Fifa International · resolved market
Will Poland win on 2025-11-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4627b7b2de8227944a034f33f13355c599b8aa49e6a465c39c31abba8a0a42e1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $592,057
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $665,862
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $592,057 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 616 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 77c | 54,705$42,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,647.98 | 300 | 31%93 W · 207 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 23c | 36,544$8,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,405.04 | 250 | 38.8%97 W · 153 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 26c | 35,000$9,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,099.89 | 270 | 39.6%107 W · 163 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa3…64e9backed No | 25c | 31,319$7,812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,811.91 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed No | 24c | 30,000$7,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,229.95 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked No | 25c | 24,601$6,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,101.7 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 24c | 22,007$5,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,178.35 | 168 | 35.1%59 W · 109 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 24c | 22,003$5,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,176.49 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f17…519ebacked Yes | 76c | 18,646$14,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,475.12 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d9…717bbacked No | 27c | 12,590$3,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,409.94 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Yes | 76c | 10,994$8,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,638.53 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +4.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d79…3bf5backed No | 6c | 8,394$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.64 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbe…87aebacked Yes | 73c | 8,181$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,181.05 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 75c | 8,000$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 123 | 10.6%13 W · 110 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 76c | 7,814$5,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,875.33 | 134 | 61.9%83 W · 51 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 33c | 7,476$2,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,460.13 | 359 | 42.9%154 W · 205 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 21c | 6,894$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,469.74 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51d9…cb1abacked Yes | 75c | 6,800$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,700 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 24c | 6,289$1,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,522.32 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 74c | 5,357$3,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,397.18 | 281 | 33.1%93 W · 188 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a87…4e00backed No | 23c | 5,000$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,149.96 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a4…4813backed Yes | 76c | 4,994$3,784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,209.7 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf24…15ecbacked No | 12c | 4,780$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.42 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 37c | 4,635$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,699.98 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…4c8cbacked No | 25c | 4,580$1,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,145 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +95.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x967b…c925backed Yes | 77c | 4,419$3,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,016.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 31c | 4,320$1,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,330.56 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac49…67c4backed Yes | 67c | 4,297$2,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,436.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 24c | 4,290$1,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.18 | 140 | 40.7%57 W · 83 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc1d…be30backed Yes | 72c | 4,171$3,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,169.08 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Yes | 75c | 4,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 83 | 59%49 W · 34 L | +10.0wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Yes | 76c | 4,000$3,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.99 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb65d…4925backed No | 25c | 4,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.99 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 29cpaid | +76.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce1d…362ebacked Yes | 76c | 3,369$2,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$808.49 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed No | 24c | 3,250$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.99 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33c2…9818backed No | 34c | 3,116$1,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,074.33 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Yes | 76c | 3,000$2,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 747 | 52.2%390 W · 357 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9416…991bbacked Yes | 60c | 3,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cf1…3c6bbacked Yes | 78c | 2,645$2,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.66 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b6…3eacbacked Yes | 75c | 2,500$1,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4d…794cbacked No | 24c | 2,500$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.97 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.25per pick | 43cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x94e5…6cfebacked Yes | 74c | 2,309$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.78 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 37cpaid | +119.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed Yes | 47c | 2,120$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120.07 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 24c | 2,083$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 125 | 25.6%32 W · 93 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7658…fc19backed Yes | 73c | 2,035$1,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.38 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebb6…4cb0backed Yes | 77c | 2,021$1,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.15 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a30…b575backed Yes | 77c | 2,000$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Yes | 72c | 2,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 214 | 44.4%95 W · 119 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…67cdbacked Yes | 75c | 2,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.39per pick | 36cpaid | +393.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e73…c4ecbacked No | 9c | 2,000$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 18cpaid | +124.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…420bbacked Yes | 76c | 1,959$1,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.21 | 177 | 27.7%49 W · 128 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc153…a179backed No | 15c | 1,918$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked No | 25c | 1,836$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.34 | 131 | 31.3%41 W · 90 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa533…acacbacked Yes | 77c | 1,818$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.18 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4779…7bcabacked No | 35c | 1,649$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.17 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…cfadbacked No | 39c | 1,587$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.16 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ec…6933backed No | 24c | 1,500$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 75c | 1,496$1,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.93 | 170 | 48.2%82 W · 88 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Yes | 59c | 1,489$879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.55 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…593dbacked No | 12c | 1,447$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3520…f128backed Yes | 68c | 1,428$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.87 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 25c | 1,420$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.86 | 465 | 36.1%168 W · 297 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3402…9446backed Yes | 76c | 1,316$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.79 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f0dfbacked Yes | 76c | 1,316$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.79 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeff7…4bb3backed Yes | 77c | 1,301$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.2 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked No | 6c | 1,220$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.4 | 44 | 6.8%3 W · 41 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 24c | 1,208$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.65 | 707 | 50.1%354 W · 353 L | +25.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed No | 25c | 1,192$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c1…b34bbacked Yes | 77c | 1,168$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.71 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d94…40e6backed Yes | 58c | 1,090$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.8 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Yes | 74c | 1,042$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.12 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a1…6877backed Yes | 59c | 1,039$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.05 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb72b…f4e0backed No | 25c | 1,014$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed No | 23c | 1,000$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.03 | 210 | 16.7%35 W · 175 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 22c | 1,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 224 | 21%47 W · 177 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22e6…409fbacked Yes | 76c | 1,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Yes | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -5.4wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6700…105bbacked No | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed No | 29c | 994.73$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.48 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8b…3c39backed Yes | 72c | 937.32$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.66 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x202d…c3b1backed Yes | 76c | 921.05$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.05 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x120a…6456backed Yes | 77c | 856.16$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.92 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Yes | 61c | 855.74$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.74 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff0e…2991backed No | 24c | 801.88$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.45 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +80%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed No | 23c | 800$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 93 | 24.7%23 W · 70 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Yes | 62c | 777.32$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.04 | 108 | 68.5%74 W · 34 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked No | 26c | 769.23$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 304 | 31.3%95 W · 209 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d7c…f7e7backed No | 27c | 748.41$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd97c…aedbbacked Yes | 76c | 730.26$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.26 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 32c | 709.99$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.58 | 346 | 30.1%104 W · 242 L | -21.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 65c | 700$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…4927backed Yes | 76c | 700$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 76c | 697.99$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.52 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe923…0779backed Yes | 60c | 671.02$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.2 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -34%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b5…f72cbacked Yes | 75c | 666.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.67 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fa…44e5backed Yes | 46c | 660$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.84 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed46…1badbacked Yes | 76c | 657.89$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.89 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…df1abacked Yes | 76c | 657.89$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.89 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Yes | 76c | 657.89$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.89 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -9.4wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3e27…8346backed Yes | 76c | 657.89$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.89 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Poland win on 2025-11-17?this page
- Will Malta vs. Poland end in a draw?No won
- Will Malta win on 2025-11-17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.