Fifa International · resolved market
Will Ukraine win on 2025-10-10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb165233108aefea62b9cd01992b8fe2cf0dfce1315bacc748c6fd366394c78be
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $251,010
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $319,149
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $251,010 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 158 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8c30…322abacked Yes | 39c | 60,813$23,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,864.81 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd16a…7691backed Yes | 65c | 18,747$12,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,633.77 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.18per pick | 43cpaid | +114.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 42c | 18,028$7,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,570.2 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2232…f6fabacked Yes | 79c | 12,550$9,947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,602.94 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.41per pick | 61cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 43c | 12,131$5,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,267.45 | 173 | 45.7%79 W · 94 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 60c | 11,234$6,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,789.13 | 246 | 47.6%117 W · 129 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfef2…1470backed Yes | 39c | 10,625$4,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,491.91 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +120.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 61c | 7,787$4,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,740.5 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 44c | 5,634$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500.12 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 61c | 4,500$2,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,744.97 | 162 | 44.4%72 W · 90 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Yes | 47c | 3,617$1,709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,907.89 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed No | 58c | 3,339$1,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,929.85 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf515…0805backed No | 64c | 2,503$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed No | 60c | 2,500$1,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,510 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a32…6d7ebacked No | 60c | 2,500$1,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,510 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 13c | 2,500$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 319 | 45.1%144 W · 175 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 57c | 2,378$1,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,348.97 | 747 | 52.2%390 W · 357 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71f8…55ffbacked Yes | 53c | 2,200$1,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,043.5 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +291.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed No | 58c | 2,024$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,179.91 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Yes | 37c | 2,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,259.96 | 385 | 26.8%103 W · 282 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed No | 31c | 1,999$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.35 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 63c | 1,877$1,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180.69 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2be4…01adbacked No | 12c | 1,749$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.8 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad6f…2246backed No | 59c | 1,662$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e0d…285dbacked Yes | 40c | 1,608$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$965.12 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Yes | 42c | 1,594$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$927.14 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 41c | 1,517$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.44 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedae…584fbacked No | 60c | 1,500$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$906 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc83…e52dbacked No | 64c | 1,413$903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes | 71c | 1,382$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.22 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +4.8wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 61c | 1,291$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.51 | 120 | 47.5%57 W · 63 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef4…4e4ebacked No | 72c | 1,283$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$923.76 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 50c | 1,280$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.34 | 85 | 38.8%33 W · 52 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5693…71fdbacked Yes | 38c | 1,041$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.48 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked No | 41c | 985.91$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.91 | 105 | 35.2%37 W · 68 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8498…d219backed Yes | 39c | 815.12$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.85 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ff…8ed7backed Yes | 74c | 806.75$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23c3…bdf4backed Yes | 38c | 792.11$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.11 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed No | 60c | 780.34$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.64 | 210 | 16.7%35 W · 175 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Yes | 43c | 697.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.67 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed No | 37c | 688.87$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.46 | 287 | 31%89 W · 198 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked No | 60c | 655$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +4.9wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x78e5…7d6abacked Yes | 41c | 609.76$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.76 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d03…369abacked No | 60c | 600$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +4.9wins | +0.23per pick | 38cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 43c | 538.23$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.74 | 346 | 30.1%104 W · 242 L | -21.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 36c | 500$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 88 | 55.7%49 W · 39 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 36c | 487.05$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.71 | 211 | 40.3%85 W · 126 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked No | 15c | 400$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 360 | 38.1%137 W · 223 L | -15.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0c…b90abacked No | 61c | 393.05$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.76 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.18per pick | 63cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ab…ff0cbacked No | 60c | 371.83$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.1 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 64c | 370.35$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.03 | 103 | 66%68 W · 35 L | +12.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7292…6bd3backed No | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 60c | 333$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.8 | 140 | 40.7%57 W · 83 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed No | 58c | 299.97$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.99 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ea…a857backed No | 61c | 279.93$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.76 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd81…d892backed Yes | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.16 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc17a…1db3backed Yes | 38c | 262.59$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +162.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 38c | 242.12$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.08 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Yes | 42c | 240.81$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.67 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed No | 62c | 226.97$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.72 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf8bf…dfb9backed Yes | 37c | 200$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecd8…b72dbacked Yes | 43c | 193.02$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked No | 58c | 189.83$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.72 | 227 | 49.3%112 W · 115 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6463…4d45backed Yes | 43c | 187.72$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 38c | 185$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.7 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed Yes | 37c | 179.96$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.37 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfced…6116backed Yes | 56c | 178.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.77 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdea0…9f7abacked Yes | 39c | 161.54$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.54 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 32c | 157.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.97 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -5.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x16aa…d710backed Yes | 46c | 156.26$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc4…3c1dbacked No | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5362…d3fbbacked Yes | 39c | 153.85$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.85 | 77 | 44.2%34 W · 43 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked No | 60c | 150$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfade…283bbacked No | 62c | 148.39$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1657…c27ebacked Yes | 42c | 142.86$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.86 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd7…de6dbacked Yes | 42c | 136.43$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.55 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebf0…7c7ebacked No | 62c | 136$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.32 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1aaa…0c04backed No | 59c | 135.59$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Yes | 38c | 132$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.84 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.58 | 104 | 31.7%33 W · 71 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa834…6ee3backed Yes | 39c | 130$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.6 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72c6…f769backed Yes | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.21 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed No | 63c | 126.98$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945e…353dbacked No | 63c | 126.98$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Yes | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.26 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2778…8547backed Yes | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.56 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bb…2054backed Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.25per pick | 47cpaid | +58%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 222 | 42.8%95 W · 127 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…0540backed Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.18per pick | 37cpaid | +45%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked No | 58c | 90.94$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.31 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -51%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2113…0bb0backed Yes | 39c | 82.56$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.36 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 48cpaid | +73.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x395c…4415backed Yes | 43c | 76.77$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.76 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb0…3175backed Yes | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.43 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +116.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99c4…0a2dbacked Yes | 38c | 65.79$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.79 | 57 | 66.7%38 W · 19 L | +5.7wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…6b4abacked Yes | 32c | 62.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.31 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 66cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66c2…0aa5backed Yes | 39c | 61.21$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.34 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +94.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x941e…a442backed Yes | 40c | 60$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3d…3e5cbacked Yes | 68c | 58.4$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed No | 62c | 56.17$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.83 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81c9…b374backed Yes | 39c | 55.95$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ukraine win on 2025-10-10?this page
- Will Iceland vs. Ukraine end in a draw?No won
- Will Iceland win on 2025-10-10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.