UFC · resolved market
Dvalishvili vs. Nurmagomedov
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1f3d3fd1298835048791d7a066e89e2c54ef9c35b24e6b44d379ea4e40f0a735
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dvalishviliof Dvalishvili, Nurmagomedov
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $337,197
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $352,865
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $337,197 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 542 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xef38…ae8cbacked Nurmagomedov | 69c | 47,367$32,918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,917.72 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5735…f1f7backed Dvalishvili | 29c | 30,524$8,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,574.73 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35fb…ab4dbacked Nurmagomedov | 55c | 23,600$12,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,899.99 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -39%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53d2…0c3fbacked Dvalishvili | 49c | 18,213$8,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,224.95 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…f722backed Dvalishvili | 28c | 18,148$5,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,119.71 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -6.2wins | -0.24per pick | 51cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x242e…ee63backed Nurmagomedov | 70c | 18,007$12,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,605.03 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 63cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1638…339bbacked Dvalishvili | 27c | 15,576$4,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,434.54 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +71.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3275…e7fcbacked Nurmagomedov | 72c | 13,295$9,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,580.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8082…b212backed Nurmagomedov | 44c | 10,334$4,559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,558.52 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3291…e502backed Dvalishvili | 25c | 10,139$2,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,558.53 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Nurmagomedov | 73c | 10,098$7,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,353.47 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x649f…993ebacked Dvalishvili | 30c | 8,207$2,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,744.61 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdaca…cbdbbacked Nurmagomedov | 74c | 8,000$5,926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,926.07 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 66cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xace4…bd19backed Dvalishvili | 27c | 8,000$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,840 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef86…5afcbacked Nurmagomedov | 75c | 6,920$5,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,164.21 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Dvalishvili | 33c | 6,153$2,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,110.5 | 235 | 37%87 W · 148 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c0e…3f36backed Dvalishvili | 30c | 5,816$1,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,071.06 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 29cpaid | +79.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Dvalishvili | 30c | 5,667$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,966.87 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c16…df3abacked Dvalishvili | 43c | 5,458$2,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,089.45 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Dvalishvili | 30c | 5,449$1,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,837.72 | 358 | 26%93 W · 265 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x975b…2d5fbacked Dvalishvili | 62c | 5,291$3,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,007.63 | 141 | 29.8%42 W · 99 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf15…bdaebacked Nurmagomedov | 70c | 4,558$3,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,211.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Nurmagomedov | 70c | 3,872$2,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,728.17 | 215 | 54.4%117 W · 98 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a5…122bbacked Dvalishvili | 72c | 3,849$2,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,065.66 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2137…0677backed Dvalishvili | 51c | 3,528$1,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,712.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0688…d67dbacked Nurmagomedov | 75c | 3,464$2,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,589.15 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33c2…9818backed Nurmagomedov | 72c | 3,333$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,399.73 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ee…735abacked Nurmagomedov | 71c | 2,775$1,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,970.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…334bbacked Nurmagomedov | 73c | 2,741$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0f…a318backed Dvalishvili | 30c | 2,477$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,733.88 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 37cpaid | +37%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x170e…d9bebacked Nurmagomedov | 71c | 2,458$1,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,745.17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 68cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02a1…8ccdbacked Dvalishvili | 29c | 2,381$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,683.65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +109.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04a7…c0dfbacked Dvalishvili | 30c | 2,205$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,543.29 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe893…f215backed Nurmagomedov | 69c | 2,161$1,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,484.07 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb73c…45f2backed Dvalishvili | 31c | 2,114$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,457.66 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +157.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90f6…b703backed Nurmagomedov | 21c | 2,111$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Dvalishvili | 28c | 2,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 355 | 39.4%140 W · 215 L | -19.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8914…d0c5backed Nurmagomedov | 72c | 1,806$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Dvalishvili | 30c | 1,805$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,263.3 | 399 | 59.6%238 W · 161 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…f7d7backed Dvalishvili | 28c | 1,800$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,296 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed Dvalishvili | 24c | 1,795$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,356.99 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e25…043ebacked Nurmagomedov | 71c | 1,725$1,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,233.15 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -4.4wins | -0.37per pick | 70cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…2429backed Dvalishvili | 27c | 1,680$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,226.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +270.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5415…f747backed Nurmagomedov | 73c | 1,680$1,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,226.