Tennis · resolved market
Will Naomi Osaka win the 2025 US Open?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x078608e7b85be2a182ce9285e01a7166b00f1e0ba1a9a822a43df73fc53c6c8b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $60,079
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,810
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,079 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 12c | 8,871$1,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,055.99 | 457 | 37.9%173 W · 284 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 4,989$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.67 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Yes | 28c | 2,900$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.3 | 260 | 39.2%102 W · 158 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11e5…8a64backed Yes | 10c | 2,838$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 16cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x355a…98a6backed Yes | 24c | 2,627$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 188 | 39.9%75 W · 113 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26dc…95c4backed Yes | 7c | 2,422$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.95 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +4.1wins | +0.14per pick | 32cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c0…b40bbacked Yes | 19c | 2,043$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d76…9168backed Yes | 6c | 2,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 375 | 40.8%153 W · 222 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fae…0d19backed Yes | 15c | 1,793$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.83 | 428 | 39.7%170 W · 258 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed No | 78c | 1,534$1,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.01 | 223 | 44.8%100 W · 123 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee05…812fbacked Yes | 7c | 1,423$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…4db9backed No | 73c | 1,396$1,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.82 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Yes | 3c | 1,000$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad87…6a86backed Yes | 24c | 999.69$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.69 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd49b…abffbacked Yes | 23c | 885.09$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 69 | 21.7%15 W · 54 L | -7.6wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed No | 76c | 785.89$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.44 | 77 | 44.2%34 W · 43 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…a111backed Yes | 25c | 730.19$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…1787backed Yes | 24c | 659.29$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.42 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82ee…d8e2backed Yes | 17c | 590.46$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…7955backed Yes | 16c | 576.31$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed Yes | 22c | 499.99$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 527 | 50.3%265 W · 262 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Yes | 4c | 441.42$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.66 | 220 | 37.7%83 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac6…82a6backed Yes | 8c | 405.5$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb11…e93fbacked Yes | 20c | 400$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x383a…ff11backed Yes | 14c | 346.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0d…2b92backed Yes | 26c | 262.12$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +25%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfef7…c9f4backed Yes | 16c | 250$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.25 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -26%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes | 15c | 244$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.9 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Yes | 18c | 216.8$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.94 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e90…b93bbacked Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c76…ded5backed Yes | 16c | 200$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -55%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85a9…bb66backed Yes | 26c | 193.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 71 | 70.4%50 W · 21 L | +6.3wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x063a…1499backed Yes | 8c | 188.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed No | 74c | 185.47$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.58 | 227 | 23.8%54 W · 173 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed No | 75c | 170.11$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.53 | 68 | 63.2%43 W · 25 L | +8.2wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd036…ec4bbacked Yes | 28c | 159.31$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x098e…6fa2backed No | 78c | 154.4$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.21 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc97b…7f7fbacked Yes | 30c | 131.03$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc03…21eabacked Yes | 17c | 118.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…ee28backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe611…0ae4backed Yes | 16c | 96.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +4.8wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c5c…7524backed Yes | 16c | 94.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +69.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf786…57febacked No | 78c | 86$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…7fd5backed Yes | 14c | 84.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed No | 78c | 83.74$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.59 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +145.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9009…b96dbacked Yes | 27c | 75.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 27c | 52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked No | 75c | 51$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf12c…5ba6backed Yes | 27c | 42.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +27%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb410…7736backed No | 73c | 37.04$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | +7.9wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed No | 75c | 29.89$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb51b…b4d9backed No | 77c | 25.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.91 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Naomi Osaka win the 2025 US Open?this page
- Will Alexandra Eala win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Amanda Anisimova win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Anna Kalinskaya win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2025 US Open?Yes won
- Will Barbora Krejcikova win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Caroline Wozniacki win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Clara Tauson win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Coco Gauff win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Daria Kasatkina win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Elena Rybakina win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Elina Svitolina win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Emma Raducanu win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Iga Swiatek win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Jasmine Paolini win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Jessica Pegula win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Karolina Muchova win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Leylah Fernandez win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Madison Keys win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Maria Sakkari win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Marketa Vondrousova win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Marta Kostyuk win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Mirra Andreeva win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Victoria Mboko win the 2025 US Open?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.