Fifa International · resolved market
Will Malta win on 2025-11-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe7705e823d2ce172df6a462270d74739758f705b12a88fdc0a6434bfbd4818f0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $114,333
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $104,189
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $114,333 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x85d9…717bbacked Yes | 7c | 8,969$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.84 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 8c | 6,333$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.67 | 605 | 11.4%69 W · 536 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 10c | 5,953$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.59 | 293 | 43%126 W · 167 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 9c | 5,870$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.18 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 7c | 5,461$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.86 | 145 | 37.2%54 W · 91 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b40…d85ebacked Yes | 1c | 4,730$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4779…7bcabacked Yes | 2c | 4,615$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.22 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…f706backed Yes | 8c | 4,292$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.37 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb0…5012backed Yes | 12c | 4,200$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.07 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | +6.4wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +20%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 8c | 3,504$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.74 | 300 | 31%93 W · 207 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd461…1d6cbacked Yes | 11c | 1,793$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf54…e5bebacked Yes | 7c | 1,160$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.2 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed Yes | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.8 | 210 | 16.7%35 W · 175 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33c2…9818backed Yes | 11c | 999.98$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 7c | 999.95$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 224 | 21%47 W · 177 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 8c | 981$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.48 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf51…4b53backed Yes | 8c | 787.5$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71e5…13febacked Yes | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9020…2cfcbacked Yes | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Yes | 9c | 605$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.45 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e7…631fbacked Yes | 9c | 530.6$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…cfadbacked Yes | 9c | 492.54$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.3 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0191…93f0backed Yes | 12c | 450$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f47…7c9bbacked Yes | 9c | 400$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…48abbacked Yes | 12c | 397.62$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 107 | 34.6%37 W · 70 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc90d…148dbacked Yes | 8c | 375$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 9c | 355.03$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.11 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee44…0082backed Yes | 8c | 312.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb637…4c42backed Yes | 8c | 285$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 58 | 27.6%16 W · 42 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes | 7c | 270.48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.19 | 96 | 33.3%32 W · 64 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 7c | 213.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 789 | 27.5%217 W · 572 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 7c | 199.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 186 | 41.4%77 W · 109 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5a…1427backed Yes | 13c | 199.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Yes | 6c | 189.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 128 | 29.7%38 W · 90 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 108 | 68.5%74 W · 34 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…f5e8backed Yes | 12c | 164.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 7c | 150$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 396 | 21%83 W · 313 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a8…379ebacked Yes | 7c | 150$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe54b…483abacked Yes | 9c | 126.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c91…9df7backed Yes | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcba…d962backed Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…8f90backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 32 | 9.4%3 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -64%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ec…a7b9backed Yes | 12c | 103.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 26cpaid | +77.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x831d…e1babacked Yes | 17c | 88.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb125…69ebbacked No | 50c | 58.54$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.27 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | +11.0wins | +0.16per pick | 23cpaid | +69%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Malta win on 2025-11-17?this page
- Will Malta vs. Poland end in a draw?No won
- Will Poland win on 2025-11-17?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.