MLB · resolved market
Marlins vs. Mets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd613f4d6103f76ad3cd5b426f6f839e90f0b368e8d5ca7afdd48eb66b6b96b37
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marlinsof Marlins, Mets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $246,968
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $253,327
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $246,968 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 149 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Marlins | 30c | 41,826$12,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,278.54 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff1…2890backed Mets | 70c | 17,884$12,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,519 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Mets | 48c | 17,251$8,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,234.38 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Marlins | 67c | 12,723$8,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,245.79 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Mets | 40c | 9,014$3,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,611.25 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x712f…b93bbacked Mets | 70c | 8,000$5,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,600 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Marlins | 59c | 7,558$4,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,063.96 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Mets | 60c | 7,048$4,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,196.74 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Marlins | 30c | 6,761$2,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,742.06 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2745…17b3backed Marlins | 31c | 5,002$1,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,451.38 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Marlins | 41c | 4,482$1,819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,663.77 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa974…ef79backed Mets | 40c | 4,000$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 220 | 47.7%105 W · 115 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Mets | 70c | 3,893$2,707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,706.55 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f2…5495backed Marlins | 40c | 3,155$1,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,904.49 | 97 | 59.8%58 W · 39 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Mets | 43c | 3,120$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350.4 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd500…eb4fbacked Mets | 69c | 3,019$2,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,083.11 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Marlins | 30c | 2,769$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,938.18 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Marlins | 31c | 2,653$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,830.44 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Mets | 69c | 2,567$1,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,771.23 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Mets | 47c | 2,520$1,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,189.38 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Marlins | 30c | 2,500$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,749.99 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Mets | 70c | 2,143$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 241 | 54.4%131 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb9e…e2d9backed Mets | 70c | 1,615$1,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,130.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3462…d3d2backed Mets | 71c | 1,315$934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$933.51 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Mets | 48c | 1,223$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.63 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Mets | 69c | 1,111$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.59 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Mets | 68c | 1,104$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.55 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf19…ca28backed Mets | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.52 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Mets | 17c | 999.98$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 172 | 43%74 W · 98 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Marlins | 30c | 991.09$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694 | 345 | 50.7%175 W · 170 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Marlins | 68c | 957.08$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.46 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Marlins | 31c | 952.74$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.99 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Marlins | 32c | 949.52$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.36 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Mets | 70c | 900.29$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.98 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x823d…8091backed Marlins | 44c | 791.14$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.8 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08ad…208ebacked Marlins | 31c | 765.39$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.12 | 217 | 40.1%87 W · 130 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96e1…50aabacked Marlins | 42c | 764.59$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.09 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Mets | 70c | 725.02$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.7 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Mets | 70c | 707.75$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.43 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18f6…b00bbacked Mets | 70c | 687.01$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.91 | 118 | 59.3%70 W · 48 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…5bd1backed Mets | 42c | 650$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Marlins | 26c | 615.22$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.26 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Mets | 42c | 588.49$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.95 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Mets | 50c | 576.49$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.01 | 513 | 34.5%177 W · 336 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Mets | 5c | 556$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.62 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Mets | 67c | 553.23$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.04 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45c3…42f9backed Mets | 57c | 540.63$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.05 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a2d…58b9backed Mets | 56c | 539.29$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4a…4e2dbacked Marlins | 20c | 537.8$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.24 | 105 | 27.6%29 W · 76 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Marlins | 29c | 523.13$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.42 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Mets | 27c | 474$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.29 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x800e…d9bdbacked Mets | 67c | 447.84$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc623…9afdbacked Marlins | 22c | 446.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.78 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Mets | 47c | 431.54$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.26 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17b9…430dbacked Marlins | 60c | 428.17$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.17 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Mets | 39c | 415$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.85 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Marlins | 30c | 401.39$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.39 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df7…baefbacked Mets | 70c | 400$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Marlins | 70c | 367.05$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.62 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2719…28ddbacked Mets | 64c | 361.19$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.66 | 253 | 64.4%163 W · 90 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Mets | 65c | 356.7$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.12 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Marlins | 30c | 350$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…12cfbacked Mets | 67c | 350$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 63cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Marlins | 31c | 345.16$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.16 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Marlins | 80c | 336.4$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.33 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe98b…780dbacked Marlins | 56c | 334.2$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.05 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Mets | 33c | 331.78$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.28 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…ff23backed Mets | 69c | 299.99$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.99 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Mets | 69c | 289.85$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9d…269dbacked Mets | 17c | 261.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.07 | 331 | 37.5%124 W · 207 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d40…f95abacked Marlins | 58c | 224.59$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.33 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Mets | 70c | 219.51$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.66 | 312 | 54.5%170 W · 142 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf60…8ebcbacked Mets | 70c | 214.29$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x613b…823abacked Mets | 46c | 210$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.3 | 160 | 53.1%85 W · 75 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf78e…0956backed Marlins | 69c | 200.22$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.07 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f5…fe12backed Mets | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45dd…0c58backed Mets | 70c | 200$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Marlins | 32c | 200$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfaaa…95c1backed Mets | 70c | 200$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Mets | 51c | 168.99$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.87 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Marlins | 41c | 168.35$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.61 | 78 | 33.3%26 W · 52 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3e…e822backed Marlins | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.29 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Marlins | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.29 | 478 | 50.4%241 W · 237 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…8507backed Marlins | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.29 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…95a1backed Marlins | 31c | 161$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.09 | 401 | 44.1%177 W · 224 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Mets | 70c | 159$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.3 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed Marlins | 45c | 150.02$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.02 | 544 | 41.2%224 W · 320 L | -22.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Mets | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 342 | 64.3%220 W · 122 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Mets | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Mets | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Mets | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd211…628bbacked Mets | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…fd7fbacked Mets | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 125 | 58.4%73 W · 52 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Mets | 8c | 137.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x257d…aac8backed Marlins | 31c | 129.03$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.03 | 44 | 18.2%8 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Mets | 44c | 115$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Mets | 53c | 110.86$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.94 | 289 | 49.1%142 W · 147 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc417…3ca6backed Mets | 66c | 108.82$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.82 | 148 | 63.5%94 W · 54 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dde…8a88backed Mets | 36c | 101.58$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.86 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Marlins | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 457 | 32.2%147 W · 310 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Marlins vs. Metsthis page
- Marlins vs. Mets: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Mets (-1.5)No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.