UFC · resolved market
Makhachev vs. Moicano
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0b13f57c9e91370d0eb5097f7d152ace0bfb538e4959d88ad96403d7ae30c890
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Makhachevof Makhachev, Moicano
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $272,309
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $317,564
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $272,309 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 159 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x34ea…17d7backed Moicano | 10c | 24,402$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Moicano | 10c | 11,911$1,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,154.6 | 358 | 26%93 W · 265 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5765…7ecbbacked Moicano | 10c | 11,423$1,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,190.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7455…93adbacked Moicano | 9c | 10,366$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.42 | 195 | 31.8%62 W · 133 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0backed Moicano | 8c | 10,012$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840.08 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d83…5308backed Moicano | 13c | 7,569$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x364e…491cbacked Moicano | 11c | 7,511$826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Moicano | 8c | 6,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 420 | 42.6%179 W · 241 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbc…ed7cbacked Moicano | 10c | 5,351$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf6a…3dacbacked Moicano | 10c | 5,041$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18da…ae17backed Moicano | 12c | 4,836$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 31cpaid | +77.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…0004backed Moicano | 9c | 4,126$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.02 | 117 | 61.5%72 W · 45 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Moicano | 9c | 3,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 355 | 39.4%140 W · 215 L | -19.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x975b…2d5fbacked Moicano | 4c | 2,733$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.61 | 141 | 29.8%42 W · 99 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe545…a68cbacked Moicano | 14c | 2,214$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 141 | 30.5%43 W · 98 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd353…f6acbacked Moicano | 11c | 2,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 252 | 51.2%129 W · 123 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3220…cba1backed Moicano | 10c | 1,921$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.8 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 24cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacd4…a98cbacked Moicano | 13c | 1,908$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7321…1892backed Moicano | 12c | 1,783$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28c9…457cbacked Moicano | 9c | 1,585$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b0…504fbacked Moicano | 10c | 1,504$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadd4…af2ebacked Moicano | 7c | 1,500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75e4…b725backed Moicano | 10c | 1,449$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.91 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3717…a54fbacked Moicano | 11c | 1,228$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.1 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c50…7403backed Moicano | 10c | 1,223$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.29 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd2…1098backed Moicano | 9c | 1,104$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -55%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ff…5ec3backed Moicano | 9c | 1,091$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.78 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33fe…0cccbacked Moicano | 10c | 1,036$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55df…67fcbacked Moicano | 11c | 1,018$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa67…0ef4backed Moicano | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedf6…cf40backed Moicano | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Moicano | 9c | 999.98$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff2…2602backed Moicano | 10c | 999.97$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd445…abf3backed Moicano | 10c | 999.92$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2c…9b1cbacked Moicano | 10c | 993.6$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b9…6a5ebacked Moicano | 9c | 991.89$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e98…c064backed Moicano | 12c | 978.8$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7dd…1e23backed Moicano | 10c | 976.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.4 | 105 | 29.5%31 W · 74 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb779…2fc0backed Moicano | 10c | 920.53$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaade…64eabacked Moicano | 9c | 917.57$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3690…3ab9backed Moicano | 11c | 916.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0dc…84e0backed Moicano | 10c | 900$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf893…ebf1backed Moicano | 11c | 885.6$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Moicano | 3c | 854.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.26 | 235 | 37%87 W · 148 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Moicano | 10c | 850$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 130 | 41.5%54 W · 76 L | -9.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a38…c0e6backed Moicano | 12c | 802.5$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.3 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7242…8244backed Moicano | 10c | 800$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f91…dd16backed Moicano | 9c | 785.56$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.7 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.33per pick | 34cpaid | +65%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf41c…c9b3backed Moicano | 11c | 776.34$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.36 | 97 | 37.1%36 W · 61 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…6e8ebacked Moicano | 9c | 702.38$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.21 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93b4…2486backed Moicano | 10c | 644.94$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.33 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e6…017ebacked Moicano | 10c | 621.19$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.87 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c0e…3f36backed Moicano | 9c | 611.11$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 29cpaid | +79.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09a0…2531backed Moicano | 12c | 582.57$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x239a…76e5backed Moicano | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 24cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3158…0b8dbacked Moicano | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…e515backed Moicano | 9c | 535.35$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x538a…bd78backed Moicano | 9c | 500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.47 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8c…e69dbacked Moicano | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3861…b70cbacked Moicano | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb39…ed7abacked Moicano | 9c | 500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e24…51afbacked Moicano | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d04…039cbacked Moicano | 10c | 499.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…30b5backed Moicano | 12c | 496$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 283 | 33.2%94 W · 189 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa10d…acc6backed Moicano | 10c | 480.28$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 20cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ace…78ccbacked Moicano | 10c | 472.5$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9a…f397backed Moicano | 11c | 468.18$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 29cpaid | +83.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14ee…e21dbacked Moicano | 9c | 444.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d0…03e4backed Moicano | 11c | 440.87$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…3b80backed Moicano | 9c | 419.98$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Moicano | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Moicano | 11c | 393.36$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.27 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Moicano | 9c | 392.31$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.31 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -5.6wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd14c…17bebacked Moicano | 12c | 369.23$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 131 | 60.3%79 W · 52 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafb3…7072backed Moicano | 11c | 363.64$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf1…19ebbacked Moicano | 11c | 362.18$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x367d…06c5backed Moicano | 9c | 333.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee07…f564backed Moicano | 11c | 332.84$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85f1…34ecbacked Moicano | 10c | 320.2$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +4.5wins | +0.16per pick | 37cpaid | +70.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x09b0…0261backed Moicano | 13c | 319$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8442…1fdfbacked Moicano | 10c | 300.01$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7073…420cbacked Moicano | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 37cpaid | +26%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd7…a691backed Moicano | 13c | 300$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdea0…9f7abacked Moicano | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…341bbacked Moicano | 8c | 299.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bf…d806backed Moicano | 10c | 279.79$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.79 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37a7…086ebacked Moicano | 11c | 272.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4762…fb07backed Moicano | 11c | 272.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 30cpaid | +78.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Moicano | 10c | 263.22$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.32 | 267 | 43.8%117 W · 150 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c28…7c3dbacked Moicano | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87e9…67c6backed Moicano | 10c | 250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.49 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81b5…2c02backed Moicano | 10c | 243.3$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaec…dd15backed Moicano | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 29cpaid | +81.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Moicano | 11c | 218.18$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 186 | 44.1%82 W · 104 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b49…9ee9backed Moicano | 11c | 214.45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdc0…2258backed Moicano | 12c | 208.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7836…6bc4backed Moicano | 10c | 206.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 32cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe274…dc85backed Moicano | 10c | 204.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.35 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2139…4b34backed Moicano | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d58…0c6ebacked Moicano | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Makhachev vs. Moicanothis page
- Dvalishvili vs. NurmagomedovDvalishvili won
- Holland vs. de Ridderde Ridder won
- Prochazka vs. HillProchazka won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.