Fifa International · resolved market
Will Iceland win on 2025-10-10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb65f56e57d5bc56fc1b66c7aa2306e1eba9a7885145b85a4c8077d79752d6894
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $141,001
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $143,684
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $141,001 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 68c | 25,043$17,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,013.6 | 747 | 52.2%390 W · 357 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 32c | 25,000$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 270 | 39.6%107 W · 163 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Yes | 32c | 20,000$6,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,399.96 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 69c | 17,075$11,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,219.7 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd00…7a45backed Yes | 34c | 15,329$5,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,244.43 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 68c | 6,255$4,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,008.4 | 246 | 47.6%117 W · 129 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed No | 65c | 5,319$3,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,836.64 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 65c | 5,006$3,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,751.96 | 173 | 45.7%79 W · 94 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe636…9d26backed Yes | 34c | 4,579$1,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,538.59 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed No | 68c | 4,400$2,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,407.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a4…819fbacked Yes | 34c | 3,407$1,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,166 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 32c | 2,923$926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$925.99 | 236 | 22%52 W · 184 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef4…4e4ebacked Yes | 36c | 2,717$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$978.72 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 66c | 2,638$1,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901.79 | 162 | 44.4%72 W · 90 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f23…aec9backed No | 68c | 2,378$1,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Yes | 32c | 2,322$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 67c | 2,157$1,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.27 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac93…1c13backed Yes | 33c | 1,495$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 46cpaid | -80.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5045…7e27backed Yes | 35c | 1,480$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.93 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 19cpaid | -84%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…85afbacked Yes | 34c | 1,401$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc539…d53fbacked No | 69c | 1,401$959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6b…567cbacked No | 67c | 1,378$923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.61 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed No | 80c | 1,370$1,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.46 | 103 | 66%68 W · 35 L | +12.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ba…1ef3backed No | 68c | 1,350$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -51%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…208bbacked Yes | 34c | 1,033$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 111 | 37.8%42 W · 69 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Yes | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 105 | 35.2%37 W · 68 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed No | 68c | 998.96$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.67 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26ff…8ed7backed No | 72c | 972.22$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.22 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 67c | 861.12$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.87 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 32c | 843.03$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.06 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf341…d026backed Yes | 32c | 669.44$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedae…584fbacked No | 65c | 600$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae5…f51dbacked Yes | 34c | 596.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df4…0287backed Yes | 26c | 540.52$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf6…8e9abacked Yes | 32c | 460.5$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.35 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdb8…af02backed No | 68c | 430.88$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.88 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa73…87f0backed No | 68c | 429$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -51%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec73…6af3backed Yes | 33c | 428.07$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.48 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed Yes | 32c | 390$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.8 | 210 | 16.7%35 W · 175 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7aba…7442backed Yes | 35c | 381.03$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.36 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3b…e349backed Yes | 35c | 358.02$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32e3…ba7cbacked Yes | 34c | 354.15$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacf7…4641backed Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.31per pick | 48cpaid | -74%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0083…8cb1backed Yes | 34c | 304.53$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…65fdbacked Yes | 31c | 300$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 69 | 18.8%13 W · 56 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Yes | 8c | 297.71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 287 | 31%89 W · 198 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1e…49d9backed No | 68c | 205.5$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.76 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed Yes | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed No | 72c | 184.93$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.78 | 88 | 55.7%49 W · 39 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x32ea…a857backed No | 66c | 175$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.5 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Yes | 21c | 168.1$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.68 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e73…e5c1backed Yes | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a09…4a9ebacked Yes | 34c | 151.85$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.63 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5be2…df8cbacked No | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x938b…9381backed Yes | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5bd…58bbbacked Yes | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051a…75d7backed Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked No | 69c | 130.48$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.12 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -51%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf36…94e8backed No | 68c | 130$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 70cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc190…02aebacked Yes | 33c | 121.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb4…0c34backed Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…770cbacked Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65d3…d153backed Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -4.0wins | -0.17per pick | 38cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfb…de50backed No | 66c | 89.99$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.15per pick | 32cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6912…c24ebacked Yes | 34c | 88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.92 | 131 | 25.2%33 W · 98 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6c…e22bbacked Yes | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa01…473cbacked Yes | 33c | 78.79$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 32c | 75.48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.15 | 203 | 22.7%46 W · 157 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Yes | 34c | 73.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8737…7745backed Yes | 35c | 71.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf144…f2bbbacked Yes | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 42cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa80…79ebbacked Yes | 34c | 70.59$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a09…cdffbacked Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…c82fbacked Yes | 31c | 64.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…0e8bbacked Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x17ae…ccf1backed Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a54…953abacked Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98f6…79d2backed Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a28…7630backed Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c46…3614backed No | 68c | 58.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdadd…fbe7backed Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6944…3902backed Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefe7…0cdfbacked Yes | 30c | 57.03$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 100 | 37%37 W · 63 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa13b…1a4dbacked Yes | 23c | 54.66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed No | 67c | 53.73$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.73 | 403 | 55.3%223 W · 180 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3149…9762backed Yes | 34c | 52.94$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe0…f92abacked Yes | 21c | 52.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5199…4011backed Yes | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 39cpaid | +89.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 65c | 46.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 211 | 40.3%85 W · 126 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c95…30cbbacked Yes | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1790…813dbacked Yes | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c80…6f38backed Yes | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 105 | 40%42 W · 63 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c39…b289backed Yes | 35c | 43.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2330…db56backed Yes | 33c | 42.42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad12…5325backed Yes | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb237…39e1backed No | 68c | 36.82$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb165…10dabacked No | 67c | 34.33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.33 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4fa…ccdbbacked Yes | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Iceland win on 2025-10-10?this page
- Will Iceland vs. Ukraine end in a draw?No won
- Will Ukraine win on 2025-10-10?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.