TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x93db…e431

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
88
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: College Football, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category College Football at 58 out of 100; worst UFC at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT2864.3%18 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$5.84
San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Minnesota Twins vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.4
New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.45
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+53%+$10.61
Mariners vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$21.3
Cubs vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$19.64
Dodgers vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.95
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$9.02
Reds vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$19.44
Reds vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$13.46
Dodgers vs. Diamondbacksbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
Dodgers vs. Diamondbacksbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$18.86
Diamondbacks vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.29
Marlins vs. Metsbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Reds vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 28, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$11.75
Twins vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 28, 2025, EDT+57.5%+$11.5
Reds vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2025, EDT+74.2%+$18.56
Orioles vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$39.97
Cardinals vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT+57.7%+$14.62
Cardinals vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$49.92
Orioles vs. Cubsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.94
Orioles vs. Cubsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+70.6%+$16.94
Rockies vs. Guardiansbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT+57.1%+$19.99
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST2373.9%17 W · 6 L+2.5wins+0.11per pick63cpaid+19.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Rams (-3.5)backed Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$12.5
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+88.7%+$44.07
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$24.85
Ravens vs. Steelersbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$24.52
Eagles vs. Chargersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Bears vs. Packersbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+35.1%+$8.78
Broncos vs. Commandersbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+38.9%+$5.83
Bills vs. Steelersbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+61.3%+$15.32
Panthers vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+28.2%+$4.75
Steelers vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+78.6%+$15.71
Lions vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+72.4%+$72.41
Raiders vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+56.3%+$11.25
Spread: Lions (-9.5)backed Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+96.1%+$24.02
Chiefs vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+122.2%+$30.56
Ravens vs. Dolphins: 1H Moneylinebacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$5.64
Texans vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$11.75
Falcons vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$7.03
Eagles vs. Vikingsbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$169Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+55.2%+$93.35
Bears vs. Commandersbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Bills vs. Falconsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$28
Lions vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$13.46
Bengals vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+25%+$25
Rams vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+110.7%+$38.74
All 23 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT1464.3%9 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.79
Timberwolves vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$17.43
Warriors vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+26.6%+$15.15
Heat vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+31.6%+$12
Heat vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+53.8%+$10.77
Spread: Nuggets (-4.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+54.2%+$27.08
Thunder vs. Pacersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$5.27
Heat vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$3.29
Warriors vs. Lakersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$18.1
Rockets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$8.57
All 14 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST1090%9 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.25per pick65cpaid+47%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
College Football — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami vs. Indianabacked Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+33.3%+$8
Oklahoma vs. Alabamabacked Oklahoma · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+111.7%+$13.41
South Carolina vs. Texas A&Mbacked Texas A&M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+63.9%+$9.24
LSU vs. Alabamabacked Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+28.2%+$5.64
Washington State vs. Oregon Statebacked Washington State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Texas vs. Mississippi Statebacked Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
Missouri vs. Vanderbiltbacked Vanderbilt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+27.6%+$45.77
Alabama vs. Georgiabacked Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+43.1%+$14.66
Auburn vs. Texas A&Mbacked Texas A&M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$8.46
USC vs. Illinoisbacked Illinois · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+167.7%+$18.45
All 10 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick69cpaid-15.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Ilia Topuria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
UFC Freedom 250: Aiemann Zahabi vs. Sean O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Sean O'Malley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$13.29
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Pimblett · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$25
UFC 324: Yadong vs. O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed O'Malley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+51.5%+$12.88
Fight to Go the Distance?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Fight to Go the Distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+51.5%+$10.3
Dulgarian vs. del Vallebacked Dulgarian · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Dumas vs. Johnsonbacked Johnson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$7.47
Oliveira vs. Gamrotbacked Oliveira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+100%+$20
All 9 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$16.91
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+56.3%+$14.06
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5.06
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CD Castellón win on 2026-06-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.