UFC · resolved market

Will Islam Makhachev win by KO or TKO?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x273041fe0ba7c46065b798be9375e9ec75bf8a86c6e93b59d6ba9deb5386b1cf

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Nov 16, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $66,067
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $63,208

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,067 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in UFC
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x5ac4…387ebacked Yes	12c	7,853$913 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$912.69	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.09per pick	43cpaid	-55%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes	11c	5,090$534 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$534.49	420	42.6%179 W · 241 L	-7.3wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbdbd…abf4backed Yes	15c	3,369$505 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$505	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3b6…b5abbacked Yes	7c	3,366$244 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$243.66	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1e5b…d4ecbacked Yes	11c	2,500$275 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$275	33	15.2%5 W · 28 L	-3.3wins	-0.10per pick	25cpaid	-45.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa557…8882backed Yes	12c	2,470$308 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$307.95	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.4wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+16.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9034…f7dfbacked Yes	10c	2,350$235 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$235	32	25%8 W · 24 L	-3.2wins	-0.10per pick	35cpaid	-52.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd6c1…51aabacked Yes	14c	1,949$280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$280	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	+1.7wins	+0.13per pick	33cpaid	+37.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Yes	15c	1,800$270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$270	5	40%2 W · 3 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbd49…d059backed Yes	12c	1,667$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.24per pick	24cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5427…fb62backed Yes	14c	1,603$221 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$221	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f4d…6055backed Yes	13c	1,358$175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175.49	25	36%9 W · 16 L	-2.5wins	-0.10per pick	46cpaid	-35.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7990…c870backed Yes	12c	1,300$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$156	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.15per pick	48cpaid	-55%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd33…c006backed Yes	15c	1,161$177 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$177.14	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb73f…0126backed Yes	13c	1,120$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145.03	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-1.5wins	-0.14per pick	50cpaid	-46.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe94b…5abebacked Yes	13c	1,100$143 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$143.01	30	33.3%10 W · 20 L	-3.4wins	-0.11per pick	45cpaid	-33.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7b43…4e59backed Yes	12c	878.45$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.9	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	25cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfce…b7a5backed Yes	12c	833.94$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x68d0…5e3abacked Yes	13c	807.69$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.7wins	+0.17per pick	33cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f5f…1695backed Yes	13c	773.23$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked No	79c	661.21$524 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$137.32	238	50.4%120 W · 118 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3ecf…e6afbacked Yes	13c	660$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.8	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1805…4571backed Yes	15c	660$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.3wins	-0.33per pick	33cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5032…d300backed Yes	14c	642.86$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.4wins	+0.07per pick	33cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c54…82babacked Yes	19c	517.3$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	87	57.5%50 W · 37 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe37b…20b1backed Yes	11c	500$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfb3b…c8b7backed Yes	10c	500$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.25per pick	25cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bdf…d2f3backed Yes	18c	478.86$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.62	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-50.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9781…bc2abacked Yes	12c	433.33$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+1.2wins	+0.14per pick	42cpaid	+20%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xce31…19c4backed Yes	14c	420.76$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.55	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+1.7wins	+0.57per pick	10cpaid	+1,604.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0234…62dabacked Yes	13c	384.62$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23dc…dd2dbacked Yes	13c	376.92$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49	4	25%1 W · 3 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcd21…9a10backed Yes	14c	357.14$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-32.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x19a7…3ec1backed Yes	10c	340.91$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c38…ab4fbacked Yes	12c	333.33$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.26per pick	26cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x498b…eea1backed Yes	18c	333.33$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb984…e881backed Yes	10c	320$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+1.0wins	+0.17per pick	50cpaid	+30.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5173…7f78backed Yes	17c	302.44$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70ae…31bcbacked Yes	10c	300$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	+28.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb376…f6a0backed Yes	12c	284.42$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.13	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-55%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4978…20c9backed Yes	10c	254.3$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.43	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0a9a…dcbebacked Yes	14c	240.24$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.75	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x593a…57b1backed Yes	13c	230.77$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.18per pick	38cpaid	-64.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x46ed…cfa6backed Yes	17c	228.79$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	22	36.4%8 W · 14 L	-2.8wins	-0.13per pick	49cpaid	-37.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe8f3…0ad1backed Yes	12c	208.33$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x6149…8a58backed No	78c	200.21$155 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.8	73	39.7%29 W · 44 L	-5.8wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9912…4f03backed Yes	10c	200$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	-32.