MLB · resolved market
Cardinals vs. Dodgers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x345b45c09909ca7d9cae49acfdd4cf8556171e8d5f8b6a3667687e36bd56a2a1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dodgersof Cardinals, Dodgers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $106,522
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $113,989
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $106,522 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 156 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Cardinals | 38c | 24,811$9,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,428 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe55a…761ebacked Dodgers | 62c | 24,767$15,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,411.37 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Cardinals | 15c | 5,281$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784.19 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18ca…9bf2backed Cardinals | 37c | 5,185$1,918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,918.43 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Cardinals | 3c | 5,175$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.01 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Dodgers | 63c | 5,000$3,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,850 | 166 | 47.6%79 W · 87 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f82…9ae1backed Dodgers | 62c | 4,064$2,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,544.22 | 230 | 48.7%112 W · 118 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe84…779ebacked Dodgers | 63c | 3,721$2,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,376.77 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Cardinals | 19c | 3,601$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.71 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Cardinals | 16c | 2,527$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.53 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Cardinals | 38c | 2,446$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.65 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Dodgers | 62c | 2,159$1,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820.47 | 432 | 47.2%204 W · 228 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Cardinals | 37c | 2,000$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Cardinals | 38c | 1,973$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.3 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Dodgers | 63c | 1,900$1,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703 | 208 | 50%104 W · 104 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Cardinals | 4c | 1,686$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Cardinals | 10c | 1,619$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.04 | 272 | 13.6%37 W · 235 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe87a…6d01backed Cardinals | 37c | 1,530$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.4 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Dodgers | 61c | 1,500$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.2 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Cardinals | 14c | 1,475$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.38 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Dodgers | 63c | 1,407$886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.41 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Dodgers | 63c | 1,300$814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.99 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Cardinals | 38c | 1,053$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 667 | 48.7%325 W · 342 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Dodgers | 62c | 1,035$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.13 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Cardinals | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 1,012 | 51.2%518 W · 494 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…0e70backed Cardinals | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 145 | 46.2%67 W · 78 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…cd8ebacked Cardinals | 38c | 937.89$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.6 | 312 | 44.2%138 W · 174 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Dodgers | 69c | 918.66$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.65 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0624…017dbacked Dodgers | 62c | 725.81$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.81 | 266 | 51.1%136 W · 130 L | -16.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Cardinals | 37c | 700$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +12.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1275…5b87backed Cardinals | 8c | 700$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.07 | 129 | 24.8%32 W · 97 L | -11.6wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Cardinals | 37c | 648.17$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.82 | 1,153 | 49.2%567 W · 586 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Dodgers | 62c | 593.75$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.76 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4be9…97ecbacked Dodgers | 69c | 585.03$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.91 | 56 | 67.9%38 W · 18 L | +6.7wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Cardinals | 37c | 544.68$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 254 | 54.3%138 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Dodgers | 62c | 542.5$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.15 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae2a…add1backed Cardinals | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2354…20d0backed Cardinals | 3c | 518.06$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 404 | 3.5%14 W · 390 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…66f0backed Dodgers | 63c | 507.89$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.89 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Dodgers | 63c | 500$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 623 | 46.2%288 W · 335 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb358…e547backed Dodgers | 63c | 500$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb4b…931bbacked Cardinals | 38c | 488$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.44 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Dodgers | 62c | 436.53$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.96 | 1,293 | 47.3%611 W · 682 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Cardinals | 37c | 400$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Cardinals | 38c | 395$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.1 | 1,445 | 50%723 W · 722 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67fd…2b74backed Cardinals | 29c | 389.81$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.68 | 166 | 51.8%86 W · 80 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcca5…6d0cbacked Dodgers | 62c | 387.08$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.09 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf7…cdb7backed Dodgers | 66c | 360$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.4 | 457 | 49.7%227 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Cardinals | 36c | 349.96$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.99 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Cardinals | 38c | 342$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.96 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9d…9de8backed Cardinals | 12c | 341.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x298c…3e58backed Cardinals | 38c | 315.79$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Cardinals | 37c | 304.96$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.84 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Dodgers | 75c | 300$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…289abacked Cardinals | 38c | 264$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.32 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Cardinals | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Cardinals | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Dodgers | 64c | 262.5$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.5 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe063…8a04backed Dodgers | 62c | 257$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.66 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Dodgers | 66c | 243.14$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.14 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a29…c0b6backed Dodgers | 63c | 238.1$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.1 | 166 | 59.6%99 W · 67 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2123…8d70backed Dodgers | 67c | 230.25$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.98 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb5…9609backed Cardinals | 38c | 210.53$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Dodgers | 68c | 209.96$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.69 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…79a4backed Cardinals | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Cardinals | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Cardinals | 38c | 198$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.24 | 2,050 | 53.8%1,103 W · 947 L | +33.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa550…3885backed Cardinals | 37c | 193.05$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.43 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75b6…8ad0backed Cardinals | 29c | 180.35$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.2 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3751…d5ddbacked Cardinals | 38c | 176.31$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7989…da85backed Cardinals | 38c | 171.05$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Dodgers | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 342 | 64.3%220 W · 122 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x363d…fe75backed Dodgers | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 212 | 42.5%90 W · 122 L | -13.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Dodgers | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3c…fb3fbacked Cardinals | 39c | 153.85$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2543…4ffbbacked Cardinals | 38c | 152.63$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Dodgers | 70c | 150$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.5 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Cardinals | 37c | 150$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd244…edbabacked Dodgers | 62c | 138.71$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.71 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0feb…dd9bbacked Cardinals | 37c | 130$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.1 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40e1…ad39backed Dodgers | 62c | 125.8$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.8 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…25ecbacked Dodgers | 62c | 125.8$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.8 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2439…f97fbacked Dodgers | 62c | 124.19$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.19 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Dodgers | 70c | 114.53$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.71 | 59 | 28.8%17 W · 42 L | -6.9wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Dodgers | 73c | 109$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.52 | 263 | 55.5%146 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f8…1affbacked Cardinals | 37c | 108.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 111 | 47.7%53 W · 58 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd32…c9c1backed Cardinals | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Cardinals | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 493 | 48.3%238 W · 255 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…c20abacked Cardinals | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 249 | 51.8%129 W · 120 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Cardinals | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c0…b5fcbacked Dodgers | 62c | 98.39$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.39 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bde…68f2backed Dodgers | 62c | 96.77$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.77 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1957…7656backed Cardinals | 42c | 95.31$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 28cpaid | -85.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84b4…cec5backed Cardinals | 39c | 89.74$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1417…4dd2backed Dodgers | 68c | 88.34$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.34 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49ab…f2a9backed Cardinals | 37c | 80$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 426 | 51.2%218 W · 208 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Cardinals | 39c | 79.87$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.15 | 1,086 | 46.2%502 W · 584 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee4…b575backed Cardinals | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 512 | 45.1%231 W · 281 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x894a…3d3cbacked Cardinals | 38c | 78.27$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6db…e68ebacked Cardinals | 24c | 70.26$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.