UFC · resolved market
Holland vs. de Ridder
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x310685842c2c343d027b63a8d477ab85908fef29d09c2931179dd3c4ba33e78c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- de Ridderof Holland, de Ridder
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $87,405
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $111,298
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,405 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 172 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2cc0…f722backed Holland | 44c | 12,899$5,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,644.74 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -6.2wins | -0.24per pick | 51cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8090…16dcbacked de Ridder | 56c | 9,981$5,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,402.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbdd…d33fbacked de Ridder | 58c | 6,336$3,663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,672.93 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5735…f1f7backed de Ridder | 57c | 5,756$3,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,484.08 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Holland | 41c | 5,434$2,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,241.77 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53d2…0c3fbacked Holland | 44c | 4,726$2,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,096.21 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cde…5b98backed Holland | 5c | 3,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 61 | 9.8%6 W · 55 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb81…1cf3backed Holland | 5c | 3,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 50 | 12%6 W · 44 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 7cpaid | +272.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked de Ridder | 54c | 2,700$1,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,254.58 | 160 | 49.4%79 W · 81 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa727…8289backed Holland | 45c | 2,398$1,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,091.04 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 41cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Holland | 45c | 2,110$949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.41 | 332 | 53.3%177 W · 155 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33c2…9818backed de Ridder | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef38…ae8cbacked de Ridder | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.98 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed de Ridder | 50c | 1,703$847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.47 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5172…0581backed Holland | 5c | 1,600$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 34 | 2.9%1 W · 33 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked de Ridder | 54c | 1,584$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.06 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Holland | 41c | 1,067$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.1 | 420 | 42.6%179 W · 241 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…f7d7backed Holland | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed de Ridder | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Holland | 44c | 1,000$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.76 | 355 | 39.4%140 W · 215 L | -19.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…bfdbbacked de Ridder | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7455…93adbacked Holland | 49c | 700$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344 | 195 | 31.8%62 W · 133 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Holland | 43c | 675$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.25 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3819…f3d1backed Holland | 46c | 543.37$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.95 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb34…59eabacked Holland | 47c | 540$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.8 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Holland | 47c | 520.12$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.39 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -3.8wins | -0.20per pick | 41cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5054…0685backed Holland | 45c | 505.71$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd445…abf3backed Holland | 45c | 504.49$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Holland | 43c | 503.2$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.5 | 215 | 54.4%117 W · 98 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Holland | 44c | 502.53$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.04 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd353…f6acbacked de Ridder | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 252 | 51.2%129 W · 123 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Holland | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa55f…c3d6backed Holland | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed de Ridder | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed Holland | 44c | 499.97$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.98 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Holland | 43c | 497.99$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.14 | 202 | 49%99 W · 103 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93b4…cbfdbacked de Ridder | 55c | 490.25$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.43 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…6e8ebacked Holland | 45c | 474.97$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.67 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbffe…6492backed de Ridder | 48c | 442.57$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.14 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Holland | 46c | 407.73$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.73 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a5…122bbacked de Ridder | 60c | 380.1$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.04 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Holland | 47c | 347.42$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.97 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb9c…d01bbacked Holland | 47c | 321.49$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…d15dbacked Holland | 46c | 304.35$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02a1…8ccdbacked Holland | 46c | 276.45$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.17 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +109.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a47…ab43backed de Ridder | 55c | 261.82$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.82 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf058…e173backed de Ridder | 56c | 257.3$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.21 | 134 | 65.7%88 W · 46 L | +10.1wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0174…f66fbacked Holland | 43c | 250.33$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.64 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Holland | 43c | 232.46$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eaf…e782backed Holland | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf893…ebf1backed Holland | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed Holland | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd94…0b01backed de Ridder | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Holland | 43c | 199.99$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.99 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadd4…af2ebacked Holland | 50c | 199.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Holland | 47c | 199.58$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.88 | 104 | 39.4%41 W · 63 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe545…a68cbacked Holland | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 141 | 30.5%43 W · 98 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7dd…1e23backed de Ridder | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 105 | 29.5%31 W · 74 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x929c…8cb6backed Holland | 50c | 179.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 111 | 52.3%58 W · 53 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…8882backed de Ridder | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…c201backed de Ridder | 60c | 177.67$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.07 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ee…e21dbacked de Ridder | 56c | 151.82$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.8 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35fc…db55backed Holland | 50c | 143.19$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.6 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x203f…8e77backed Holland | 46c | 140$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.4 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3092…3985backed Holland | 46c | 139.13$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe719…58eebacked Holland | 46c | 134.37$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.81 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7524…2149backed de Ridder | 56c | 130.88$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.88 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4992…5b51backed Holland | 46c | 130.43$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +4.0wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdaca…cbdbbacked Holland | 61c | 123.65$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.66 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 66cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3717…a54fbacked Holland | 43c | 121.86$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.4 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed de Ridder | 52c | 120$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 487 | 49.1%239 W · 248 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e6…017ebacked de Ridder | 60c | 116.57$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.46 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba3…fccabacked Holland | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked de Ridder | 56c | 116.07$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.07 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Holland | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 186 | 44.1%82 W · 104 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32f6…9538backed Holland | 47c | 108.87$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.17 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7073…420cbacked Holland | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 37cpaid | +26%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked de Ridder | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe327…ec05backed Holland | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff2…2602backed Holland | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a01…6397backed Holland | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…d2e5backed de Ridder | 55c | 99.99$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 226 | 61.9%140 W · 86 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6643…0109backed Holland | 45c | 99.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b1…aaadbacked de Ridder | 51c | 99.92$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f4…f4f1backed Holland | 51c | 99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.49 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -4.4wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9b19…ac2ebacked Holland | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f91…dd16backed de Ridder | 57c | 90.7$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.33per pick | 34cpaid | +65%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Holland | 45c | 88.88$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 171 | 58.5%100 W · 71 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc94b…fd9bbacked de Ridder | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe62d…dae3backed Holland | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f00…70b4backed Holland | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked Holland | 49c | 80.34$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.37 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf211…649abacked de Ridder | 52c | 80$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2889…fc69backed Holland | 45c | 80$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 75 | 41.3%31 W · 44 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa982…6c34backed Holland | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Holland | 38c | 67.25$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.89 | 210 | 31.9%67 W · 143 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67b8…2449backed Holland | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1e…230abacked de Ridder | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10e4…0475backed Holland | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3916…53c7backed de Ridder | 57c | 59.65$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.65 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Holland vs. de Ridderthis page
- Dvalishvili vs. NurmagomedovDvalishvili won
- Makhachev vs. MoicanoMakhachev won
- Prochazka vs. HillProchazka won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.