Tennis · resolved market
Will Coco Gauff win the 2025 US Open?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x231a4db4db40ef3f13f6a129a45b1eb7c55fc8d5437461a887f9e55db6b3f560
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,323
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,936
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,323 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x11e5…8a64backed Yes | 10c | 4,969$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 16cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed Yes | 8c | 4,833$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.4 | 527 | 50.3%265 W · 262 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 9c | 3,732$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.16 | 457 | 37.9%173 W · 284 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Yes | 8c | 2,835$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -42%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Yes | 8c | 1,766$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.62 | 161 | 40.4%65 W · 96 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 8c | 1,705$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.92 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4382…f0e0backed Yes | 14c | 1,616$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.48 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75a1…693fbacked Yes | 13c | 1,500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 9c | 1,084$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.57 | 112 | 30.4%34 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Yes | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe07…d839backed Yes | 9c | 799.98$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 32cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a3f…e333backed Yes | 8c | 772.78$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.82 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7459…4eb3backed Yes | 15c | 672.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +76.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa318…0c71backed Yes | 9c | 647.67$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.29 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…1787backed Yes | 10c | 506.55$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.54 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e86…93c2backed Yes | 7c | 500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2b…5752backed Yes | 11c | 376.19$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 214 | 54.7%117 W · 97 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e26…cc4cbacked Yes | 8c | 375$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cf…ca72backed Yes | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd995…910cbacked Yes | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b7a…4817backed Yes | 6c | 326$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a45…1405backed Yes | 9c | 318.12$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80a4…4e26backed Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…5ba4backed Yes | 10c | 283.33$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 36 | 16.7%6 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1197…40bfbacked Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x482a…00b6backed Yes | 16c | 213.79$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…4f5abacked Yes | 11c | 211$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.21 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4e…62d5backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 11c | 199.88$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.09 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc374…ecf5backed Yes | 9c | 166.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.35per pick | 27cpaid | +94.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Yes | 14c | 162.61$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.77 | 602 | 40.5%244 W · 358 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3f…a6bfbacked Yes | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x344d…1278backed Yes | 11c | 140.22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46e8…8793backed Yes | 10c | 140$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9833…7844backed Yes | 10c | 135.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -34%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5a…5787backed Yes | 11c | 132.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +4.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c8d…cd15backed Yes | 9c | 131.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa53a…e4f1backed Yes | 10c | 123$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes | 12c | 122$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -4.2wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Yes | 11c | 111.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd73b…6b37backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd50…c17bbacked Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -44%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd347…5205backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c65…845dbacked Yes | 13c | 80$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28e2…d51fbacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Coco Gauff win the 2025 US Open?this page
- Will Alexandra Eala win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Amanda Anisimova win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Anna Kalinskaya win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2025 US Open?Yes won
- Will Barbora Krejcikova win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Caroline Wozniacki win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Clara Tauson win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Daria Kasatkina win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Elena Rybakina win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Elina Svitolina win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Emma Raducanu win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Iga Swiatek win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Jasmine Paolini win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Jessica Pegula win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Karolina Muchova win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Leylah Fernandez win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Madison Keys win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Maria Sakkari win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Marketa Vondrousova win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Marta Kostyuk win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Mirra Andreeva win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Naomi Osaka win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Victoria Mboko win the 2025 US Open?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.