Fifa International · resolved market
Lionel Messi: 1+ goals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa36254d3df15cf41db6387d96ffb6010a8230b34a009cd9b1487396bac94f232
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $585,917
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $577,350
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $585,917 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 643 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 62c | 99,999$62,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,999.73 | 747 | 52.2%390 W · 357 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85bb…9adabacked Yes | 38c | 78,806$30,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,000 | 324 | 29.9%97 W · 227 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18e6…d83dbacked Yes | 38c | 53,000$20,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,003.78 | 126 | 16.7%21 W · 105 L | -12.6wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe9…5f53backed No | 63c | 37,631$23,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,062.84 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 38c | 29,588$11,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,229.29 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6754…e3bcbacked No | 63c | 29,200$18,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,658.24 | 154 | 56.5%87 W · 67 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37f4…f1d4backed Yes | 30c | 26,161$7,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,847.73 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd3…f69abacked Yes | 39c | 25,842$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd26e…6d8dbacked No | 62c | 24,008$14,885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,123.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 61c | 20,719$12,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,042.74 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -9.1wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe25b…0f1bbacked No | 62c | 20,000$12,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,600 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf958…db13backed Yes | 39c | 18,988$7,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,405.32 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -4.8wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Yes | 38c | 16,759$6,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,368.43 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 32cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x364d…9f8fbacked No | 70c | 16,538$11,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,941.12 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked No | 62c | 15,902$9,859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,042.9 | 145 | 53.8%78 W · 67 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ff…473dbacked No | 62c | 15,109$9,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,742.67 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 62c | 14,715$9,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,660.15 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…311cbacked Yes | 37c | 13,526$5,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,004.45 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked No | 61c | 13,326$8,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,157.16 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 62c | 13,000$8,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,940 | 716 | 38.4%275 W · 441 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 62c | 11,000$6,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,180 | 744 | 47.8%356 W · 388 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…bff1backed Yes | 38c | 10,000$3,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,799.99 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 31cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked No | 61c | 10,000$6,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,899.92 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Yes | 37c | 9,905$3,665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,664.88 | 71 | 26.8%19 W · 52 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37f4…49afbacked No | 62c | 9,802$6,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,724.82 | 190 | 37.4%71 W · 119 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9032…8717backed No | 64c | 9,634$6,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,494.6 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5452…d448backed No | 61c | 8,700$5,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,359.5 | 464 | 64.9%301 W · 163 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x088b…21ccbacked Yes | 39c | 8,675$3,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,383.2 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 62c | 7,978$4,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,038.57 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6978…9897backed Yes | 38c | 7,739$2,941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,941 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a06…201bbacked Yes | 40c | 7,662$3,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,044.1 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed No | 62c | 7,500$4,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,850 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x635c…45c6backed Yes | 38c | 6,579$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea8…b084backed Yes | 37c | 6,360$2,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,342.31 | 232 | 40.5%94 W · 138 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7fb…e5fdbacked No | 70c | 6,136$4,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,838.89 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | +9.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Yes | 37c | 6,000$2,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,220 | 162 | 58.6%95 W · 67 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x442f…e7a2backed Yes | 38c | 5,263$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 110 | 38.2%42 W · 68 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa83b…0e4abacked Yes | 38c | 5,000$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Yes | 38c | 5,000$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 311 | 52.7%164 W · 147 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3e…37efbacked No | 63c | 5,000$3,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,850 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ab…178dbacked Yes | 18c | 5,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 198 | 23.7%47 W · 151 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa5…7cc9backed No | 62c | 5,000$3,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,899.96 | 148 | 60.1%89 W · 59 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa81b…4d36backed Yes | 37c | 4,865$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800.05 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 62c | 4,000$2,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,520 | 292 | 50.7%148 W · 144 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 61c | 3,369$2,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,319.44 | 707 | 50.1%354 W · 353 L | +25.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfeec…05d8backed No | 63c | 3,166$1,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,179.44 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.8wins | +0.29per pick | 40cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…dcfebacked No | 62c | 3,074$1,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,156.57 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +4.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +27%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x31e4…1f69backed Yes | 38c | 3,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x931c…a002backed Yes | 38c | 3,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Yes | 39c | 3,000$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170 | 592 | 30.1%178 W · 414 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70a6…a2ebbacked No | 62c | 2,969$1,831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,137.79 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb361…808ebacked No | 61c | 2,940$1,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,142.38 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6f…1dfebacked Yes | 25c | 2,897$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.2 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | +10.1wins | +0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +77.