Fifa International · resolved market
Will Iceland vs. Ukraine end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x60fc1c133ee2129ceb08e35b3045e0b15815358c3fc7c6e0394f07966eb48ad4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $73,411
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $75,796
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,411 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8c30…322abacked Yes | 31c | 51,692$16,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,000 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 69c | 7,592$5,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,353.5 | 173 | 45.7%79 W · 94 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 69c | 6,532$4,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,027.78 | 246 | 47.6%117 W · 129 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 69c | 5,405$3,754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,650.57 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 70c | 5,288$3,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,579.57 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 69c | 5,000$3,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,550 | 747 | 52.2%390 W · 357 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 70c | 5,000$3,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,505 | 162 | 44.4%72 W · 90 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked No | 50c | 3,000$1,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,515.05 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2232…f6fabacked Yes | 73c | 2,671$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,950.1 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.41per pick | 61cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed No | 69c | 2,500$1,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a32…6d7ebacked No | 69c | 2,500$1,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 70c | 2,076$1,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.75 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 69c | 1,990$1,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.87 | 211 | 40.3%85 W · 126 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a4…819fbacked Yes | 29c | 1,616$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 69c | 1,522$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.82 | 120 | 47.5%57 W · 63 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedae…584fbacked No | 69c | 1,500$1,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde98…bedfbacked Yes | 30c | 1,440$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.02 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 27cpaid | +197.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6b…567cbacked No | 71c | 1,265$898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.79 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ef…f3dfbacked No | 72c | 1,186$851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Yes | 30c | 1,005$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 236 | 22%52 W · 184 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed No | 27c | 940$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.2 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed No | 70c | 846.54$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.96 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Yes | 31c | 813.94$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -9.4wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae5…f51dbacked Yes | 30c | 665.01$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.73 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked No | 69c | 606.67$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +4.9wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d03…369abacked No | 69c | 600$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +4.9wins | +0.23per pick | 38cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8e79…2d68backed Yes | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 105 | 41.9%44 W · 61 L | +9.9wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +41%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Yes | 15c | 455.33$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.3 | 287 | 31%89 W · 198 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed No | 70c | 253$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.9 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 40c | 197.09$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.22 | 85 | 38.8%33 W · 52 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4caf…6de9backed Yes | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9264…bca3backed Yes | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked No | 69c | 150$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0c…b90abacked Yes | 28c | 146.02$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.89 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.18per pick | 63cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 29c | 137.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 360 | 38.1%137 W · 223 L | -15.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc190…02aebacked Yes | 30c | 133.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d1b…5adbbacked Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe467…2f53backed No | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…c82fbacked Yes | 33c | 93.03$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.37 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked No | 67c | 93.03$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.37 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -51%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa01…473cbacked Yes | 30c | 86.67$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa695…c8a4backed Yes | 68c | 85.35$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.04 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1334…3c35backed Yes | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…8502backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 52c | 75.95$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.46 | 346 | 30.1%104 W · 242 L | -21.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 71c | 71$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.59 | 135 | 38.5%52 W · 83 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf301…dd70backed No | 71c | 70$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x660e…76ccbacked Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 192 | 41.1%79 W · 113 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8017…3366backed Yes | 31c | 37.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 67cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed No | 70c | 32.78$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.83 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2408…9de9backed No | 72c | 32.64$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3635…17c8backed No | 71c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 71c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 112 | 59.8%67 W · 45 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf99d…f867backed No | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Iceland vs. Ukraine end in a draw?this page
- Will Iceland win on 2025-10-10?No won
- Will Ukraine win on 2025-10-10?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.