UFC · resolved market
Prochazka vs. Hill
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x13ddddeef749649fde520560b3c17c8f912ef17a8eb8a40b9cb62c4b4429d8e0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Prochazkaof Prochazka, Hill
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $142,712
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $166,402
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $142,712 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 332 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5735…f1f7backed Prochazka | 49c | 15,890$7,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,103.81 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5978…5e50backed Hill | 52c | 15,194$7,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,954.92 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 43cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…bdf5backed Hill | 51c | 14,781$7,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,538.47 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…f722backed Hill | 52c | 13,085$6,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,785.41 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -6.2wins | -0.24per pick | 51cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Hill | 49c | 8,645$4,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,236.06 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c2…9818backed Prochazka | 51c | 8,333$4,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,116.5 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xace4…bd19backed Prochazka | 51c | 6,000$3,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,940 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a5…122bbacked Hill | 3c | 5,573$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.84 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Hill | 49c | 5,005$2,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,453.96 | 160 | 49.4%79 W · 81 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed Hill | 50c | 4,043$2,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,021.49 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3291…e502backed Prochazka | 51c | 3,859$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,899.54 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35fb…ab4dbacked Hill | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -39%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c0e…3f36backed Prochazka | 49c | 2,653$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,353.06 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 29cpaid | +79.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf960…fcbfbacked Prochazka | 47c | 2,600$1,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,372.1 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x242e…ee63backed Prochazka | 48c | 2,500$1,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,309.04 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 63cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70f3…3c23backed Hill | 55c | 2,379$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,299.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3eb…e855backed Hill | 52c | 2,175$1,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,131.82 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa727…8289backed Hill | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 41cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Prochazka | 49c | 2,000$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030 | 355 | 39.4%140 W · 215 L | -19.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Prochazka | 48c | 2,000$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef38…ae8cbacked Hill | 52c | 1,893$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984.21 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd353…f6acbacked Prochazka | 47c | 1,555$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.68 | 252 | 51.2%129 W · 123 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…f004backed Prochazka | 58c | 1,543$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.5 | 209 | 54.1%113 W · 96 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Prochazka | 48c | 1,511$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.47 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe28a…8072backed Hill | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.99 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Hill | 50c | 1,437$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.74 | 420 | 42.6%179 W · 241 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Hill | 53c | 1,413$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.99 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcefa…bef8backed Hill | 53c | 1,329$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.69 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 65cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Hill | 46c | 1,324$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.82 | 202 | 49%99 W · 103 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Hill | 51c | 1,285$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.1 | 215 | 54.4%117 W · 98 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f54…78c4backed Prochazka | 47c | 1,163$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b2…66d8backed Prochazka | 50c | 1,115$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.91 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +80.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Hill | 54c | 1,111$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.92 | 399 | 59.6%238 W · 161 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…4db9backed Hill | 48c | 1,103$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.55 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Prochazka | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.83 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9083…d27bbacked Prochazka | 49c | 1,030$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.61 | 151 | 39.7%60 W · 91 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44b9…0598backed Prochazka | 50c | 1,008$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.89 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +177.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91f7…0108backed Prochazka | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +183.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed Hill | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed Hill | 52c | 999.97$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.98 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53d2…0c3fbacked Prochazka | 48c | 997.31$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.6 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5cf…c503backed Prochazka | 46c | 861.65$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.73 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x468f…c2a7backed Hill | 59c | 853.01$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502 | 140 | 45.7%64 W · 76 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…21bbbacked Prochazka | 46c | 806.32$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.32 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…f9d6backed Prochazka | 48c | 800$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…f7d7backed Prochazka | 47c | 799.99$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.99 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Prochazka | 48c | 743.55$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.65 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e09…1c3fbacked Hill | 52c | 667.69$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.2 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0165…3753backed Prochazka | 49c | 615.38$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +105.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba2e…39b5backed Prochazka | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.24 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14a5…30fdbacked Hill | 55c | 600$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.29per pick | 51cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7455…93adbacked Prochazka | 47c | 599.97$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.98 | 195 | 31.8%62 W · 133 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85f1…34ecbacked Prochazka | 50c | 591.7$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.95 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +4.5wins | +0.16per pick | 37cpaid | +70.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x93b4…cbfdbacked Hill | 52c | 579.99$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.6 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Prochazka | 59c | 559.47$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.25 | 539 | 56.6%305 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…aff9backed Prochazka | 53c | 556.34$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x328f…e16cbacked Prochazka | 45c | 551.5$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.5 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Prochazka | 46c | 551$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.67 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb34…59eabacked Prochazka | 47c | 550$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.5 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd685…8be9backed Prochazka | 49c | 542.3$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3819…f3d1backed Hill | 52c | 538.35$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.94 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…8882backed Prochazka | 46c | 537.22$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.22 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb208…d98bbacked Hill | 54c | 525.05$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0backed Prochazka | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x538a…bd78backed Prochazka | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef86…5afcbacked Hill | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Prochazka | 47c | 489.36$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.36 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a7…f445backed Prochazka | 46c | 486.62$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.77 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 56cpaid | +85.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Hill | 48c | 476.74$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.6 | 332 | 53.3%177 W · 155 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Prochazka | 48c | 450.25$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.97 | 162 | 47.5%77 W · 85 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e84…4b92backed Prochazka | 47c | 450$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c54…82babacked Prochazka | 57c | 439.35$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.35 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…711abacked Prochazka | 46c | 434$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.46 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7dd…1e23backed Hill | 38c | 413.35$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.73 | 105 | 29.5%31 W · 74 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a8…b7b9backed Prochazka | 49c | 408.63$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.4 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.46per pick | 37cpaid | +133.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4992…5b51backed Prochazka | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +4.0wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2889…fc69backed Prochazka | 47c | 400$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211 | 75 | 41.3%31 W · 44 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eaf…e782backed Hill | 53c | 377.34$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x203f…8e77backed Prochazka | 48c | 376.44$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.75 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Hill | 52c | 349.99$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb63…5241backed Prochazka | 47c | 340.14$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.27 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.39per pick | 36cpaid | +172.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…c201backed Hill | 52c | 338.26$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.9 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Hill | 49c | 310.54$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.17 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -3.8wins | -0.20per pick | 41cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xadd4…af2ebacked Prochazka | 65c | 310.06$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.7 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca5…33afbacked Prochazka | 48c | 310$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1638…339bbacked Prochazka | 44c | 307.14$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +71.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a47…ab43backed Prochazka | 47c | 306.55$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.47 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb9c…d01bbacked Prochazka | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.12 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0c…935dbacked Hill | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Hill | 51c | 299.61$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.5 | 564 | 50.5%285 W · 279 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…d15dbacked Prochazka | 48c | 291.67$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.67 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33fe…0cccbacked Hill | 55c | 290.91$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Prochazka | 45c | 288.93$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.91 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37d2…45eebacked Hill | 52c | 288.4$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.97 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf191…8b53backed Prochazka | 50c | 280$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Prochazka | 47c | 279.2$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.2 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb010…b243backed Hill | 54c | 276.56$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.34 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3092…3985backed Hill | 56c | 275$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35fc…db55backed Hill | 50c | 255.77$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf66…e823backed Hill | 47c | 252.23$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.44 | 248 | 47.2%117 W · 131 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Prochazka vs. Hillthis page
- Dvalishvili vs. NurmagomedovDvalishvili won
- Holland vs. de Ridderde Ridder won
- Makhachev vs. MoicanoMakhachev won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.