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc581…0f24backed No | 61c | 2,800$1,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,091.97 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…90eabacked Yes | 38c | 2,632$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 206 | 33%68 W · 138 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…c4b9backed Yes | 38c | 2,632$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…867ebacked Yes | 38c | 2,632$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed Yes | 39c | 2,576$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.07 | 470 | 49.4%232 W · 238 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf093…44a6backed Yes | 39c | 2,564$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -65%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 38c | 2,500$939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$938.91 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x351a…0302backed Yes | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -6.1wins | -0.20per pick | 52cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed No | 62c | 2,500$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 150 | 54%81 W · 69 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea16…4bd8backed Yes | 38c | 2,464$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936.48 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe73…7d93backed Yes | 38c | 2,323$883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$882.57 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed No | 62c | 2,145$1,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.68 | 977 | 42%410 W · 567 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1adc…c516backed Yes | 38c | 2,125$808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$807.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd7…89aabacked No | 70c | 2,120$1,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.09 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +5.0wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 35c | 2,055$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.47 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e88…b235backed Yes | 24c | 2,050$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…948ebacked Yes | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 174 | 16.1%28 W · 146 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc550…353fbacked No | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.24per pick | 33cpaid | -85.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff91…c59abacked Yes | 36c | 1,941$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb29…947abacked Yes | 34c | 1,914$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.21 | 188 | 43.1%81 W · 107 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9078…8f13backed Yes | 38c | 1,770$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.49 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 38cpaid | -80.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed No | 68c | 1,766$1,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.47 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…31dbbacked No | 61c | 1,751$1,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.88 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeafc…53ddbacked Yes | 29c | 1,682$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.62 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 30c | 1,681$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.72 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30c5…8511backed Yes | 38c | 1,668$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.95 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc0…4dfcbacked Yes | 38c | 1,641$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.65 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.21per pick | 52cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…8e50backed No | 75c | 1,533$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.35 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked No | 62c | 1,500$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 342 | 49.1%168 W · 174 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…fa78backed Yes | 37c | 1,500$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb5…98f8backed No | 61c | 1,500$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81a8…9c69backed No | 64c | 1,404$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.03 | 254 | 54.7%139 W · 115 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89eb…cff9backed Yes | 37c | 1,351$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed Yes | 37c | 1,350$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.17 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b20…38ffbacked Yes | 38c | 1,350$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | +223%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f82…9ae1backed Yes | 38c | 1,342$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5108…29cbbacked Yes | 38c | 1,316$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 379 | 55.7%211 W · 168 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a8…5204backed Yes | 38c | 1,316$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 71 | 22.5%16 W · 55 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a2…6883backed Yes | 38c | 1,316$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf53f…ace3backed Yes | 38c | 1,264$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.3 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 40c | 1,252$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 360 | 38.1%137 W · 223 L | -15.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf1…3f67backed Yes | 39c | 1,250$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.5 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a00…4684backed No | 60c | 1,100$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.99 | 59 | 62.7%37 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68d1…f84fbacked No | 61c | 1,094$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdac1…baddbacked No | 71c | 1,093$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.8 | 311 | 71.4%222 W · 89 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0189…cab8backed Yes | 38c | 1,053$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 102 | 61.8%63 W · 39 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4b…03d6backed Yes | 38c | 1,053$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 93. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsthis page
- Alexis Mac Allister: 1+ shotsYes won
- Alexis Mac Allister: 2+ shotsYes won
- Alexis Mac Allister: 2+ shots on targetNo won
- Anthony Gordon: 1+ assistsNo won
- Anthony Gordon: 1+ goalsYes won
- Anthony Gordon: 1+ shotsYes won
- Anthony Gordon: 2+ shotsNo won
- Bukayo Saka: 1+ assistsNo won
- Bukayo Saka: 1+ goalsNo won
- Bukayo Saka: 1+ shotsNo won
- Bukayo Saka: 2+ goalsNo won
- Bukayo Saka: 2+ shotsNo won
- Bukayo Saka: 3+ shotsNo won
- Bukayo Saka: 3+ shots on targetNo won
- Bukayo Saka: 4+ shotsNo won
- Declan Rice: 1+ assistsNo won
- Declan Rice: 1+ goalsNo won
- Declan Rice: 1+ shotsYes won
- Declan Rice: 2+ goalsNo won
- Declan Rice: 2+ shotsNo won
- Eberechi Eze: 1+ goalsNo won
- Eberechi Eze: 2+ goalsNo won
- Elliot Anderson: 2+ shotsNo won
- Enzo Fernández: 1+ assistsNo won
- Enzo Fernández: 1+ goalsYes won
- Enzo Fernández: 1+ shotsYes won
- Enzo Fernández: 2+ shotsYes won
- Enzo Fernández: 3+ shotsYes won
- Exequiel Palacios: 1+ goalsNo won
- Giovani Lo Celso: 1+ goalsNo won
- Giovani Lo Celso: 2+ goalsNo won
- Giuliano Simeone: 1+ assistsNo won
- Giuliano Simeone: 1+ goalsNo won
- Giuliano Simeone: 1+ goals + assistsNo won
- Giuliano Simeone: 2+ goalsNo won
- Harry Kane: 1+ assistsNo won
- Harry Kane: 1+ goalsNo won
- Harry Kane: 1+ shotsYes won
- Harry Kane: 2+ assistsNo won
- Harry Kane: 2+ goalsNo won
- Harry Kane: 2+ shotsNo won
- Harry Kane: 3+ goalsNo won
- Harry Kane: 3+ shotsNo won
- Harry Kane: 4+ shotsNo won
- Jordan Pickford: 4+ savesNo won
- Jordan Pickford: 5+ savesNo won
- Jude Bellingham: 1+ assistsNo won
- Jude Bellingham: 1+ goalsNo won
- Jude Bellingham: 1+ shotsNo won
- Jude Bellingham: 2+ assistsNo won
- Jude Bellingham: 2+ goalsNo won
- Jude Bellingham: 2+ shotsNo won
- Jude Bellingham: 3+ goalsNo won
- Jude Bellingham: 3+ shotsNo won
- Jude Bellingham: 4+ shotsNo won
- Julián Álvarez: 1+ assistsNo won
- Julián Álvarez: 1+ goalsNo won
- Julián Álvarez: 1+ goals + assistsNo won
- Julián Álvarez: 1+ shotsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.