Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Beth Davidson be the Democratic nominee for NY-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd81e304a53cfdac107189a8ab1fe862416c4f6de3a009b3243d057eb89fa8491
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $90,699
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $96,050
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,699 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Yes | 19c | 11,025$2,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,050.47 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 79c | 4,218$3,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$893.43 | 147 | 29.9%44 W · 103 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…f14abacked No | 79c | 3,959$3,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850.52 | 143 | 56.6%81 W · 62 L | +18.5wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 79c | 3,679$2,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.35 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 12c | 3,531$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.92 | 210 | 33.3%70 W · 140 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 25c | 3,075$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.21 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 23c | 2,600$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.65 | 343 | 33.5%115 W · 228 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Yes | 26c | 1,896$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.87 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Yes | 9c | 1,574$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.66 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0748…fb1ebacked Yes | 23c | 1,402$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed Yes | 23c | 1,226$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.37 | 75 | 34.7%26 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9e…4f1abacked Yes | 10c | 1,134$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.06 | 228 | 33.8%77 W · 151 L | +13.7wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 80c | 1,071$852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.47 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc78e…4718backed Yes | 24c | 999.81$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.95 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Yes | 13c | 979.7$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.92 | 154 | 45.5%70 W · 84 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e9…bdacbacked Yes | 19c | 943.94$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.7 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 8c | 906.02$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.28 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4f…e321backed Yes | 18c | 901.28$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.23 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x897a…4194backed Yes | 11c | 813.02$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.45 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5529…e5b9backed Yes | 15c | 789.61$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.26 | 228 | 48.7%111 W · 117 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f6…0e74backed No | 77c | 688.72$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.46 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 21c | 682$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.72 | 154 | 31.2%48 W · 106 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 80c | 624.21$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.84 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb92a…f51cbacked Yes | 20c | 613.46$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.69 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x567d…f927backed Yes | 8c | 550$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 77c | 546.87$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.6 | 171 | 40.4%69 W · 102 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e13…e968backed Yes | 21c | 500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed No | 68c | 445.25$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.09 | 180 | 41.1%74 W · 106 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 78c | 419.7$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.85 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 77c | 415.21$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.5 | 136 | 25.7%35 W · 101 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…c077backed No | 80c | 404.29$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.86 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…91d5backed Yes | 20c | 399.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 63 | 11.1%7 W · 56 L | -8.4wins | -0.13per pick | 24cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 21c | 396.22$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.93 | 135 | 46.7%63 W · 72 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2955…0738backed Yes | 15c | 387.91$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.24 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x852f…3aaebacked Yes | 29c | 380$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…8bcdbacked Yes | 10c | 354.38$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.71 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc624…ee24backed Yes | 13c | 348.48$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes | 11c | 344.25$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.76 | 196 | 31.1%61 W · 135 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed Yes | 19c | 342.43$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.67 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 14cpaid | -92.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 74c | 335$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.1 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34cb…7588backed Yes | 10c | 323.63$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.76 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed Yes | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 244 | 33.2%81 W · 163 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d00…0121backed Yes | 20c | 299.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked No | 78c | 299.85$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.87 | 165 | 44.2%73 W · 92 L | +10.8wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 75c | 293.87$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.74 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed Yes | 22c | 278$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.16 | 211 | 61.1%129 W · 82 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 9c | 251.22$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.62 | 104 | 2.9%3 W · 101 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9efd…ad00backed Yes | 18c | 242.42$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.64 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5042…f296backed Yes | 20c | 235.42$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.22 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -12%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes | 18c | 230$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.44 | 126 | 43.7%55 W · 71 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98ac…40d9backed No | 79c | 218$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.02 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +5.2wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac8…77cdbacked Yes | 7c | 204.69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 196 | 43.4%85 W · 111 L | +15.5wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec32…dd1abacked Yes | 48c | 204.6$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc082…eb9bbacked Yes | 26c | 203.5$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.5 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked No | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 93 | 26.9%25 W · 68 L | -8.2wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 77c | 199.99$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd90e…03b6backed No | 79c | 195$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.95 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 19c | 178.4$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.92 | 332 | 38.6%128 W · 204 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 13c | 174.9$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.45 | 183 | 10.4%19 W · 164 L | -9.7wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x929b…0571backed Yes | 20c | 170.25$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 79c | 168.84$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.53 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde34…37e2backed Yes | 20c | 166.2$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc2…11cdbacked Yes | 20c | 165.44$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94ef…ad5ebacked Yes | 20c | 162.52$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda95…7b99backed Yes | 20c | 160.27$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.05 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3825…04e8backed Yes | 23c | 160$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.12 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20f1…b38abacked Yes | 20c | 158.91$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ce…cc57backed Yes | 20c | 157.71$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3a3…ad48backed Yes | 20c | 157.33$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x650b…3511backed Yes | 20c | 156.12$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37a2…775dbacked Yes | 20c | 155.87$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.17 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe4…fbe5backed Yes | 20c | 154.98$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b2…4cebbacked Yes | 11c | 154.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 50 | 18%9 W · 41 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23cb…0357backed No | 69c | 153.28$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.01 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 22c | 153.13$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.21 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed Yes | 16c | 151$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.59 | 98 | 19.4%19 W · 79 L | -10.3wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 72c | 150$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.6 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc925…6d24backed No | 75c | 150$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.39per pick | 59cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc196…4af6backed No | 75c | 150$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked No | 78c | 143.1$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.86 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +23%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 9c | 132.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 182 | 3.8%7 W · 175 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -50%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 12c | 120.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 133 | 17.3%23 W · 110 L | -10.0wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04d5…188fbacked No | 78c | 120$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.91 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +4.1wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked No | 74c | 118$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.68 | 85 | 41.2%35 W · 50 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked No | 40c | 116.31$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.79 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 11c | 115.76$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.03 | 90 | 10%9 W · 81 L | -20.0wins | -0.22per pick | 32cpaid | -81.2%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x239f…8b82backed Yes | 12c | 107.04$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.04 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85ee…a64abacked Yes | 11c | 104.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09b4…494bbacked No | 74c | 103$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.28 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11d4…406fbacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.34per pick | 67cpaid | -57%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked No | 71c | 94$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.4 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b2…3caabacked Yes | 19c | 92.44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.56 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f7…1f33backed Yes | 26c | 92.33$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.21 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f92…ecc7backed Yes | 20c | 89.83$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed No | 53c | 80.89$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.19 | 205 | 42%86 W · 119 L | -11.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02b3…77b6backed No | 55c | 79.73$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.88 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 54c | 76.1$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.19 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 79c | 75$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 131 | 43.5%57 W · 74 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11f8…1c4ebacked Yes | 21c | 75$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.6wins | +0.28per pick | 41cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed Yes | 21c | 73.37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.41 | 88 | 31.8%28 W · 60 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Beth Davidson be the Democratic nominee for NY-17?this page
- Will Cait Conley be the Democratic nominee for NY-17?Yes won
- Will Effie Phillips-Staley be the Democratic nominee for NY-17?No won
- Will Jessica Reinmann be the Democratic nominee for NY-17?No won
- Will John Cappello be the Democratic nominee for NY-17?No won
- Will John Sullivan be the Democratic nominee for NY-17?No won
- Will Mike Sacks be the Democratic nominee for NY-17?No won
- Will Peter Chatzky be the Democratic nominee for NY-17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.