TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-02-22?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$653,768
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$711,214

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $653,768 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 488 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbd70…ccdbbacked No45c180,000$80,486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80,486.151741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa084…bb99backed No47c100,000$47,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46,999.981735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick40cpaid+16%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked Yes54c81,302$44,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,301.155658.9%33 W · 23 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked No45c37,856$17,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,035.0435941.5%149 W · 210 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes55c36,119$19,751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,368.081,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes54c32,862$17,814 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,048.532,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes53c27,471$14,573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,897.962,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes55c24,766$13,543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,222.991,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Yes56c24,671$13,707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,963.9628242.2%119 W · 163 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes54c22,839$12,249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,590.2885048.4%411 W · 439 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0dcf…c556backed Yes54c14,815$8,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,814.819746.4%45 W · 52 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No47c12,292$5,741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,740.714,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes54c11,636$6,229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,406.326,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa8ca…d535backed Yes54c10,185$5,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,685.195646.4%26 W · 30 L-4.9wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-16.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8b4b…541bbacked No46c10,000$4,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,599.92425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes54c8,000$4,286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,714.291,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed Yes55c6,000$3,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,70025544.7%114 W · 141 L-12.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed Yes58c6,000$3,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5309256.5%52 W · 40 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Yes55c5,723$3,148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,575.4226344.9%118 W · 145 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed No45c5,004$2,244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,243.8745936.2%166 W · 293 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed No49c4,981$2,417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,416.746943.5%204 W · 265 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b0d…90c0backed Yes55c4,566$2,511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,054.7633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-47.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Yes42c3,432$1,441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,990.4828070%196 W · 84 L+49.8wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+54.1%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Yes55c3,333$1,833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,499.8518259.3%108 W · 74 L+14.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+12%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes49c3,000$1,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,53020646.1%95 W · 111 L-12.6wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x90f6…71eebacked Yes39c3,000$1,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,829.981353.8%7 W · 6 L+3.1wins+0.24per pick30cpaid+47.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked No46c3,000$1,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,379.997448.6%36 W · 38 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ca3…59dbbacked No47c2,835$1,332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,332.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38b0…060cbacked Yes55c2,800$1,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2602665.4%17 W · 9 L+5.6wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+41.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x35f1…93d9backed Yes42c2,392$1,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,387.33333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes64c2,269$1,461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$808.6426319.8%52 W · 211 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13d6…926ebacked No47c2,200$1,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0345044%22 W · 28 L+4.6wins+0.09per pick35cpaid+17.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed No53c2,105$1,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,125.3521049%103 W · 107 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xab75…cce0backed Yes55c2,104$1,157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$946.963441.2%14 W · 20 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No46c2,050$935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$934.7252454.2%284 W · 240 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes54c2,050$1,107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94368026.3%179 W · 501 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa569…08dfbacked Yes54c2,000$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9202733.3%9 W · 18 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-24.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes23c2,000$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,54050644.3%224 W · 282 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3b1…19bbbacked Yes52c1,921$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$921.953070%21 W · 9 L+4.8wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+35.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1568…c958backed Yes53c1,875$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$875.312744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea6f…dd06backed Yes55c1,797$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$807.2875%6 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+26.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Yes29c1,792$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,271.986136.1%22 W · 39 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-16.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes56c1,786$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785.7113944.6%62 W · 77 L-9.0wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes56c1,717$961 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$755.6675850%379 W · 379 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes54c1,690$913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$777.430143.9%132 W · 169 L-16.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb917…02c6backed Yes48c1,682$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$881.825350.9%27 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes53c1,641$870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$771.2721253.8%114 W · 98 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b91…06c4backed Yes33c1,515$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,015.151330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed No48c1,502$723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72324047.5%114 W · 126 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Yes55c1,400$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63022534.2%77 W · 148 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4457…f3e2backed Yes33c1,400$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$941.998919.1%17 W · 72 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick24cpaid-40%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Yes47c1,339$632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$707.0925052%130 W · 120 L+8.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8394…b722backed Yes55c1,101$606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495.52785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.28per pick57cpaid+49.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0100…9babbacked Yes47c1,064$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.83922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick36cpaid-42.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No46c1,040$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478.472249.9%360 W · 362 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Yes47c1,034$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543.7116548.5%80 W · 85 L+0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d3e…783bbacked Yes53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4706857.4%39 W · 29 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+16.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde6c…c5d8backed Yes55c1,000$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4507844.9%35 W · 43 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed Yes55c1,000$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45011645.7%53 W · 63 L-8.1wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-11.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8de5…2b04backed Yes55c999.97$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.996549.2%32 W · 33 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdfcb…64d3backed Yes42c977.21$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$566.782339.1%9 W · 14 L-2.4wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-26.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa62d…92e0backed Yes54c944.44$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.446233.9%21 W · 41 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc57…f5f4backed Yes54c925.93$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.932055%11 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc2b…d830backed Yes44c872.07$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484.512157.1%12 W · 9 L+3.1wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+32.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed No46c870.83$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.5819253.1%102 W · 90 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x288d…8705backed Yes59c849.98$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.49666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+21.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe49b…2943backed Yes37c800$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5052250%11 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Yes46c790.36$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.377356.2%41 W · 32 L+6.3wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+13%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe19a…abafbacked Yes61c770$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.33641.7%15 W · 21 L-6.3wins-0.18per pick59cpaid-27%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xea75…ae99backed Yes54c750$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3452142.9%9 W · 12 L-3.6wins-0.17per pick60cpaid-28%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0632…d1b7backed Yes54c740.74$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.743534.3%12 W · 23 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-21.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed Yes55c737.8$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.019556.8%54 W · 41 L+5.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No40c731$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.011,00751.5%519 W · 488 L+4.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes57c709$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.9668942.2%291 W · 398 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Yes51c703.47$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.3761143.7%267 W · 344 L+0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d7e…6be6backed Yes44c691.31$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.094247.6%20 W · 22 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+23.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9269…9abfbacked Yes43c665$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.05977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.23per pick55cpaid+68.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9c9a…553bbacked Yes59c652.87$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.15450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1461…30a1backed No47c648$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.565034%17 W · 33 L-6.7wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-30.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2a32…0188backed Yes56c623.8$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2749756.7%55 W · 42 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf395…8e3cbacked Yes49c612.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.247343.8%32 W · 41 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Yes55c600$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27023258.2%135 W · 97 L+13.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa800…bd7abacked Yes43c593.02$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.023735.1%13 W · 24 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-28.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed No47c580$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.130149.5%149 W · 152 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d34…3406backed Yes56c574.89$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.952040%8 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes54c572.22$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.2249544.2%219 W · 276 L-20.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6155…6cc6backed No41c550$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.51010%1 W · 9 L-4.2wins-0.42per pick52cpaid-83.3%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x13bb…5bb2backed No42c550$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+27.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Yes56c535.71$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.719153.8%49 W · 42 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes56c500.05$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.521,22442.3%518 W · 706 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb620…5721backed No41c500$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick27cpaid-40.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x15ba…f30dbacked No5c499.99$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2515245.4%69 W · 83 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0176…ff71backed Yes38c499.99$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.994037.5%15 W · 25 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x60d1…0c8fbacked No41c499.9$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.9612042.5%51 W · 69 L-0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32af…9bbbbacked Yes58c480$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes45c479.86$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.5745142.6%192 W · 259 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes51c466.67$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.6725225%63 W · 189 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x96d9…18a0backed Yes55c456.78$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.557250%36 W · 36 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes33c454.55$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.5518123.2%42 W · 139 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6cb0…9a6cbacked No14c450.29$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.12540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-36.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.