UFC · resolved market
UFC Fight Night: Junior Tafa vs. Iwo Baraniewski (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbcb9abd670bc71312c0a4719d529df0b51b81a66f356d99c4a2506f14bcc062b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Iwo Baraniewskiof Junior Tafa, Iwo Baraniewski
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $546,491
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $575,054
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $546,491 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 247 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Junior Tafa | 22c | 401,330$88,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88,292.6 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Iwo Baraniewski | 78c | 180,802$141,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,776.38 | 154 | 44.2%68 W · 86 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2f…2ca8backed Iwo Baraniewski | 78c | 100,000$78,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,000.09 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Iwo Baraniewski | 78c | 47,788$37,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,513.45 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | +14.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Iwo Baraniewski | 80c | 40,363$32,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,246.14 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Junior Tafa | 21c | 29,937$6,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,231.73 | 202 | 48.5%98 W · 104 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Iwo Baraniewski | 78c | 25,783$20,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,672.31 | 145 | 58.6%85 W · 60 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Iwo Baraniewski | 78c | 20,000$15,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,399.99 | 371 | 52.8%196 W · 175 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Junior Tafa | 21c | 18,831$3,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,954.54 | 75 | 34.7%26 W · 49 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3695…c66cbacked Iwo Baraniewski | 79c | 6,970$5,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,463.8 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea32…8870backed Iwo Baraniewski | 79c | 5,000$3,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Iwo Baraniewski | 79c | 5,000$3,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.99 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Junior Tafa | 21c | 3,813$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.71 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -4.1wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Junior Tafa | 20c | 3,710$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.12 | 267 | 43.8%117 W · 150 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…2c23backed Iwo Baraniewski | 78c | 3,500$2,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 74cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Junior Tafa | 21c | 3,150$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.5 | 358 | 26%93 W · 265 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Junior Tafa | 19c | 3,017$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.96 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…0f8fbacked Iwo Baraniewski | 78c | 2,700$2,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Iwo Baraniewski | 79c | 2,685$2,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.7 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Iwo Baraniewski | 79c | 2,532$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.65 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ce…02b2backed Junior Tafa | 29c | 2,446$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4d…4db8backed Iwo Baraniewski | 79c | 2,028$1,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ad…1b86backed Junior Tafa | 20c | 2,020$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.27 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked Iwo Baraniewski | 77c | 1,632$1,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.88 | 298 | 48.7%145 W · 153 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34d8…e8ffbacked Iwo Baraniewski | 79c | 1,621$1,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.47 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e5…519dbacked Iwo Baraniewski | 80c | 1,549$1,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.33 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 73cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ad…5bd4backed Junior Tafa | 24c | 1,540$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.32 | 208 | 37%77 W · 131 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…e2d8backed Iwo Baraniewski | 80c | 1,500$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 356 | 64.6%230 W · 126 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…68d7backed Junior Tafa | 22c | 1,364$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | +6.9wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Iwo Baraniewski | 78c | 1,350$1,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.12 | 420 | 54%227 W · 193 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6980…27cfbacked Iwo Baraniewski | 79c | 1,325$1,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.2 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Iwo Baraniewski | 79c | 1,269$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.86 | 261 | 40.6%106 W · 155 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e6…d471backed Iwo Baraniewski | 80c | 1,250$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0976…891ebacked Iwo Baraniewski | 80c | 1,234$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dbd…e1e3backed Iwo Baraniewski | 79c | 1,234$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.18 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Iwo Baraniewski | 80c | 1,136$909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.14 | 267 | 36%96 W · 171 L | -16.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75a7…2d61backed Junior Tafa | 22c | 1,001$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.18 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Junior Tafa | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 48 | 20.8%10 W · 38 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffb…a0aabacked Junior Tafa | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +94.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b4d…5f4abacked Iwo Baraniewski | 79c | 818.89$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.97 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Iwo Baraniewski | 79c | 800.84$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.18 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93cb…32c0backed Junior Tafa | 21c | 781.19$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.05 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x360b…982fbacked Iwo Baraniewski | 79c | 714.96$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.14 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf5c…c4b9backed Junior Tafa | 21c | 714.29$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…3fe8backed Junior Tafa | 25c | 700$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc87…dd68backed Junior Tafa | 21c | 699.97$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.99 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…d08bbacked Iwo Baraniewski | 73c | 683.19$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.46 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e90…1c09backed Iwo Baraniewski | 74c | 679.13$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.13 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 60cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Iwo Baraniewski | 75c | 666.94$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.9 