Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Cait Conley be the Democratic nominee for NY-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xed5dbf2e63a4222099bcbaf60c4c70333b29c2940d0f127c8da2ee0920632d34
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $130,733
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $140,416
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $130,733 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 278 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc8b9…b836backed Yes | 79c | 25,000$19,834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,165.89 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +9.3wins | +0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9efd…ad00backed No | 20c | 5,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 20c | 3,679$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.36 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0748…fb1ebacked No | 15c | 3,591$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.04 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 20c | 3,411$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.54 | 147 | 29.9%44 W · 103 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…f14abacked Yes | 77c | 2,399$1,847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.82 | 143 | 56.6%81 W · 62 L | +18.5wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x37a2…775dbacked No | 21c | 2,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…05b2backed Yes | 76c | 1,987$1,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.82 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 77cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3fd…d854backed No | 20c | 1,547$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.47 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked No | 20c | 1,469$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.8 | 85 | 41.2%35 W · 50 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 20c | 1,315$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.34 | 343 | 33.5%115 W · 228 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c7…806ebacked No | 20c | 1,200$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 14c | 1,071$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.08 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e13…e968backed No | 22c | 1,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked No | 20c | 967.39$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.86 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +23%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Yes | 76c | 913.28$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.76 | 154 | 45.5%70 W · 84 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 23c | 874.43$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.75 | 334 | 21.9%73 W · 261 L | -23.8wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a72…a2abbacked No | 21c | 740.74$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.56 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 22c | 739.19$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.24 | 136 | 25.7%35 W · 101 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03e1…e180backed No | 18c | 699.99$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +3.6wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +86.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 22c | 690.99$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.52 | 154 | 31.2%48 W · 106 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed No | 10c | 648.95$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.81 | 180 | 41.1%74 W · 106 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 18c | 624.21$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.29 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed No | 16c | 613$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.73 | 210 | 33.3%70 W · 140 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2277…6604backed No | 21c | 600$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f6…0e74backed No | 22c | 594.66$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.2 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0e…c02bbacked No | 21c | 548$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.08 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 20c | 505.11$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.92 | 171 | 40.4%69 W · 102 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…2ec2backed No | 21c | 500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb68c…eda5backed No | 21c | 500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 10c | 483.1$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.04 | 90 | 10%9 W · 81 L | -20.0wins | -0.22per pick | 32cpaid | -81.2%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed No | 20c | 457.45$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.84 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 14cpaid | -92.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6718…b802backed No | 37c | 455.81$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2266…ff5abacked No | 37c | 455.16$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f0c…f907backed No | 36c | 445.13$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11b3…6139backed No | 36c | 437.28$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6350…5804backed No | 36c | 435.75$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf795…9249backed No | 36c | 433.7$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbac…6d90backed No | 36c | 431.89$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6535…ca35backed No | 36c | 431.54$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 21c | 426.2$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.82 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…d690backed No | 36c | 423.3$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a9…516abacked No | 20c | 405$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 18c | 375$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.95 | 131 | 43.5%57 W · 74 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…91d5backed No | 21c | 371.52$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.02 | 63 | 11.1%7 W · 56 L | -8.4wins | -0.13per pick | 24cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x01fa…7a59backed No | 20c | 369$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5529…e5b9backed Yes | 59c | 367.61$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.9 | 229 | 48.9%112 W · 117 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ca…50e1backed Yes | 80c | 359.17$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea52…ea25backed Yes | 80c | 350$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3825…04e8backed No | 19c | 345.97$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.75 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74cc…be60backed No | 27c | 314.78$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x714f…66d5backed No | 22c | 309.66$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.13 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d00…0121backed No | 21c | 300$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked No | 21c | 300$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 93 | 26.9%25 W · 68 L | -8.2wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9163…82aebacked No | 12c | 300$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 140 | 19.3%27 W · 113 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked No | 14c | 300$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed Yes | 43c | 273.78$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.22 | 75 | 34.7%26 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda66…3f38backed Yes | 78c | 268.02$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.02 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 68cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98ac…40d9backed No | 18c | 255$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.91 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +5.2wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe214…7bdabacked Yes | 57c | 250.87$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe41…9f23backed No | 21c | 250$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -6.1wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d5…8935backed Yes | 79c | 250$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa74b…688cbacked Yes | 57c | 248.64$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 69cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 21c | 248$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.08 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98e5…99f9backed No | 21c | 246$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7d…8218backed Yes | 57c | 232.16$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.83 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6356…cc3dbacked Yes | 57c | 228.98$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.46 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb6…3cb6backed No | 44c | 228.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5337…329abacked No | 21c | 228$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c4…7b8abacked No | 20c | 228$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6120…4906backed No | 44c | 223.72$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bff…abc6backed No | 44c | 223.5$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9be9…a5adbacked No | 44c | 223.43$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb498…3bbbbacked No | 44c | 223.33$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34d2…696fbacked Yes | 57c | 222.17$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f5d…52e9backed Yes | 57c | 219.57$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…73c6backed No | 44c | 218.54$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b38…4599backed No | 44c | 218.18$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee64…62f4backed Yes | 57c | 217.26$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.42 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd822…d998backed No | 44c | 217.05$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3030…0059backed No | 44c | 216.82$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5062…55edbacked No | 44c | 216.26$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08e8…ba32backed No | 44c | 216.09$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e8…c419backed Yes | 57c | 215.59$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f98…14d1backed No | 44c | 214.27$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea7b…cb74backed No | 44c | 214.14$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 45c | 214$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.76 | 248 | 61.7%153 W · 95 L | +24.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc864…fb14backed No | 44c | 213.22$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2196…e3d4backed No | 44c | 213.1$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c73…cc40backed No | 44c | 212.86$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe8…215bbacked No | 44c | 212.71$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b08…fe82backed No | 44c | 212.56$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8af1…4768backed No | 44c | 212.52$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1201…924abacked No | 68c | 212$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.96 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0887…076cbacked No | 44c | 211.95$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6670…e1d1backed No | 44c | 211.75$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.17 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…c664backed No | 44c | 211.68$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7785…1c26backed No | 44c | 211.23$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b12…e00fbacked No | 44c | 211.18$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Cait Conley be the Democratic nominee for NY-17?this page
- Will Beth Davidson be the Democratic nominee for NY-17?No won
- Will Effie Phillips-Staley be the Democratic nominee for NY-17?No won
- Will Jessica Reinmann be the Democratic nominee for NY-17?No won
- Will John Cappello be the Democratic nominee for NY-17?No won
- Will John Sullivan be the Democratic nominee for NY-17?No won
- Will Mike Sacks be the Democratic nominee for NY-17?No won
- Will Peter Chatzky be the Democratic nominee for NY-17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.