TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xdea0…9f7a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
83
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 55 out of 100; worst UFC at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
UFClast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT5345.3%24 W · 29 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 53 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Ian Machado Garry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
UFC Fight Night: Rafael Fiziev vs. Manuel Torres (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Rafael Fiziev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.22
Will Daniil Donchenko win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$26.92
UFC Fight Night: Jean Matsumoto vs. Bekzat Almakhan (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Bekzat Almakhan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Ilia Topuria win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$111
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Ilia Topuria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Alex Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$53
UFC Freedom 250: Steve Garcia vs. Diego Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Diego Lopes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$13.36
UFC Fight Night: Brendan Allen vs. Edmen Shahbazyan (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Brendan Allen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$9.19
UFC Fight Night: Junior Tafa vs. Iwo Baraniewski (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Iwo Baraniewski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$13.29
UFC Fight Night: Tommy Gantt vs. Artur Minev (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Tommy Gantt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+166.2%+$166.23
UFC 328: Joaquin Buckley vs. Sean Brady (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Joaquin Buckley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Tatsuro Taira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Waldo Cortes-Acosta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
UFC 328: Yaroslav Amosov vs. Joel Álvarez (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Yaroslav Amosov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$96.92
UFC 328: Roman Kopylov vs. Marco Tulio (Middleweight, Early Prelims)backed Marco Tulio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Jirí Procházka win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.26
UFC 327: Jirí Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Jirí Procházka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.47
UFC 327: Mateusz Gamrot vs. Esteban Ribovics (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Mateusz Gamrot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$14.48
Will Daniil Donchenko win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$50
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Gaethje · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+212.5%+$21.25
UFC 324: Yadong vs. O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed O'Malley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+51.5%+$10.3
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Dvalishvili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$220
UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Della Maddalena · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$110
UFC 322: Brady vs. Morales (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Brady · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 53 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+13.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+115.1%+$69.03
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$29.37
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+74.7%+$22.4
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+33.8%+$33.78
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+25%+$15
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$33.83
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.22
Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will England win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+156.6%+$46.97
Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+131.2%+$30.17
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+41.3%+$8.27
Will Poland win on 2025-11-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+100%+$10
Will Ukraine win on 2025-11-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+100%+$100
Will Ukraine win on 2025-10-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$98.54
All 22 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-39.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+78.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boxing: Will Usyk win by KO/TKO/DQ?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT+128.9%+$128.86
Boxing: Usyk vs Dubois 2backed Usyk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$56.41
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Everton win on 2025-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST+100%+$31
Will Bournemouth vs. Liverpool end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST-100%-$37
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Barcelona win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.