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 64cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x676b…5bc3backed Iwo Baraniewski | 79c | 632.91$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.91 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…916fbacked Iwo Baraniewski | 79c | 605.44$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.68 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4031…92c8backed Iwo Baraniewski | 80c | 600$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -20%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea16…4bd8backed Iwo Baraniewski | 79c | 588.33$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.55 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1132…5a2fbacked Iwo Baraniewski | 79c | 562.03$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.03 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45e1…5934backed Iwo Baraniewski | 79c | 524.53$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.15 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e1…3b95backed Iwo Baraniewski | 77c | 503.48$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.8 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Junior Tafa | 22c | 503$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.72 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Junior Tafa | 21c | 500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 149 | 29.5%44 W · 105 L | -15.2wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Iwo Baraniewski | 75c | 500$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 339 | 48.1%163 W · 176 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Iwo Baraniewski | 72c | 500$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Junior Tafa | 21c | 500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 366 | 55.2%202 W · 164 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Junior Tafa | 22c | 487.72$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.06 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35c4…c28bbacked Junior Tafa | 21c | 456.05$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.77 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Iwo Baraniewski | 79c | 453.89$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.74 | 243 | 56.8%138 W · 105 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6cd…acebbacked Iwo Baraniewski | 79c | 433$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.93 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43e1…535ebacked Iwo Baraniewski | 80c | 420.01$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb24f…c638backed Iwo Baraniewski | 79c | 405.06$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f22…6482backed Iwo Baraniewski | 77c | 389.61$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.61 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9c7…5d22backed Junior Tafa | 26c | 384.28$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 105 | 33.3%35 W · 70 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae4…714cbacked Iwo Baraniewski | 79c | 369$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.49 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Junior Tafa | 21c | 329.59$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 515 | 33.6%173 W · 342 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bce…6c1dbacked Iwo Baraniewski | 77c | 313.22$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.04 | 65 | 69.2%45 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf46…d123backed Junior Tafa | 24c | 312.98$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.12 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Iwo Baraniewski | 79c | 300$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18ea…ae46backed Iwo Baraniewski | 74c | 270$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.2 | 39 | 76.9%30 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 68cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…e969backed Iwo Baraniewski | 78c | 256.32$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.42 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb90…c03dbacked Iwo Baraniewski | 78c | 256$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.32 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe250…ea7abacked Iwo Baraniewski | 78c | 254.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.87 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked Iwo Baraniewski | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 113 | 64.6%73 W · 40 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac6b…a962backed Iwo Baraniewski | 79c | 251.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.58 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1de6…0b70backed Junior Tafa | 21c | 240$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | -6.4wins | -0.25per pick | 32cpaid | -84.9%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9859…1650backed Iwo Baraniewski | 80c | 239.61$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.92 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe523…f087backed Junior Tafa | 25c | 219.83$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 191 | 52.9%101 W · 90 L | +14.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f44…bc79backed Junior Tafa | 22c | 204.55$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 67 | 29.9%20 W · 47 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Iwo Baraniewski | 79c | 201.88$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.4 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Junior Tafa | 21c | 201.67$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.35 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Junior Tafa | 23c | 200.21$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.05 | 120 | 38.3%46 W · 74 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x758a…f23cbacked Iwo Baraniewski | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdc…25d5backed Junior Tafa | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ddd…1ad3backed Iwo Baraniewski | 79c | 200$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…8cc3backed Iwo Baraniewski | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe831…aa69backed Junior Tafa | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae7c…6d3bbacked Junior Tafa | 24c | 199.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ab…9aa1backed Iwo Baraniewski | 76c | 197.37$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f64…3633backed Iwo Baraniewski | 78c | 192.99$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.46 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3f…1365backed Iwo Baraniewski | 79c | 189.87$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.87 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 61cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59a4…260fbacked Iwo Baraniewski | 79c | 187.44$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.36 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed Iwo Baraniewski | 79c | 187$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.27 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…559abacked Iwo Baraniewski | 79c | 184$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.64 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Iwo Baraniewski | 72c | 176$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.16 | 112 | 40.2%45 W · 67 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC Fight Night: Junior Tafa vs. Iwo Baraniewski (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)this page
- Fight to Go the Distance?No won
- O/U 0.5 RoundsUnder won
- O/U 1.5 RoundsUnder won
- O/U 2.5 RoundsUnder won
- Will Iwo Baraniewski win by KO or TKO?Yes won
- Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?Yes won
- Will the fight be won by submission?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.