UFC · resolved market
UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x094c15303a61ed928162eb0287665561e9a50bb125baf4da9841b5b619f27857
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Makhachevof Makhachev, Della Maddalena
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,122,519
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,803,320
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,122,519 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 3,052 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2b15…9b08backed Della Maddalena | 26c | 608,979$158,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158,334.61 | 291 | 51.9%151 W · 140 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Della Maddalena | 26c | 588,686$153,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153,412.95 | 72 | 33.3%24 W · 48 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Della Maddalena | 26c | 441,694$114,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114,584.81 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdda0…9b66backed Makhachev | 74c | 267,514$197,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69,553.65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +90%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb2…f3c2backed Makhachev | 75c | 263,378$196,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66,616.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8628…6f0bbacked Makhachev | 73c | 250,000$181,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68,499.9 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Makhachev | 73c | 177,763$129,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,273.51 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | +14.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb744…5210backed Makhachev | 73c | 156,765$114,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,326.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Della Maddalena | 26c | 136,451$35,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,477.28 | 160 | 49.4%79 W · 81 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…fc2fbacked Della Maddalena | 27c | 130,000$35,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,099.98 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Makhachev | 73c | 129,519$94,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,060.07 | 352 | 53.1%187 W · 165 L | +27.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa3…64e9backed Makhachev | 72c | 123,036$89,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,904.28 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +73.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x132a…abe8backed Della Maddalena | 27c | 122,623$33,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,108.1 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Della Maddalena | 27c | 110,559$29,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,399.04 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Della Maddalena | 26c | 108,662$28,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,460.03 | 267 | 43.8%117 W · 150 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7a…8536backed Della Maddalena | 25c | 100,000$25,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,161.03 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked Della Maddalena | 27c | 92,500$24,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,975 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Della Maddalena | 25c | 90,858$22,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,714.6 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25cc…9297backed Della Maddalena | 27c | 89,392$24,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,135.89 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b5d…f8cbbacked Della Maddalena | 27c | 89,009$24,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,032.43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Makhachev | 74c | 87,679$65,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,666.1 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Della Maddalena | 27c | 87,351$23,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,787.44 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8605…750fbacked Makhachev | 74c | 77,486$57,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,146.35 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -28%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Della Maddalena | 26c | 75,000$19,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,499.98 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +82.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Della Maddalena | 26c | 75,000$19,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,504.97 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd52…0001backed Makhachev | 78c | 74,843$58,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,339.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Della Maddalena | 27c | 65,915$17,829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,829.15 | 130 | 39.2%51 W · 79 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc368…82dcbacked Della Maddalena | 27c | 65,608$18,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa925…e1c8backed Makhachev | 74c | 58,149$43,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,118.74 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0fd…a346backed Makhachev | 74c | 58,067$42,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,097.3 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Della Maddalena | 26c | 55,043$14,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,311.29 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Makhachev | 73c | 51,000$37,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,769.97 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d3…6584backed Makhachev | 74c | 50,091$37,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,023.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdaa…8420backed Makhachev | 73c | 50,000$36,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,499.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Della Maddalena | 20c | 49,071$9,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,702.57 | 377 | 54.6%206 W · 171 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74ba…eba1backed Della Maddalena | 27c | 49,034$13,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,394.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…8d9bbacked Makhachev | 75c | 49,000$36,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,250 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf915…388fbacked Makhachev | 74c | 47,245$34,961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,283.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb373…c8b0backed Della Maddalena | 27c | 46,376$12,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,521.48 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 36cpaid | -66%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…91e4backed Della Maddalena | 29c | 45,443$13,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,131 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked Makhachev | 73c | 41,000$30,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,935 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1993…0c02backed Makhachev | 74c | 40,541$30,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,540.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Makhachev | 74c | 40,000$29,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,585.79 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Della Maddalena | 27c | 40,000$10,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,799.95 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed Della Maddalena | 16c | 36,599$5,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,921.98 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ca…d535backed Makhachev | 74c | 36,486$27,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,486.49 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Della Maddalena | 27c | 35,881$9,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,687.8 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x387c…57b3backed Makhachev | 74c | 33,784$25,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,783.78 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 70cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ab…f2c3backed Makhachev | 74c | 32,162$23,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,362.16 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Makhachev | 74c | 32,101$23,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,415.44 | 288 | 49.7%143 W · 145 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6b6…f090backed Makhachev | 74c | 30,000$22,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,800 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 66cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x831e…f137backed Della Maddalena | 27c | 28,296$7,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,640 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x464e…1a67backed Makhachev | 72c | 28,091$20,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,749.28 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8484…e362backed Makhachev | 74c | 27,027$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,027.