TailMyPicks
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UFC · resolved market

O/U 1.5 Rounds

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$12,001
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$14,424

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,001 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet's whole record in UFC
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6a32…0086backed Under70c6,400$4,505 inWon+$1,894.9917055.3%94 W · 76 L+10.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x72d8…5213backed Over30c3,593$1,062 inLost-$1,061.65450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-19%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26b4…b8a9backed Under71c2,398$1,702 inWon+$695.314047.5%19 W · 21 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Over30c1,855$557 inLost-$556.57128.2%20 W · 51 L-6.7wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-25.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over29c1,816$525 inLost-$525.0629133.7%98 W · 193 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over29c653.47$189 inLost-$189.1642254.3%229 W · 193 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa24…a75cbacked Over30c496.34$150 inLost-$15010651.9%55 W · 51 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+12.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x07cd…fbebbacked Over29c445.34$130 inLost-$129.992445.8%11 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6650…71b6backed Over29c172.41$50 inLost-$50475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+32.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e34…4480backed Under67c143.76$96 inWon+$47.446756.7%38 W · 29 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb14…5358backed Under74c127.65$94 inWon+$33.1934048.2%164 W · 176 L-15.9wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd3ab…9aa1backed Over27c92.59$25 inLost-$25250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-34.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Over26c84.65$22 inLost-$22.0124256.2%136 W · 106 L+20.8wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+15.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x52f2…5a5dbacked Under78c72.42$56 inWon+$16.283278.1%25 W · 7 L+5.3wins+0.17per pick62cpaid+28.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9a0c…14cebacked Under71c70.66$50 inWon+$20.713351.5%17 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7a9…87e2backed Under73c62.17$45 inWon+$17.032343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d0b…0874backed Under75c40$30 inWon+$108477.4%65 W · 19 L+11.1wins+0.13per pick64cpaid+18.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1950…1bf4backed Over29c37.87$11 inLost-$10.983342.4%14 W · 19 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1fa…9611backed Over33c36.61$12 inLost-$121040%4 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd738…eeeebacked Under71c27.34$19 inWon+$8.0413248.5%64 W · 68 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x07e2…6099backed Under69c21.74$15 inWon+$6.74250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x879b…a5dfbacked Under74c14$10 inWon+$3.641163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
  • The position was at least $10.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.