UFC · resolved market
Makhachev Parlay - Islam Wins Submission & Fight Lasts Over 2.5 Rounds
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0df539fd64f6a3b9a643b3e661877be6bf92639bc12c0938dc1b25ecc3414266
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $81,667
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $83,026
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,667 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3a55…394ebacked No | 77c | 15,443$11,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,539.29 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad10…c665backed Yes | 22c | 8,137$1,813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,813.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd49…d059backed Yes | 19c | 5,205$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73d0…ec83backed Yes | 21c | 4,373$928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$927.81 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked Yes | 19c | 3,500$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…98b8backed Yes | 16c | 3,126$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e1a…9732backed Yes | 16c | 2,533$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa925…e1c8backed Yes | 16c | 2,518$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bdf…d2f3backed Yes | 23c | 2,203$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad85…688bbacked Yes | 29c | 1,725$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecd…0787backed Yes | 23c | 1,332$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed No | 56c | 1,296$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.05 | 169 | 55.6%94 W · 75 L | +23.8wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2836…c511backed No | 72c | 1,236$884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.72 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Yes | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf6…22a9backed Yes | 43c | 949.99$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d4f…950bbacked Yes | 21c | 915.94$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.64 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc534…b734backed No | 79c | 855.06$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe94b…5abebacked Yes | 16c | 637.01$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.88 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc39a…0eacbacked Yes | 16c | 630$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Yes | 80c | 627.29$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 80 | 58.8%47 W · 33 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4e…2c1fbacked Yes | 46c | 517.02$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa3…4e0ebacked Yes | 20c | 502.81$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cee…7a95backed Yes | 20c | 501.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3a…df40backed No | 67c | 501.61$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.7 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +130.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6eed…ef32backed Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.36per pick | 53cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe931…138bbacked Yes | 16c | 450$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19a7…3ec1backed Yes | 26c | 380$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 27c | 332.63$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.43 | 50 | 70%35 W · 15 L | +5.4wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5f…eb0bbacked Yes | 15c | 322.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a2d…d45cbacked Yes | 20c | 307.15$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce7b…b13ebacked Yes | 17c | 300$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5d…9ea3backed No | 80c | 300$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdcf…1bdebacked Yes | 15c | 300$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 17c | 280$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.32 | 194 | 18.6%36 W · 158 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1375…4c69backed Yes | 23c | 263.28$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c4e…f059backed Yes | 16c | 250.55$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70ae…31bcbacked Yes | 24c | 248.26$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e00…adf9backed Yes | 17c | 240$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca59…79ccbacked Yes | 20c | 224.9$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92d4…1e62backed Yes | 23c | 217.26$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb47f…d792backed Yes | 49c | 216$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed No | 77c | 200$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3f…a4fdbacked Yes | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33ef…c498backed Yes | 65c | 200$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd541…e652backed No | 79c | 200$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57ce…48fbbacked Yes | 28c | 180.75$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.83 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…1778backed Yes | 41c | 180$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 72 | 33.3%24 W · 48 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac1e…ea39backed Yes | 29c | 172.54$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 324 | 31.8%103 W · 221 L | -9.6wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd96b…46dfbacked Yes | 30c | 169$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c0a…291cbacked Yes | 16c | 156.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +14%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked No | 62c | 155$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.23 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9945…1ef5backed Yes | 24c | 139.44$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.47 | 50 | 20%10 W · 40 L | -5.6wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a53…4d81backed Yes | 21c | 135$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3652…fb9abacked No | 79c | 129$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.09 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb000…d219backed Yes | 22c | 128$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x810c…ea3fbacked Yes | 16c | 127.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77cf…4a81backed Yes | 16c | 126.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x591b…807cbacked Yes | 20c | 125.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x239a…76e5backed Yes | 20c | 125$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.38 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 24cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa04f…3618backed Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4c…1d5dbacked Yes | 21c | 124$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68cd…9ea6backed Yes | 21c | 121$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e2…e42abacked Yes | 17c | 120$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -48%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd713…a7d4backed Yes | 19c | 116.4$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85ee…10c4backed No | 78c | 116$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb332…c5aabacked No | 79c | 113$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…dddbbacked Yes | 16c | 110.76$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.39 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf36…94e8backed Yes | 75c | 110$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.38per pick | 54cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0476…f6a6backed Yes | 20c | 110$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b64…eaf4backed Yes | 23c | 109.8$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eab…4176backed Yes | 23c | 109.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7707…4fcbbacked Yes | 31c | 108.95$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.73 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -4.6wins | -0.23per pick | 53cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd0f7…2b92backed No | 79c | 108$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa4f…8921backed Yes | 16c | 101.91$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -55%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa221…7588backed Yes | 20c | 101.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca4c…2477backed Yes | 18c | 100.23$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.44 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a6…644bbacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6149…8a58backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa047…f4c5backed Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x698a…fe0dbacked Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b84…ccf2backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae1…3584backed Yes | 21c | 97.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed No | 75c | 95.82$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.88 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x661e…81d6backed Yes | 16c | 94.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -32%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12ff…f464backed Yes | 16c | 94.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed No | 72c | 91.25$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.33 | 905 | 53.6%485 W · 420 L | +46.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff8…1479backed Yes | 19c | 90$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fec…3a81backed Yes | 21c | 86.8$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63e2…42d8backed Yes | 16c | 83.84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67a7…1facbacked Yes | 29c | 72.01$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…5e6ebacked Yes | 16c | 68.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 62cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc38…e7c2backed Yes | 16c | 68.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe6…7e61backed Yes | 30c | 67.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked Yes | 20c | 66.03$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Yes | 16c | 62.94$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc31d…98d7backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +23%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7881…5c15backed Yes | 20c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25b9…3058backed No | 76c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc039…e2e0backed Yes | 22c | 57$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.24per pick | 42cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9044…6364backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Makhachev Parlay - Islam Wins Submission & Fight Lasts Over 2.5 Roundsthis page
- Fight to Go the Distance?Yes won
- Maddalena Parlay - Maddalena Wins by KO, TKO, or DQ & Over 1.5 RoundsNo won
- O/U 0.5 RoundsOver won
- O/U 1.5 RoundsOver won
- O/U 2.5 RoundsOver won
- O/U 3.5 RoundsOver won
- O/U 4.5 RoundsOver won
- UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)Makhachev won
- Will Islam Makhachev win by KO or TKO?No won
- Will Jack Della Maddalena win by KO or TKO?No won
- Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?No won
- Will the fight be won by submission?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.