UFC · resolved market
Fight to Go the Distance?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbf6733f3395b17d9039322170ef93b797f51bc26683ecedf3584d59ed827f3b9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,493
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,181
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,493 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 38c | 4,046$1,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,498.56 | 420 | 42.6%179 W · 241 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 37c | 3,190$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,009.54 | 371 | 52.8%196 W · 175 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30b8…f41fbacked Yes | 39c | 1,832$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125.23 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Yes | 40c | 1,357$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.68 | 267 | 43.8%117 W · 150 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc449…2239backed No | 62c | 1,348$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.96 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ed…8e91backed No | 63c | 1,329$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d9…717bbacked Yes | 38c | 1,277$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.73 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4d…6055backed No | 62c | 1,080$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.77 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76ed…fa48backed Yes | 39c | 973.61$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.64 | 111 | 40.5%45 W · 66 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d32…563abacked No | 62c | 806.45$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…611cbacked Yes | 41c | 777.8$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23dc…dd2dbacked Yes | 41c | 737.23$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.23 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bf…0be9backed No | 61c | 693.85$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked No | 61c | 658$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.33 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc38…e7c2backed No | 60c | 647.14$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8903…63c8backed No | 59c | 625.09$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.6 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e22…f532backed No | 63c | 513.67$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21d8…ad91backed No | 62c | 500$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb365…382dbacked No | 61c | 499.99$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63a5…d82abacked No | 62c | 444.23$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.42 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe4…52b8backed No | 61c | 409.84$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 39cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 38c | 400$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248 | 221 | 44.3%98 W · 123 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Yes | 39c | 400$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed No | 60c | 365.09$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.05 | 905 | 53.6%485 W · 420 L | +46.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf693…202fbacked No | 63c | 359.67$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.59 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8642…0305backed Yes | 38c | 359.13$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed No | 61c | 350$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.5 | 367 | 45.8%168 W · 199 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb116…940abacked No | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…f1eabacked No | 62c | 324.56$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6149…8a58backed Yes | 39c | 306.45$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.93 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b6c…98babacked No | 61c | 306.25$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e2b…97b2backed Yes | 42c | 299.99$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68d0…5e3abacked Yes | 39c | 294.04$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f25…c4c9backed Yes | 41c | 265.24$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f32…1532backed Yes | 39c | 256.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.67 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Yes | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e58…f73bbacked No | 60c | 240.83$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cd…161fbacked No | 63c | 237.24$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.46 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a2e…5899backed No | 61c | 229.51$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c54…82babacked Yes | 44c | 225.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.44 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2123…8d70backed No | 60c | 223.39$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.8 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed No | 59c | 220$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.2 | 487 | 49.1%239 W · 248 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce49…c3b9backed No | 61c | 200$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.9 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x413c…1904backed No | 61c | 200$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8cb…a53abacked No | 63c | 193.65$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc416…8bd5backed No | 61c | 173.28$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5536…8637backed Yes | 42c | 168$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc84d…184abacked No | 59c | 165.24$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b7a…d8efbacked No | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -35%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e2…1fdcbacked No | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f4…d120backed No | 61c | 161.38$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.44 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87e9…8223backed No | 58c | 161$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 355 | 39.4%140 W · 215 L | -19.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfde8…c52fbacked Yes | 42c | 155.66$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.66 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 46c | 155.27$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.38 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x919a…348cbacked Yes | 40c | 150$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd45e…d1b8backed No | 61c | 147.54$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…71ddbacked Yes | 41c | 144.65$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.65 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5b…754abacked No | 68c | 143.93$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.6 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe23…4489backed No | 62c | 136.24$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.22 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4f…bdfabacked No | 62c | 124$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.88 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +3.5wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 40c | 119.63$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.93 | 210 | 31.9%67 W · 143 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x699c…3600backed No | 62c | 119$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.78 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49e5…4ee9backed No | 58c | 116.48$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Yes | 40c | 110$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 564 | 50.5%285 W · 279 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1018…7264backed Yes | 40c | 108.45$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.41 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20dd…f6acbacked Yes | 38c | 107.89$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.89 | 318 | 55%175 W · 143 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed No | 58c | 101$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.58 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x566a…881abacked No | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac0d…8bb7backed Yes | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.29per pick | 54cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa53a…e4f1backed No | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 121 | 59.5%72 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f4…f4f1backed No | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -4.4wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 43c | 99.99$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 366 | 55.2%202 W · 164 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f8…0ff2backed Yes | 41c | 99.99$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.99 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffb…840abacked Yes | 42c | 95.24$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2651…3471backed No | 59c | 94.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.2 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87e4…8352backed Yes | 56c | 83.83$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8250…5366backed No | 60c | 83.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95da…60b4backed No | 63c | 81.06$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.07 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf730…8a0abacked No | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85a9…4e21backed No | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcda0…a51abacked No | 59c | 67.8$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb295…3a9fbacked No | 62c | 65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.3 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -4.9wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x88f1…5c9dbacked No | 62c | 65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.3 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -3.8wins | -0.35per pick | 44cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7371…cadebacked No | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2874…9fd7backed No | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf1…647dbacked No | 57c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -4.2wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4a09…4a9ebacked Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Yes | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa835…b8dbbacked Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd79…f93ebacked No | 62c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 522 | 52.9%276 W · 246 L | +15.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb385…c1a4backed Yes | 42c | 48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.84 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 54cpaid | +66.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…3a8abacked No | 58c | 48$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.84 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 37c | 48$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.48 | 194 | 18.6%36 W · 158 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d78…f480backed Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93db…e431backed No | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 69cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…bdecbacked Yes | 40c | 47$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8efc…478fbacked Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3c…3203backed Yes | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Fight to Go the Distance?this page
- Maddalena Parlay - Maddalena Wins by KO, TKO, or DQ & Over 1.5 RoundsNo won
- Makhachev Parlay - Islam Wins Submission & Fight Lasts Over 2.5 RoundsNo won
- O/U 0.5 RoundsOver won
- O/U 1.5 RoundsOver won
- O/U 2.5 RoundsOver won
- O/U 3.5 RoundsOver won
- O/U 4.5 RoundsOver won
- UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)Makhachev won
- Will Islam Makhachev win by KO or TKO?No won
- Will Jack Della Maddalena win by KO or TKO?No won
- Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?No won
- Will the fight be won by submission?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.