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd609…e8d7backed Yes	12c	200$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x4ce1…227bbacked Yes	10c	200$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.1wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4bf…0be9backed Yes	10c	200$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.35per pick	35cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf00…33a7backed Yes	15c	200$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.12per pick	45cpaid	-55%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5cd…161fbacked Yes	13c	192.31$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-29.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f16…0246backed Yes	13c	192.31$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-1.2wins	-0.12per pick	52cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd404…17e8backed Yes	13c	192.31$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x664b…a286backed Yes	13c	192.23$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.99	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.12per pick	37cpaid	-65.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2217…8689backed Yes	12c	190.58$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.87	24	33.3%8 W · 16 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-31.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7761…185cbacked Yes	20c	178.74$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.2	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.4wins	-0.47per pick	47cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x99c7…1bb4backed Yes	14c	178.57$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5115…40b6backed Yes	12c	177.42$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.29	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xd277…73febacked No	71c	174.83$124 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.7	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.06per pick	63cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fe6…7e61backed Yes	12c	166.67$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.14per pick	39cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa328…971ebacked Yes	12c	166.67$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+1.7wins	+0.34per pick	26cpaid	+113.8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x380c…1099backed Yes	29c	165.52$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	+1.0wins	+0.09per pick	55cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f2c…8e8abacked Yes	16c	158.88$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0d0…4032backed Yes	12c	157.83$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.94	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	-32.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x717e…ca8bbacked Yes	16c	156.25$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a47…aa53backed Yes	12c	155$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.22	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.20per pick	30cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7714…6ac3backed Yes	16c	154.31$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.69	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.10per pick	35cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd872…3c65backed Yes	13c	153.85$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.09per pick	43cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf57…053bbacked Yes	12c	150$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-26%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcf5d…70e1backed Yes	10c	150$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.25per pick	25cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d0a…0809backed Yes	14c	142.86$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.12per pick	21cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e69…d698backed Yes	12c	141.67$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0cdd…11bebacked Yes	10c	140$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	43	37.2%16 W · 27 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2010…510ebacked Yes	12c	125$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6069…1581backed Yes	17c	116.72$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-1.0wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6228…3c51backed Yes	13c	115.38$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.26per pick	26cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3394…4defbacked Yes	26c	113.47$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0c2c…2184backed Yes	10c	110$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.05per pick	35cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02aa…9c2abacked Yes	13c	107.69$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	50	56%28 W · 22 L	+1.8wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	11c	104.6$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.51	194	18.6%36 W · 158 L	-3.4wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa46d…59c4backed Yes	10c	102.5$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.25	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4cf2…9621backed Yes	13c	100$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5fc…248abacked Yes	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd4ce…68ffbacked Yes	43c	100$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.15per pick	35cpaid	+85.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f1f…0b36backed Yes	13c	100$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	-2.5wins	-0.19per pick	50cpaid	-50.4%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9945…1ef5backed Yes	13c	100$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	50	20%10 W · 40 L	-5.6wins	-0.11per pick	31cpaid	-48.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe7c9…7576backed Yes	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.9wins	-0.24per pick	49cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed No	80c	99$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.01	49	53.1%26 W · 23 L	+2.0wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x38a4…bd01backed Yes	14c	97.41$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88f2…54acbacked Yes	14c	84.07$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.77	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.42per pick	42cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x02f3…bb98backed Yes	12c	84$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.08	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	-32.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54f5…9093backed Yes	19c	79.13$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	32	40.6%13 W · 19 L	-2.4wins	-0.07per pick	48cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x72df…b62cbacked Yes	24c	58.64$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.24per pick	24cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c8f…bdccbacked Yes	30c	33.5$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe513…7eebbacked Yes	50c	21.84$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-2.8wins	-0.25per pick	52cpaid	-42.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Islam Makhachev win by KO or TKO?this page
Fight to Go the Distance?Yes won
Maddalena Parlay - Maddalena Wins by KO, TKO, or DQ & Over 1.5 RoundsNo won
Makhachev Parlay - Islam Wins Submission & Fight Lasts Over 2.5 RoundsNo won
O/U 0.5 RoundsOver won
O/U 1.5 RoundsOver won
O/U 2.5 RoundsOver won
O/U 3.5 RoundsOver won
O/U 4.5 RoundsOver won
UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)Makhachev won
Will Jack Della Maddalena win by KO or TKO?No won
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?No won
Will the fight be won by submission?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Islam Makhachev win by KO or TKO?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event