Tennis · resolved market
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2025 US Open?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5d56e64fed8cb2704f8ed5b1d257a0e23755064b77ccc05048c29fa6a844c003
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $647,915
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $696,941
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $647,915 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 298 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 46c | 50,412$22,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,457.41 | 112 | 30.4%34 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 73c | 23,433$17,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,237.95 | 656 | 47.6%312 W · 344 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 41c | 22,036$8,926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,925.68 | 91 | 37.4%34 W · 57 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eb2…c8bfbacked Yes | 66c | 20,101$13,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,816.36 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc80e…41c8backed Yes | 72c | 18,011$13,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,010.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x843d…e617backed No | 51c | 15,440$7,808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,808.37 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed No | 35c | 14,260$4,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,962.59 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +3.7wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 13c | 8,961$1,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,181.47 | 652 | 42.8%279 W · 373 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf70c…72c1backed No | 30c | 8,760$2,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,596.52 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -70.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef2…f473backed Yes | 25c | 7,971$2,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,949.3 | 80 | 23.8%19 W · 61 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04e4…86afbacked Yes | 61c | 7,757$4,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,033.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Yes | 53c | 7,566$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,566.47 | 572 | 49.5%283 W · 289 L | -32.8wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked No | 47c | 7,477$3,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,537.44 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 55c | 7,267$4,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,025.66 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed No | 26c | 7,141$1,841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,840.58 | 108 | 45.4%49 W · 59 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 39c | 6,945$2,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,243.73 | 457 | 37.9%173 W · 284 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed No | 46c | 6,039$2,786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,785.55 | 223 | 44.8%100 W · 123 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…4db9backed No | 54c | 5,432$2,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,935.58 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 78c | 5,155$4,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,126.75 | 101 | 38.6%39 W · 62 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Yes | 64c | 5,000$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 19c | 4,580$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,687.28 | 1,107 | 42.8%474 W · 633 L | -20.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe162…8a81backed Yes | 69c | 4,373$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,373.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb511…dedfbacked Yes | 44c | 4,250$1,868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,382.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed No | 73c | 4,015$2,929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,928.56 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +3.7wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd986…1320backed No | 48c | 4,000$1,904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,904 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdc4…a880backed Yes | 26c | 4,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,960 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked No | 33c | 3,711$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,224.74 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa61e…0abdbacked Yes | 48c | 3,500$1,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,825 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…c139backed No | 32c | 2,983$947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$947.24 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Yes | 9c | 2,860$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,602.6 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Yes | 26c | 2,500$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,850 | 872 | 51.1%446 W · 426 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e3…3464backed Yes | 24c | 2,432$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,842.87 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed Yes | 23c | 2,284$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,753.85 | 527 | 50.3%265 W · 262 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x168a…da29backed No | 67c | 2,253$1,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,517.6 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc29…7774backed No | 36c | 2,189$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd347…5205backed Yes | 32c | 2,152$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,465.58 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbda7…fc55backed Yes | 45c | 2,087$937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,149.92 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked No | 34c | 2,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4d…675fbacked Yes | 66c | 1,904$1,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.24 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Yes | 41c | 1,800$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,061.88 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 40cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf87b…180abacked No | 18c | 1,784$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.14 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 42cpaid | -76%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Yes | 57c | 1,567$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.53 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +55%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked Yes | 65c | 1,538$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.46 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed No | 76c | 1,500$1,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,132.72 | 161 | 40.4%65 W · 96 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 35c | 1,500$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 95 | 46.3%44 W · 51 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x119e…2129backed Yes | 64c | 1,483$949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.81 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5d…88aebacked Yes | 62c | 1,452$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.61 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…58dfbacked Yes | 19c | 1,262$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.81per pick | 19cpaid | +426.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed No | 38c | 1,202$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.99 | 321 | 41.1%132 W · 189 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a3f…e333backed Yes | 40c | 1,192$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.07 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed No | 72c | 1,138$821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820.99 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 71c | 1,103$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783 | 143 | 45.5%65 W · 78 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9386…fdfebacked Yes | 67c | 1,096$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.61 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +85.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c3…0230backed Yes | 65c | 1,069$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.42 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed No | 46c | 1,067$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.77 | 140 | 28.6%40 W · 100 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 27c | 1,041$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.21 | 11,325 | 43.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L | +18.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 71c | 1,030$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.92 | 281 | 41.6%117 W · 164 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4487…08c6backed Yes | 51c | 1,029$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.41 | 127 | 37.8%48 W · 79 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c47…2826backed Yes | 65c | 1,013$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed No | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 226 | 23.9%54 W · 172 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…1787backed Yes | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe65f…a749backed Yes | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd4a…048ebacked No | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcad4…1a4cbacked Yes | 29c | 1,000$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.5 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Yes | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x858e…6febbacked No | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Yes | 28c | 999.99$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.99 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff1…372dbacked Yes | 70c | 960.94$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.23 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6d…ece3backed Yes | 37c | 945.36$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.6 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa962…8978backed Yes | 65c | 923.08$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +88%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea5…b5cbbacked Yes | 65c | 900$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes | 38c | 814.71$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.82 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe07…d839backed Yes | 29c | 800$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.2 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 32cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Yes | 48c | 763.37$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.43 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +145.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b4cabacked Yes | 36c | 717.57$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.24 | 288 | 28.5%82 W · 206 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Yes | 33c | 710.85$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.02 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x837b…e8bebacked Yes | 45c | 677.36$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.22 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 26cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed No | 77c | 648.05$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa318…0c71backed Yes | 24c | 647.49$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.82 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad87…6a86backed Yes | 50c | 630.91$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.46 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed No | 35c | 627.48$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.62 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 69c | 622.23$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.86 | 381 | 47%179 W · 202 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x098e…6fa2backed No | 55c | 619.99$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.34 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe394…289cbacked Yes | 40c | 576.16$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.69 | 283 | 50.9%144 W · 139 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe31a…adffbacked No | 30c | 573$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.55 | 252 | 44.4%112 W · 140 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b02…393ebacked Yes | 65c | 569.64$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.87 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.27per pick | 43cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c0…722ebacked No | 76c | 567$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.92 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed No | 74c | 564.98$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.74 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +182.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4e…62d5backed Yes | 58c | 559.7$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.7 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed No | 35c | 493.98$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.89 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…4fb6backed Yes | 26c | 483.33$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.33 | 110 | 54.5%60 W · 50 L | +10.6wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +27%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1cea…f32abacked Yes | 24c | 464.92$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.34 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…930abacked Yes | 23c | 460$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +88.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 62c | 451.57$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.85 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3b…4253backed No | 30c | 443.86$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.16 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Yes | 46c | 441.26$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.57 | 77 | 44.2%34 W · 43 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Yes | 61c | 429.57$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.78 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1b…9876backed Yes | 65c | 429.44$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfef7…c9f4backed Yes | 32c | 412.43$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.07 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -26%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc21…9eb9backed Yes | 29c | 404$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2025 US Open?this page
- Will Alexandra Eala win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Amanda Anisimova win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Anna Kalinskaya win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Barbora Krejcikova win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Caroline Wozniacki win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Clara Tauson win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Coco Gauff win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Daria Kasatkina win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Elena Rybakina win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Elina Svitolina win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Emma Raducanu win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Iga Swiatek win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Jasmine Paolini win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Jessica Pegula win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Karolina Muchova win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Leylah Fernandez win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Madison Keys win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Maria Sakkari win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Marketa Vondrousova win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Marta Kostyuk win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Mirra Andreeva win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Naomi Osaka win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Victoria Mboko win the 2025 US Open?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.