TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Will Amanda Anisimova win the 2025 US Open?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$413,192
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$405,317

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $413,192 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcf6c…7e66backed Yes39c32,000$12,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,3201,19348.9%583 W · 610 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked No61c28,552$17,514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,038.133458.8%20 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd40d…a926backed Yes38c23,305$8,792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,792.192133.3%7 W · 14 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick26cpaid-21.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a75…4347backed Yes17c7,614$1,318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,318.282347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Yes33c7,317$2,438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,43819835.4%70 W · 128 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Yes37c6,831$2,554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,553.833452.9%18 W · 16 L+3.7wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf997…3146backed Yes39c6,355$2,483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,483.48250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1aee…c139backed No28c6,241$1,749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,492.463441.2%14 W · 20 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick31cpaid-16.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xaf17…d849backed Yes36c6,180$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2002462.5%15 W · 9 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+17.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Yes14c6,122$841 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$841.2165242.8%279 W · 373 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-13.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1934…8478backed Yes39c5,765$2,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,240.430%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No39c5,060$1,963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,097.111,10742.8%474 W · 633 L-20.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x197f…dc8dbacked No76c4,833$3,679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,154.073441.2%14 W · 20 L-3.0wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-22.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes9c4,440$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.9411,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9481…7995backed Yes20c3,714$756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$756.38366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+42.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc438…3ae6backed Yes31c3,217$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$998.7420%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No64c3,000$1,913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0879546.3%44 W · 51 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+35.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xad87…6a86backed Yes36c3,000$1,068 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0681450%7 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb45d…a406backed Yes35c3,000$1,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,035.171464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick59cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed No62c2,920$1,822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,097.9610138.6%39 W · 62 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-30.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed No63c2,487$1,562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$925.5522344.8%100 W · 123 L+13.0wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x993f…3ee3backed Yes42c2,409$1,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,011.58250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0113…6f26backed Yes38c2,395$921 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$921.0112949.6%64 W · 65 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Yes27c2,386$655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$654.9710845.4%49 W · 59 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Yes37c2,284$834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$833.839245.7%42 W · 50 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e93…69d5backed No66c2,132$1,409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$722.611030%3 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-53.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9c1e…0cd2backed Yes5c2,065$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005617.9%10 W · 46 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-54.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2834…3cefbacked Yes36c2,011$721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$721.0450%0 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x50e6…e838backed Yes1c2,003$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.022245.5%10 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes3c2,001$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5422723.8%54 W · 173 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick22cpaid-35.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c80…a608backed Yes35c1,923$671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$670.612927.6%8 W · 21 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-15.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes6c1,850$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.562,3317.9%183 W · 2,148 L-56.9wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-60.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fae…0d19backed Yes36c1,826$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65042839.7%170 W · 258 L-0.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked Yes35c1,725$604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604.071,05655.4%585 W · 471 L-22.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed No53c1,558$823 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$735.085639.3%22 W · 34 L+4.1wins+0.07per pick32cpaid+145.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x03ea…6254backed Yes36c1,520$542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541.981526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-47.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed No61c1,363$836 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527.77744.2%34 W · 43 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1838…1e22backed Yes36c1,326$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478.810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf87b…180abacked Yes18c1,294$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.41812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.30per pick42cpaid-76%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No64c1,202$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.059137.4%34 W · 57 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xccff…e845backed Yes29c1,126$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.052835.7%10 W · 18 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-30.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed Yes35c1,111$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.4514028.6%40 W · 100 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Yes24c1,093$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.3311230.4%34 W · 78 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-30.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd347…5205backed Yes18c1,048$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.291225%3 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb53…c50bbacked Yes17c1,023$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.53321.2%7 W · 26 L-0.1wins0.00per pick22cpaid-41.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7616…69eebacked Yes33c1,000$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3307057.1%40 W · 30 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbda7…fc55backed Yes36c1,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3601442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bb1…1208backed Yes5c920.13$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.322416.7%4 W · 20 L-3.3wins-0.14per pick31cpaid-75.