TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa318…0c71

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
106
Categories scored
23
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Ukraine, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Ukraine at 55 out of 100; worst UFC at 38.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT2133.3%7 W · 14 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick26cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+153.8%+$207.83
Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.31
Will Mirra Andreeva win the 2026 Women’s French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+517.6%+$193.4
Will Matteo Arnaldi win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Marta Kostyuk win the 2026 Women’s French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.02
Will Felix Auger Aliassime win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.84
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.33
Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.63
Will Rafael Jodar win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.1
Will Elina Svitolina win the 2026 Women’s French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.11
Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.4
European Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricardbacked Perricard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+46.3%+$19
European Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Benjamin Bonzibacked Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$13.8
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Camilo Ugo Carabellibacked Kovacevic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$14.26
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$209Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+203%+$424.09
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$291Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$291.12
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2025 US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT+313.3%+$490.82
Will Iga Swiatek win the 2025 US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$181.42
Will Coco Gauff win the 2025 US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$58.29
Will Elena Rybakina win the 2025 US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$51.81
Will Mirra Andreeva win the 2025 US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$51.81
All 21 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT1735.3%6 W · 11 L-4.4wins-0.26per pick61cpaid-47.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
UFC — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Magomed Zaynukov vs. Damian Rzepecki (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Magomed Zaynukov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$46.84
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Ilia Topuria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.43
UFC Fight Night: Movsar Evloev vs. Lerone Murphy (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Movsar Evloev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.17
Will Khamzat Chimaev fight Sean Strickland next?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.29
Ankalaev vs. Pereirabacked Ankalaev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.16
Dvalishvili vs. Sandhagenbacked Dvalishvili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$56.41
Santos vs. Yoobacked Yoo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$19
Nurmagomedov vs. Hughesbacked Nurmagomedov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$859Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT+30.5%+$261.71
UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Cortes-Acostabacked Pavlovich · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$4.81
UFC Fight Night: Mitchell vs. Nurmagomedovbacked Nurmagomedov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
UFC 318: Phillips vs. Oliveirabacked Phillips · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
UFC 318: Vettori vs. Allen backed Vettori · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Marvin Vettori vs. Roman Dolidzebacked Vettori · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$164
Pereira vs. Ankalaevbacked Ankalaev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EDT+102.7%+$30.76
Adesanya vs. Imavovbacked Adesanya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST-100%-$119.5
Magomedov vs. Pagebacked Magomedov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST-100%-$96.3
Dvalishvili vs. Nurmagomedovbacked Nurmagomedov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$65.54
All 17 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1225%3 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$185.26
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$668Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+515.8%+$3,444.16
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$231Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$231.09
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$324Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$324.28
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$366Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$366.2
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$350.04
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$83
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$218Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$217.79
Mexico vs. South Africa: Mexico O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$18
Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$125.7
Will Italy qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+401.1%+$597.64
UEFA Nations League Final: Will Ronaldo score 1+ goals against Spain?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$70.18
All 12 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1050%5 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+48.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+72.4%+$39.81
Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$18.91
Will Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni in September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+153.4%+$149.13
Will Trump and Zelenskyy shake hands for 10 seconds or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.5
Will Trump and Zelenskyy shake hands for between 8 and 10 seconds?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Trump and Zelenskyy shake hands for between 6 and 8 seconds?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2025, EDT+669.2%+$87
Will Trump and Zelenskyy shake hands for between 4 and 6 seconds?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$19
Will Trump and Zelenskyy shake hands for between 2 and 4 seconds?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$395Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT+27.7%+$109.65
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$91.62
All 10 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick11cpaid-19.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-40%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick15cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-24.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Chess Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-45.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Chess — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+18%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Oct 14, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-25.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Scorigami in NFL Week 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$6.98
Scorigami in NFL Week 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$152.93
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FK Crvena zvezda win on 2026-01-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+53.8%+$7.41
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will a dildo be thrown onto the court at a WNBA game on Wednesday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT+35.5%+$21.02
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,400Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+31.4%+$440.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Dec 25, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spotify's top song on Christmas be 'All I Want For Christmas Is You'?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$271Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+28.2%+$76.34
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Oct 15, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New Mexico State vs. Libertybacked Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$6.77
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 Series New Zealand vs South Africa: New Zealand vs South Africabacked New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Aug 14, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Any Tesla arsonist found guilty in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$668Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$667.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon tweet 175–199 times May 16–23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win on 2025-03-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kylian Mbappe: Anytime Goalscorerbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.58
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: strongboys vs Ilbirs eSports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Ilbirs eSports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$29.8
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.