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20e…5998backed Dvalishvili | 71c | 1,624$1,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.65 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x468f…c2a7backed Nurmagomedov | 72c | 1,533$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 140 | 45.7%64 W · 76 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…f44cbacked Dvalishvili | 30c | 1,526$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,070.06 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Dvalishvili | 29c | 1,523$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,075.93 | 162 | 47.5%77 W · 85 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed Dvalishvili | 26c | 1,500$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 35cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…21bbbacked Nurmagomedov | 8c | 1,500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Nurmagomedov | 70c | 1,500$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.96 | 420 | 42.6%179 W · 241 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f1…a443backed Nurmagomedov | 72c | 1,458$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…bdf5backed Nurmagomedov | 69c | 1,407$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.83 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Nurmagomedov | 71c | 1,392$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$995.44 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Nurmagomedov | 2c | 1,370$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.4 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecdf…6c07backed Nurmagomedov | 73c | 1,370$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7dd…1e23backed Dvalishvili | 25c | 1,345$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,009.82 | 105 | 29.5%31 W · 74 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e7…ef3bbacked Nurmagomedov | 75c | 1,333$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbdd…d33fbacked Nurmagomedov | 71c | 1,238$883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$883.18 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c03…f77fbacked Dvalishvili | 28c | 1,237$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +192.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b02…f3d9backed Dvalishvili | 29c | 1,200$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$849.99 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33fe…0cccbacked Dvalishvili | 30c | 1,149$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$808.54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe9…fecdbacked Dvalishvili | 29c | 1,146$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +71.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93b4…2486backed Dvalishvili | 29c | 1,127$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.24 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x846a…44b7backed Nurmagomedov | 72c | 1,122$808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$807.86 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Nurmagomedov | 72c | 1,111$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Nurmagomedov | 3c | 1,111$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.33 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | +22%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked Dvalishvili | 29c | 1,093$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.37 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Dvalishvili | 12c | 1,070$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$942.34 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a4d…caa6backed Nurmagomedov | 70c | 1,029$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.12 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.9wins | -0.42per pick | 56cpaid | -77.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5037…a863backed Dvalishvili | 30c | 1,009$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.56 | 110 | 54.5%60 W · 50 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79a1…5801backed Dvalishvili | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.01 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf61b…f73ebacked Nurmagomedov | 73c | 1,000$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed Nurmagomedov | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed Dvalishvili | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…bedbbacked Nurmagomedov | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91f7…0108backed Dvalishvili | 27c | 999.98$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.98 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +183.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa67…0ef4backed Dvalishvili | 26c | 999.97$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.98 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62dd…869abacked Nurmagomedov | 70c | 999.96$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c0…8746backed Dvalishvili | 30c | 999.78$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f7f…6450backed Nurmagomedov | 72c | 973.2$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Dvalishvili | 32c | 965.57$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.9 | 210 | 31.9%67 W · 143 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…8882backed Dvalishvili | 33c | 912.48$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.03 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Dvalishvili | 29c | 888.45$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.3 | 130 | 41.5%54 W · 76 L | -9.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Nurmagomedov | 70c | 876.4$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.24 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14dd…13eebacked Nurmagomedov | 12c | 874.92$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1530…562dbacked Dvalishvili | 27c | 849.98$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.99 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x421e…bc7fbacked Nurmagomedov | 16c | 849.7$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1108…cb47backed Nurmagomedov | 72c | 845$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7212…0536backed Nurmagomedov | 71c | 843.57$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef04…88c3backed Nurmagomedov | 71c | 820$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Dvalishvili | 28c | 799.99$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e98…c064backed Nurmagomedov | 72c | 755.26$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.79 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe411…04c5backed Dvalishvili | 31c | 753.85$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.16 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…f9d6backed Dvalishvili | 28c | 749.98$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.98 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…3ccebacked Dvalishvili | 27c | 749.96$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.47 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.29per pick | 60cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5172…0581backed Nurmagomedov | 4c | 745.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.84 | 34 | 2.9%1 W · 33 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5861…66efbacked Nurmagomedov | 72c | 715.28$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Nurmagomedov | 71c | 704.32$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.44 | 539 | 56.6%305 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf04…ad65backed Nurmagomedov | 71c | 702.68$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.9 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dvalishvili vs. Nurmagomedovthis page
- Holland vs. de Ridderde Ridder won
- Makhachev vs. MoicanoMakhachev won
- Prochazka vs. HillProchazka won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.