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6a…f116backed Makhachev | 74c | 26,935$19,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,051.06 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b71…19ebbacked Della Maddalena | 27c | 26,800$7,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,236 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Della Maddalena | 27c | 25,907$6,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,995 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…6c45backed Makhachev | 74c | 25,005$18,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,551.3 | 277 | 43%119 W · 158 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…1588backed Della Maddalena | 24c | 25,000$5,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,900.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Makhachev | 74c | 25,000$18,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,500 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7df9…03b2backed Makhachev | 74c | 24,755$18,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,436.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc701…f932backed Makhachev | 74c | 24,503$18,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,370.71 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 64cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f1…dcbbbacked Makhachev | 74c | 22,519$16,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,854.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc65…fd17backed Makhachev | 74c | 20,632$15,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,364.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…4229backed Della Maddalena | 27c | 20,370$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,500 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 50cpaid | -56%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd735…968ebacked Makhachev | 74c | 20,270$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,270.27 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c13…5ee6backed Makhachev | 74c | 20,262$14,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,268.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf706…b2c5backed Makhachev | 73c | 20,241$14,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,442.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59f4…c1f1backed Della Maddalena | 27c | 18,148$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,900 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Della Maddalena | 26c | 17,895$4,653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,652.77 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf93c…ae06backed Makhachev | 73c | 16,800$12,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,536 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf6…22a9backed Makhachev | 74c | 16,650$12,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,329 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b7…ef16backed Della Maddalena | 27c | 16,000$4,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,320 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c57…c94dbacked Makhachev | 72c | 15,279$11,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,278.06 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3306…7258backed Makhachev | 74c | 15,061$11,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,915.85 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 70cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad4…3c1abacked Della Maddalena | 27c | 15,000$4,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,050 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…fa7bbacked Della Maddalena | 26c | 15,000$3,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,900 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c5…dbcfbacked Makhachev | 73c | 15,000$10,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,099.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Della Maddalena | 26c | 15,000$3,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,899.98 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3d…5d4cbacked Della Maddalena | 26c | 15,000$3,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,899.97 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fd…89debacked Makhachev | 72c | 15,000$10,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,149.96 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Della Maddalena | 27c | 14,002$3,781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,780.54 | 81 | 40.7%33 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73e4…3097backed Makhachev | 74c | 13,886$10,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,610.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf689…8b15backed Makhachev | 73c | 13,700$10,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,699 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 72cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Makhachev | 74c | 13,645$10,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,570.89 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf209…97e1backed Della Maddalena | 28c | 13,386$3,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,748 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aec…1158backed Della Maddalena | 27c | 13,344$3,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,592 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Della Maddalena | 27c | 13,000$3,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,450 | 300 | 39.3%118 W · 182 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x697f…8705backed Della Maddalena | 27c | 13,000$3,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,539.96 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7320…28b4backed Makhachev | 72c | 12,703$9,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,502.7 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1518…2652backed Makhachev | 73c | 12,294$8,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,311.31 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Della Maddalena | 27c | 11,711$3,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,162.77 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x568e…e7b8backed Makhachev | 74c | 11,619$8,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,032.77 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf259…4bffbacked Della Maddalena | 8c | 11,611$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Della Maddalena | 27c | 11,479$3,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,099.22 | 202 | 33.7%68 W · 134 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad6a…9dbdbacked Della Maddalena | 26c | 11,358$2,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,938 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x858c…c479backed Makhachev | 78c | 11,232$8,732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500.11 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +52%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x080c…e38ebacked Della Maddalena | 27c | 11,111$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6775…17efbacked Makhachev | 74c | 11,109$8,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,888.37 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc1…13fcbacked Della Maddalena | 27c | 11,107$2,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,988.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)this page
- Fight to Go the Distance?Yes won
- Maddalena Parlay - Maddalena Wins by KO, TKO, or DQ & Over 1.5 RoundsNo won
- Makhachev Parlay - Islam Wins Submission & Fight Lasts Over 2.5 RoundsNo won
- O/U 0.5 RoundsOver won
- O/U 1.5 RoundsOver won
- O/U 2.5 RoundsOver won
- O/U 3.5 RoundsOver won
- O/U 4.5 RoundsOver won
- Will Islam Makhachev win by KO or TKO?No won
- Will Jack Della Maddalena win by KO or TKO?No won
- Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?No won
- Will the fight be won by submission?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.