Fifa International · resolved market
Will Malta vs. Poland end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x08d90399949a6a1f294f12eeec93d7940c0222562a2bd6cb980bf7f0f2340cb6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $94,836
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $81,995
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $94,836 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5eb0…5012backed Yes | 0c | 44,815$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.82 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | +6.4wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +20%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1033…d851backed Yes | 57c | 5,285$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Yes | 1c | 4,228$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.26 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +13.7wins | +0.27per pick | 22cpaid | +416.2%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xa925…e1c8backed Yes | 60c | 2,533$1,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,515.5 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 59c | 2,005$1,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.6 | 359 | 42.9%154 W · 205 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde44…cb51backed Yes | 56c | 1,778$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 16c | 1,567$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.54 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 49c | 1,271$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.98 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed Yes | 16c | 1,106$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.12 | 210 | 16.7%35 W · 175 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 18c | 1,042$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.27 | 346 | 30.1%104 W · 242 L | -21.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed No | 43c | 1,030$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.96 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 16c | 999.97$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.99 | 224 | 21%47 W · 177 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed No | 47c | 663.69$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.71 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e27…8346backed Yes | 17c | 585.74$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x366c…6578backed No | 55c | 560$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.6 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 78c | 506.64$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.74 | 1,252 | 39.2%491 W · 761 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0bf…e4a1backed Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 106 | 29.2%31 W · 75 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe16c…6909backed Yes | 10c | 479.08$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 49c | 463.1$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.23 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1674…e636backed Yes | 49c | 451.11$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 73c | 428.5$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.93 | 550 | 45.1%248 W · 302 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked Yes | 18c | 422.28$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 89 | 36%32 W · 57 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3520…f128backed Yes | 60c | 385.24$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.78 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb637…4c42backed Yes | 17c | 309.86$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.49 | 58 | 27.6%16 W · 42 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 61c | 299$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.39 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd461…1d6cbacked Yes | 51c | 274.75$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x040f…e98cbacked Yes | 18c | 264.36$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.45 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5cc…0540backed Yes | 26c | 187.94$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab5…aab4backed Yes | 27c | 187.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 34c | 185.97$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.59 | 237 | 38.8%92 W · 145 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 76c | 180.18$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.15 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x905f…ad6bbacked Yes | 34c | 176.47$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 63c | 175.77$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.36 | 259 | 54.8%142 W · 117 L | +17.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6891…949fbacked Yes | 59c | 168.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd32…cb64backed Yes | 51c | 154.46$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.9 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x553b…f71cbacked Yes | 16c | 150$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 11c | 147.09$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 396 | 21%83 W · 313 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x017b…4e46backed No | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0e…5b17backed No | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 30c | 120$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 673 | 54.7%368 W · 305 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5948…15afbacked Yes | 17c | 117.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd28…2aefbacked Yes | 53c | 112.02$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.54 | 41 | 12.2%5 W · 36 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…4927backed Yes | 58c | 106.17$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.58 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2e7…40c2backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 128 | 29.7%38 W · 90 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30dd…e2f4backed Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x604a…8379backed No | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…9c04backed Yes | 45c | 92.86$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8147…ab6cbacked Yes | 58c | 86.36$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…48abbacked Yes | 24c | 85.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.42 | 107 | 34.6%37 W · 70 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa6c…e935backed Yes | 61c | 82.02$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 40c | 82$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.61 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9380…a275backed Yes | 13c | 80$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4168…8d0fbacked Yes | 62c | 80$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 67c | 74.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 135 | 38.5%52 W · 83 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 52c | 65.4$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.01 | 178 | 51.1%91 W · 87 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6840…6748backed Yes | 57c | 62.07$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.38 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…cfadbacked No | 46c | 61.71$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.35 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7529…5cd7backed Yes | 25c | 61.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 29cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad9…70c6backed Yes | 33c | 60.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2881…52dabacked Yes | 53c | 56.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Yes | 29c | 56.06$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.26 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c84…2c7ebacked Yes | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7580…cb71backed No | 45c | 54.36$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d81…259bbacked Yes | 45c | 44.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Yes | 27c | 42.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 168 | 41.1%69 W · 99 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10d3…3d7abacked No | 67c | 39.04$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc9…fa88backed Yes | 31c | 38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e74…9386backed Yes | 53c | 37.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x905b…edc4backed No | 57c | 34.89$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 42c | 30.64$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 465 | 36.1%168 W · 297 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed No | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Yes | 49c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefb2…b043backed No | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 73cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Malta vs. Poland end in a draw?this page
- Will Malta win on 2025-11-17?No won
- Will Poland win on 2025-11-17?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.