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe31a…adffbacked Yes30c865$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.3225244.4%112 W · 140 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fa9…2491backed No63c860.22$541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.9132141.1%132 W · 189 L-1.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x255e…4979backed No65c831.95$541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.18944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0887…b235backed Yes35c767.2$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.29728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-29.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf86…601fbacked Yes7c763.84$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5510134.7%35 W · 66 L-6.1wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-17.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6e90…b93bbacked Yes36c702.25$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-55.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes27c678.99$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.1645737.9%173 W · 284 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-28.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Yes16c638.6$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.313336.4%12 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+55%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa264…e26abacked No65c616.33$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.333638.9%14 W · 22 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-29.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x24f0…dbdebacked Yes35c599.99$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a3f…e333backed Yes37c517.02$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.781729.4%5 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick21cpaid-23.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbacd…ab35backed No73c514.98$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.921136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x098e…6fa2backed No73c512$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.633650%18 W · 18 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+0.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x383a…ff11backed Yes42c504.01$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210825%2 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-46.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a61…1787backed Yes19c500.22$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.012231.8%7 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick29cpaid-4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f88…ca51backed Yes36c500$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.7966831.3%209 W · 459 L-15.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26dc…95c4backed Yes4c500$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202846.4%13 W · 15 L+4.1wins+0.14per pick32cpaid+62.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x31ec…ab04backed Yes22c497.7$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1085648.2%27 W · 29 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick42cpaid-2.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1424…4f78backed Yes20c410.18$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8012843%55 W · 73 L+0.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8b9…036dbacked Yes35c383.45$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.5620%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x86eb…0fc4backed Yes10c381.41$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-32.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10063942.4%271 W · 368 L+1.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8213…8c05backed Yes35c355.12$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.42825%7 W · 21 L-3.9wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-18.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1318…df41backed Yes35c350$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.8520%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2808…2c7dbacked No65c318$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.624100%4 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x477f…6c45backed Yes16c307.46$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.192634.6%9 W · 17 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+21.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4451…fcbebacked Yes25c304.05$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.33652.8%19 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Yes38c300$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11428543.5%124 W · 161 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe25c…ae63backed Yes35c300$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.652750.3%265 W · 262 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b02…393ebacked No65c300$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.31070%7 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.27per pick43cpaid+64.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1fbc…3099backed Yes36c280.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick30cpaid-29%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe619…e932backed Yes37c267.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ba4…f493backed Yes35c258.9$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.220%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3349…c0b8backed Yes39c250$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.511852.5%62 W · 56 L-8.5wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-13.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc5aa…5912backed Yes21c239.23$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501526.7%4 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick25cpaid-27.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43e8…5ba4backed Yes8c237.02$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193616.7%6 W · 30 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick15cpaid-27.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee5f…bafbbacked Yes35c215.44$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.48250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f73…ced3backed Yes24c200$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5998…141cbacked Yes33c197.15$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$653663.9%23 W · 13 L+4.9wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+29.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3a4f…c4f2backed Yes27c190$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.7333134.7%115 W · 216 L-17.2wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x33f3…2abcbacked Yes35c169.01$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-12.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2954…d34ebacked Yes37c161.73$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6030%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xccff…f9cbbacked No63c158.23$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.23475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+20.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd687…c066backed Yes37c158.23$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.231330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-38.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9833…7844backed Yes35c150$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.82917.2%5 W · 24 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick24cpaid-34%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb587…6495backed Yes35c140$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.1410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes42c136.29$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.9738348%184 W · 199 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27e3…fb13backed Yes35c135$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd843…7d56backed Yes40c125$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.886243.5%27 W · 35 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+21.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x28ac…5069backed Yes8c125$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2437…3906backed Yes18c118.34$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.421338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x76dc…17b4backed Yes11c116.25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.363435.3%12 W · 22 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-20.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.