UFC · resolved market
Will the fight be won by submission?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb1d64f78b7e239db8379a5d3f649a06a0b60513d0c30e0bcfd14bf8ef9a064da
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $108,672
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $107,844
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $108,672 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 208 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed No | 60c | 59,571$35,863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,708.05 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ee…4e39backed Yes | 40c | 44,761$18,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,058.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d9…717bbacked No | 58c | 11,179$6,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,691.41 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c3…6ec8backed Yes | 41c | 10,952$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked No | 58c | 9,119$5,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,830.08 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 55c | 4,524$2,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,050.25 | 420 | 42.6%179 W · 241 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…0004backed No | 57c | 4,461$2,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,898.61 | 117 | 61.5%72 W · 45 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7784…5b6dbacked No | 61c | 2,965$1,814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,151.6 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Yes | 37c | 2,826$1,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,045.45 | 267 | 43.8%117 W · 150 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1bc…9dc9backed Yes | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | -55%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73d0…ec83backed Yes | 41c | 2,259$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$925 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8efe…7b44backed Yes | 45c | 2,222$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf532…70eabacked Yes | 41c | 1,883$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaee8…6eebbacked Yes | 38c | 1,832$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.5 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked No | 57c | 1,400$797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.48 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd49…d059backed Yes | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Yes | 46c | 1,063$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1375…4c69backed Yes | 42c | 1,013$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.6 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e1a…9732backed Yes | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked No | 60c | 989.83$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.57 | 238 | 50.4%120 W · 118 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a55…394ebacked No | 59c | 812.9$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.83 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x103d…b4a9backed Yes | 42c | 789.5$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.35per pick | 47cpaid | -83.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…e4c8backed Yes | 40c | 780.6$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.24 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76ed…fa48backed No | 57c | 748.84$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322 | 111 | 40.5%45 W · 66 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9c…e006backed Yes | 42c | 733.55$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.09 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x797d…034fbacked Yes | 39c | 650.46$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -55%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8903…63c8backed No | 59c | 649.99$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.49 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x013b…01cfbacked Yes | 45c | 620.57$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.52 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 43cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed No | 62c | 589.99$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.73 | 905 | 53.6%485 W · 420 L | +46.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb34…59eabacked Yes | 36c | 567.29$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.22 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe94b…5abebacked Yes | 36c | 530$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.8 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3665…0212backed Yes | 46c | 510.3$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.74 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce1…227bbacked Yes | 40c | 500.65$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed Yes | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5a…1427backed Yes | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…1778backed Yes | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 72 | 33.3%24 W · 48 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa4…3ba0backed Yes | 43c | 482.6$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.33 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -59%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf626…5a89backed Yes | 42c | 482$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04a7…c0dfbacked Yes | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68fe…8792backed Yes | 40c | 446.67$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.17 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf397…e1dabacked Yes | 38c | 441.17$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.23 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -45%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0c…1a42backed Yes | 39c | 423.68$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x959a…7478backed Yes | 42c | 414.71$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdbd…abf4backed Yes | 39c | 410.26$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6136…f535backed Yes | 36c | 400$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -4.1wins | -0.31per pick | 47cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x92d4…1e62backed Yes | 46c | 374.13$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb5…4df5backed Yes | 38c | 343$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x408e…6cddbacked Yes | 40c | 315.8$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee44…0082backed Yes | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c8…770dbacked Yes | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd538…317cbacked Yes | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +115.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc5a…828bbacked Yes | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f16…0246backed Yes | 46c | 251.73$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e2…1fdcbacked Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5d…70e1backed Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a1…4799backed Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc92d…2339backed Yes | 43c | 247.37$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.49 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c66…79c7backed Yes | 40c | 246.18$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.47 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6228…3c51backed Yes | 39c | 246.15$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked Yes | 23c | 245.23$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.45 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2123…8d70backed Yes | 42c | 238.45$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.15 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70ae…31bcbacked Yes | 38c | 234.21$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1893…f269backed Yes | 40c | 230.15$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb967…65edbacked No | 65c | 230$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Yes | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f32…1532backed Yes | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e9…ee46backed Yes | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 106 | 50.9%54 W · 52 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c38…ab4fbacked Yes | 40c | 218.53$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbde…a050backed Yes | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9714…3014backed Yes | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…6dffbacked Yes | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61e1…adf1backed Yes | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c23…0266backed Yes | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x933c…a8c6backed No | 53c | 199.56$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.89 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x216f…9b1ebacked No | 63c | 191$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.67 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Yes | 38c | 187.35$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Yes | 38c | 187.03$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 155 | 56.8%88 W · 67 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54f5…9093backed Yes | 40c | 176.32$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b63…27a7backed No | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe86…ec62backed Yes | 42c | 166.67$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed Yes | 40c | 161.28$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.51 | 76 | 71.1%54 W · 22 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3394…4defbacked Yes | 45c | 155.56$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37dd…bf14backed Yes | 67c | 149.54$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +113.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7709…c73abacked Yes | 40c | 145.75$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.3 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 38c | 140.94$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.07 | 194 | 18.6%36 W · 158 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaee…7a60backed Yes | 40c | 138.59$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2762…d65abacked Yes | 42c | 138.1$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1da…94c8backed Yes | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +64%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa668…f0f1backed Yes | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6b…fa75backed Yes | 46c | 130.43$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb47…e10bbacked Yes | 39c | 128.22$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ae…6bc8backed Yes | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b1…b14ebacked Yes | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb3b…c8b7backed Yes | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc26…6cd5backed Yes | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 37cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe513…7eebbacked Yes | 46c | 121.02$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.67 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.25per pick | 52cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b7…7a38backed Yes | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa0…441abacked Yes | 40c | 120$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae25…94bbbacked Yes | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88d5…5ae1backed Yes | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the fight be won by submission?this page
- Fight to Go the Distance?Yes won
- Maddalena Parlay - Maddalena Wins by KO, TKO, or DQ & Over 1.5 RoundsNo won
- Makhachev Parlay - Islam Wins Submission & Fight Lasts Over 2.5 RoundsNo won
- O/U 0.5 RoundsOver won
- O/U 1.5 RoundsOver won
- O/U 2.5 RoundsOver won
- O/U 3.5 RoundsOver won
- O/U 4.5 RoundsOver won
- UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)Makhachev won
- Will Islam Makhachev win by KO or TKO?No won
- Will Jack Della Maddalena win by KO or TKO?No won
- Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.