368backed Yes22c68$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.964742.6%20 W · 27 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+22.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x237f…e76ebacked Yes24c65$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick29cpaid-62.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc91…0fdbbacked No77c64.94$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.9418265.9%120 W · 62 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8405…2163backed Yes23c63.83$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6811636.2%42 W · 74 L-7.7wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a33…237dbacked Yes16c62.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102429.2%7 W · 17 L-2.9wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-22.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6e30…01b0backed Yes23c52.17$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129335.5%33 W · 60 L-6.2wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd302…0311backed Yes23c52.17$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-18%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51ad…5e56backed No77c51.95$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.955955.9%33 W · 26 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d8a…4d5fbacked No78c51.28$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.28988.9%8 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.16per pick73cpaid+23.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed No77c50$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.520958.9%123 W · 86 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb7bd…616cbacked No77c50$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.55255.8%29 W · 23 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa45f…f4d8backed Yes23c50$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+61.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd141…5e5fbacked Yes23c47.83$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111827.8%5 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick25cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a50…ea80backed Yes23c47.48$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9212236.1%44 W · 78 L+8.4wins+0.07per pick29cpaid+29.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed Yes23c46.84$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6822658.8%133 W · 93 L+11.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf24f…15b2backed Yes23c45$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.359936.4%36 W · 63 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xac3f…1966backed No77c31$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.137252.8%38 W · 34 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e2d…a9b1backed No77c30.43$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72171.4%15 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick69cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed No77c26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.9835661.2%218 W · 138 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x26eb…0723backed No77c25.91$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.91333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick66cpaid-56.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf106…0ccdbacked No78c25.24$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.552100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab30…379fbacked No77c25$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.753860.5%23 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a24…3845backed No77c25$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.7520858.7%122 W · 86 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc604…5438backed No78c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.5425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.37per pick62cpaid-67.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed No77c24.58$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.733753.1%179 W · 158 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9158…ba55backed No77c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.622961.6%141 W · 88 L+0.3wins0.00per pick61cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e76…47fabacked No77c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.5611768.4%80 W · 37 L+6.5wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+13.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.