Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will FK Crvena zvezda win on 2026-01-29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd43e7937f629a17c9ec1ce995591821a1ea31647e17fc6bcfa77923d49f384f5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $106,719
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $118,585
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $106,719 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 227 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Yes | 42c | 17,820$7,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,484.43 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd599…bf55backed Yes | 26c | 10,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d75…c09fbacked No | 58c | 9,595$5,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,029.83 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed No | 57c | 9,560$5,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,110.88 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 66c | 5,701$3,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,923.01 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8813…47e6backed No | 57c | 4,587$2,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,952.63 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8627…5382backed No | 58c | 3,500$2,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 64c | 2,774$1,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$995.92 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Yes | 43c | 2,558$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76f…39fcbacked Yes | 42c | 1,905$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1414…ae7bbacked No | 70c | 1,740$1,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522 | 27 | 81.5%22 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 70cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 58c | 1,713$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.39 | 920 | 50.9%468 W · 452 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed No | 58c | 1,500$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.98 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad15…ee7fbacked No | 76c | 1,426$1,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.32 | 14 | 92.9%13 W · 1 L | +4.3wins | +0.30per pick | 62cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x209b…5706backed No | 59c | 1,425$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.25 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.20per pick | 34cpaid | -73.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb77e…e668backed Yes | 43c | 1,409$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes | 42c | 1,307$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.89 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 42c | 1,136$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.12 | 100 | 61%61 W · 39 L | +8.3wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 43c | 1,090$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.67 | 2,999 | 42.4%1,273 W · 1,726 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 43c | 1,002$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431 | 123 | 36.6%45 W · 78 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86f4…40d5backed No | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed No | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c38…de5abacked No | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 79c | 952.95$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.22 | 449 | 52.6%236 W · 213 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked No | 64c | 800$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 43c | 785$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.37 | 199 | 34.7%69 W · 130 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 42c | 697.74$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.81 | 276 | 44.9%124 W · 152 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Yes | 42c | 595.24$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed No | 58c | 548.11$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.21 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…f2f2backed No | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.32 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 41c | 515$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.4 | 428 | 44.9%192 W · 236 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a53…505abacked No | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +23%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed No | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 39c | 423.14$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.59 | 771 | 41.8%322 W · 449 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked No | 58c | 413.62$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.34 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf439…bf9cbacked No | 58c | 350$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 43c | 349$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.07 | 147 | 40.8%60 W · 87 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 41c | 320.72$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.5 | 1,026 | 47.4%486 W · 540 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed Yes | 43c | 300.08$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.27 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…f142backed No | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked No | 57c | 299.99$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x995e…534cbacked Yes | 36c | 277.38$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.09 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35b9…1d44backed No | 56c | 264.38$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.33 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Yes | 16c | 242.35$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.87 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69dd…1964backed Yes | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed No | 60c | 233.33$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.33 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed No | 57c | 232.55$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.99 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb185…472cbacked Yes | 42c | 218$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 36c | 217.5$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.88 | 105 | 37.1%39 W · 66 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd4d…cd27backed No | 58c | 217$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad5…59d9backed Yes | 44c | 216$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…eaa9backed No | 58c | 214$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe275…cc56backed Yes | 42c | 214$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…428fbacked Yes | 42c | 213$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7200…dc97backed No | 58c | 213$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb6…3523backed Yes | 42c | 212$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…8c74backed No | 58c | 212$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc31b…e1bdbacked No | 58c | 212$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2556…c208backed No | 58c | 209$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3b…05aebacked No | 58c | 208$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…ad03backed Yes | 42c | 208$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c27…450cbacked Yes | 42c | 207$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcad0…35e5backed No | 58c | 207$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70f7…ca3bbacked Yes | 42c | 207$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa89f…e9ddbacked No | 58c | 207$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbe…f4e4backed Yes | 42c | 207$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf78a…a538backed No | 58c | 206$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x533a…4359backed No | 58c | 206$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4c…1127backed No | 58c | 206$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4602…66debacked Yes | 42c | 204$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x167c…a88bbacked No | 58c | 204$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.68 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6639…bd03backed Yes | 42c | 203$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c06…fdaabacked No | 58c | 203$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb01…d9f0backed Yes | 42c | 202$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86dd…90dfbacked Yes | 42c | 202$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb417…b546backed No | 58c | 201$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e62…5773backed No | 58c | 201$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 133 | 37.6%50 W · 83 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x878a…513cbacked No | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac05…37febacked Yes | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd159…ac67backed Yes | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe994…2daabacked Yes | 42c | 199.5$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fa…7eedbacked No | 58c | 199$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb406…cfaabacked Yes | 42c | 199$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b14…02d7backed No | 58c | 198$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea66…0689backed No | 58c | 198$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3dd…d5fcbacked No | 58c | 197$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…d7f4backed Yes | 42c | 197$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54aa…910abacked Yes | 42c | 197$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xced6…6f96backed No | 58c | 196$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48a4…bb69backed Yes | 42c | 195$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31d4…7791backed Yes | 42c | 193$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22bd…dca2backed Yes | 42c | 193$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bfd…1283backed No | 58c | 192$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 58c | 192$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.64 | 180 | 49.4%89 W · 91 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b17…b02cbacked Yes | 42c | 192$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d42…b300backed Yes | 42c | 191$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc436…94d3backed Yes | 42c | 191$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6039…9496backed No | 58c | 190$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.8 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71dd…14e9backed No | 58c | 190$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FK Crvena zvezda win on 2026-01-29?this page
- Will FK Crvena zvezda vs. RC Celta de Vigo end in a draw?Yes won
- Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-01-29?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.