TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$341,604
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$365,315

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $341,604 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 230 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc311…44fcbacked Yes28c193,624$55,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55,0002429.2%7 W · 17 L-3.4wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-37.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No73c34,727$25,489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,237.22,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No69c31,212$21,515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,696.654,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No62c21,466$13,349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,116.66,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked No70c21,000$14,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,3003360.6%20 W · 13 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No73c15,408$11,276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,132.031,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No66c11,389$7,563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,826.242,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed No68c8,200$5,594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,606.3146943.5%204 W · 265 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked No74c7,902$5,847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,054.515658.9%33 W · 23 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked No74c7,602$5,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,976.517653.9%41 W · 35 L+9.0wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+26%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed No74c6,329$4,683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,645.4316651.2%85 W · 81 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed No74c5,780$4,277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,502.86142.6%26 W · 35 L-7.2wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-9.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x38b0…060cbacked Yes26c5,700$1,482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4822665.4%17 W · 9 L+5.6wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+41.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xb9e7…0365backed No74c5,135$3,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,335.012138.1%8 W · 13 L-5.0wins-0.24per pick62cpaid-21%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No73c5,000$3,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,37551750.1%259 W · 258 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No70c4,239$2,988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,251.162,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No75c4,000$2,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,019.9990751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No72c3,883$2,776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,106.6767042.2%283 W · 387 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed No73c3,333$2,433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$899.9118259.3%108 W · 74 L+14.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+12%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked No73c3,000$2,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81013662.5%85 W · 51 L+14.3wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+24.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No74c3,000$2,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7801,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed No73c3,000$2,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81033057%188 W · 142 L+17.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed Yes45c3,000$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,35019652%102 W · 94 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No73c2,944$2,149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$794.8525544.7%114 W · 141 L-12.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No71c2,797$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$797.3449254.9%270 W · 222 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b46…9e3cbacked No63c2,200$1,381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$819.043100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+132.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b59…13cdbacked Yes59c2,188$1,291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,291.181392.3%12 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.18per pick74cpaid+22.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No70c2,079$1,461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$617.171,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed No45c2,000$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,10026548.3%128 W · 137 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No76c1,962$1,493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.621,00751.5%519 W · 488 L+4.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed No52c1,859$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$899.4421049%103 W · 107 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x05e1…85a2backed No74c1,825$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.391154.5%6 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7250…f52fbacked Yes24c1,500$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3606829.4%20 W · 48 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick31cpaid+11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b64…eaf4backed No73c1,482$1,082 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.0810341.7%43 W · 60 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked No75c1,315$982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.2169772.6%506 W · 191 L+83.8wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+26.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xcfb5…f5ecbacked No75c1,036$777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.066750.7%34 W · 33 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid+9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed No56c1,000$565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4354560%27 W · 18 L+5.5wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+26%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xafce…c2f6backed No75c1,000$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2503554.3%19 W · 16 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x86be…4490backed Yes26c911.54$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2372740.7%11 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae2b…90eabacked Yes24c833.33$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20017634.1%60 W · 116 L-13.2wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-15.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked No73c800$584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21636956.9%210 W · 159 L+20.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2733…ac38backed Yes32c781.25$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501040%4 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick29cpaid+18.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4594…b1acbacked Yes26c769.23$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008259.8%49 W · 33 L+0.3wins0.00per pick59cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No73c699.97$511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.6652454.2%284 W · 240 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1733…dc80backed Yes3c666.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207326%19 W · 54 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick28cpaid+8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed No50c538$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.7225052%130 W · 120 L+8.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed No40c499.13$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.1314463.9%92 W · 52 L+9.8wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed No63c496.3$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.2261143.7%267 W · 344 L+0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b0d…90c0backed No76c483$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.92633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-47.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked No55c461$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.6616548.5%80 W · 85 L+0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes63c419.09$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.2745142.6%192 W · 259 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Yes24c416.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10031747.6%151 W · 166 L-14.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9176…0468backed Yes43c415.07$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.48250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Yes26c399$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.7472249.9%360 W · 362 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9453…6952backed Yes26c384.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006250%31 W · 31 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7cc…2833backed Yes26c384.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005054%27 W · 23 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+15.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5ea8…b084backed No75c380$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$954553.3%24 W · 21 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+28.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Yes30c375.25$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.968041.3%33 W · 47 L-6.4wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed No74c357.02$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.8225348.2%122 W · 131 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf268…ab74backed Yes25c332$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes16c326.61$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5142324.3%103 W · 320 L-36.4wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-47%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfa5c…be69backed Yes40c324.8$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.923727%10 W · 27 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Yes27c322.01$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.949532.6%31 W · 64 L-0.1wins0.00per pick33cpaid-25.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dce…b663backed No75c311.77$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.942272.7%16 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick72cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked No73c300$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8135056.9%199 W · 151 L+20.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked No71c300$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8711443.9%50 W · 64 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No73c300$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8160557.5%348 W · 257 L+25.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a32…0188backed Yes25c279.41$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.859756.7%55 W · 42 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4fd…96eabacked Yes36c277.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No73c250$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.559958.9%353 W · 246 L+26.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed No73c250$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.537557.3%215 W · 160 L+21.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3d7e…6be6backed Yes6c242.86$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154247.6%20 W · 22 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+23.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f63…4fe9backed Yes32c242.63$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.64742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0293…f15bbacked No75c238.67$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.673545.7%16 W · 19 L-6.1wins-0.17per pick63cpaid-33.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x79c9…b2f1backed Yes47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002825%7 W · 21 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-32.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x760b…6dc8backed No57c204.72$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.031435.7%5 W · 9 L-3.0wins-0.22per pick57cpaid-40.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x22cc…8aeabacked No77c196.67$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.719154.5%104 W · 87 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe026…2b3abacked Yes67c191.94$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.62157.1%12 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No72c185.25$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.081,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0de6…2393backed Yes58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8544…3d33backed Yes63c158.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003450%17 W · 17 L-4.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-23.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed Yes32c156.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507833.3%26 W · 52 L-7.2wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-19.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9973…cc32backed Yes25c140$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351741.2%7 W · 10 L+2.9wins+0.17per pick24cpaid+59.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x58f9…7d44backed Yes69c138.13$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf263…e9c1backed Yes25c133.68$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.96350.8%32 W · 31 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9f8…e913backed Yes72c129.99$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.92564%16 W · 9 L+3.0wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+50.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9d49…5ecebacked No37c128.5$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.042931%9 W · 20 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked Yes23c126$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9813939.6%55 W · 84 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Yes37c125.37$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.0117244.2%76 W · 96 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31c8…f2d8backed Yes52c123.54$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked No73c120$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.433156.8%188 W · 143 L+14.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed No73c120$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.446660.5%282 W · 184 L+30.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked No73c120$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.432255.9%180 W · 142 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked No73c120$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.433057%188 W · 142 L+17.9wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed No73c120$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.432656.7%185 W · 141 L+16.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed No73c120$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.436758.3%214 W · 153 L+23.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed No73c120$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.432755.7%182 W · 145 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed No73c120$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.456158.6%329 W · 232 L+29.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed No73c120$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.438358.2%223 W · 160 L+24.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked No73c120$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.431557.8%182 W · 133 L+17.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.