Fifa International · resolved market
Will Ukraine win on 2025-11-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xab9778d7d45a9e54666b23395c4af98fda75effacc2ab1359d94e632f1d0f5a5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $369,305
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $438,478
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $369,305 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 453 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 48c | 51,145$24,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,710.86 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5a…00f2backed Yes | 55c | 46,669$25,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,001.18 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 47c | 39,309$18,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,318.61 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 45c | 30,084$13,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,535.49 | 281 | 33.1%93 W · 188 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,000 | 270 | 39.6%107 W · 163 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd5…ce6bbacked No | 30c | 15,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae1…5251backed Yes | 70c | 15,000$10,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,500 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 50c | 11,212$5,606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,605.91 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -9.1wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Yes | 55c | 9,326$5,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,239.67 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8366…21ebbacked Yes | 55c | 9,091$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,090.91 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 54c | 7,954$4,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,309.79 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 47c | 5,286$2,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,812.93 | 293 | 43%126 W · 167 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed No | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,650 | 190 | 38.9%74 W · 116 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,299.95 | 43 | 67.4%29 W · 14 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Yes | 50c | 4,595$2,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,311.77 | 93 | 57%53 W · 40 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Yes | 50c | 3,999$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,999.5 | 385 | 26.8%103 W · 282 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed No | 50c | 3,940$1,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,970 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 45c | 3,888$1,767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,766.88 | 170 | 48.2%82 W · 88 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd1…4ea6backed Yes | 50c | 3,400$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,700 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes | 53c | 3,263$1,732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,531.47 | 137 | 48.2%66 W · 71 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 58c | 3,107$1,816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,816.44 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 45c | 2,900$1,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,305 | 83 | 59%49 W · 34 L | +10.0wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 55c | 2,588$1,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,429.83 | 359 | 42.9%154 W · 205 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Yes | 54c | 2,499$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,149.66 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -5.4wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x29e4…252fbacked Yes | 54c | 2,400$1,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,104 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +83.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 23c | 2,195$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.36 | 346 | 30.1%104 W · 242 L | -21.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed Yes | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.9 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8efe…7b44backed Yes | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0a…8ca0backed No | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24b1…5163backed Yes | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.99 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba8…500abacked Yes | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.98 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7104…afefbacked Yes | 51c | 1,970$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969.98 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +4.4wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6115…616cbacked Yes | 54c | 1,848$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +84.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfef2…1470backed Yes | 55c | 1,833$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.39 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +120.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 42c | 1,757$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.78 | 85 | 38.8%33 W · 52 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed No | 2c | 1,577$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.55 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x447f…1c2cbacked No | 46c | 1,568$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed No | 44c | 1,535$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.43 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b14…e02abacked Yes | 50c | 1,401$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.5 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4537…491dbacked Yes | 52c | 1,227$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.92 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1543…623cbacked Yes | 55c | 1,225$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.78 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaec0…5a19backed Yes | 45c | 1,200$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae5…f51dbacked Yes | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.18 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe44b…4982backed No | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d94…40e6backed No | 14c | 1,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc4…cae6backed No | 46c | 999.95$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 48c | 995.98$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.63 | 423 | 52%220 W · 203 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd0…eb9dbacked No | 45c | 926.43$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.89 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da0…2f48backed Yes | 53c | 901.92$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.9 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 43c | 847.71$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.92 | 550 | 45.1%248 W · 302 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x454b…5b8bbacked No | 51c | 799.37$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 177 | 47.5%84 W · 93 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 57c | 784$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.88 | 220 | 41.4%91 W · 129 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6b…7b61backed Yes | 56c | 768.37$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.11 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 43c | 760.1$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.84 | 125 | 25.6%32 W · 93 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed No | 45c | 755.16$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.97 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 53c | 754.72$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.72 | 360 | 38.1%137 W · 223 L | -15.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked Yes | 54c | 704.45$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.02 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +66.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa645…0be6backed Yes | 48c | 703.24$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.41 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked No | 45c | 699.97$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.99 | 105 | 35.2%37 W · 68 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Yes | 44c | 681.82$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.82 | 142 | 26.8%38 W · 104 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 51c | 660.49$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.88 | 145 | 37.2%54 W · 91 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Yes | 57c | 649.26$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.26 | 108 | 68.5%74 W · 34 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42c4…93a7backed No | 50c | 646$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.9wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ec…6933backed Yes | 54c | 600$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Yes | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x644b…2145backed Yes | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c80…1c3bbacked Yes | 45c | 600$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Yes | 56c | 599.94$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.97 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed No | 43c | 592$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.56 | 93 | 24.7%23 W · 70 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc22c…bfc7backed Yes | 46c | 571.45$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.95 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +71.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c4…8a66backed Yes | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70ef…e25dbacked Yes | 51c | 551.4$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5c84backed Yes | 45c | 550.83$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.83 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 66cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7aba…7442backed Yes | 49c | 532.86$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.32 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb72b…f4e0backed No | 47c | 531.91$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1dd…4ff7backed Yes | 50c | 517.8$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5045…7e27backed Yes | 48c | 516$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.72 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 19cpaid | -84%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e85…1f81backed Yes | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.15per pick | 17cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33c2…9818backed No | 53c | 499.97$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.98 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 77c | 499.58$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.62 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec8b…152bbacked No | 47c | 488.92$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.79 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.42per pick | 62cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x23c3…bdf4backed No | 46c | 477.22$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.52 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 51c | 476$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.79 | 300 | 31%93 W · 207 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc555…38e7backed Yes | 47c | 472.56$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +114.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b25…b5ccbacked Yes | 56c | 444.14$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.42 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf23b…4957backed Yes | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed No | 46c | 423.97$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.05 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Yes | 27c | 421.41$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.63 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes | 51c | 418.14$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.89 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +4.8wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cb…8c6ebacked Yes | 42c | 402.99$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +137%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a49…7d21backed Yes | 50c | 398.52$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.26 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | +111.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe923…0779backed Yes | 51c | 393.75$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.94 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -34%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3510…09d8backed Yes | 51c | 393.47$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +97.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ba…f30dbacked No | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 248 | 37.1%92 W · 156 L | -12.5wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 25c | 388.22$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.62 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa054…21b4backed Yes | 50c | 387.82$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.91 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ab…41c1backed No | 49c | 386.33$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.3 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16b9…3d59backed Yes | 33c | 385$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.25 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ukraine win on 2025-11-16?this page
- Will Iceland win on 2025-11-16?No won
- Will Ukraine vs. Iceland end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.