MLB · resolved market
Reds vs. Dodgers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4462ba31495064469e762c0280391c96ab96cc824b667c56d237673c9551832e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dodgersof Reds, Dodgers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $563,596
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $559,017
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $563,596 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Reds | 14c | 320,707$46,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,308.61 | 432 | 47.2%204 W · 228 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Reds | 45c | 96,687$43,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,257.29 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Dodgers | 55c | 44,065$24,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,829.24 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Dodgers | 55c | 35,000$19,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,750 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Reds | 45c | 33,333$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Dodgers | 55c | 16,011$8,806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,204.95 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Dodgers | 56c | 14,286$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,285.71 | 196 | 49.5%97 W · 99 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Dodgers | 59c | 12,498$7,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,125.45 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Reds | 44c | 10,409$4,618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,617.63 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Dodgers | 55c | 8,720$4,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,924 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Dodgers | 56c | 7,672$4,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,375.8 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Dodgers | 55c | 6,300$3,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,835 | 1,159 | 49.3%571 W · 588 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed Reds | 44c | 5,673$2,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,495.94 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Dodgers | 56c | 5,625$3,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,474.99 | 130 | 65.4%85 W · 45 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Dodgers | 77c | 5,365$4,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,207.62 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Dodgers | 56c | 5,294$2,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,329.36 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed32…20d6backed Reds | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Dodgers | 55c | 3,715$2,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,671.53 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Dodgers | 56c | 3,333$1,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,466.5 | 997 | 50.1%499 W · 498 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Dodgers | 78c | 2,774$2,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.79 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Dodgers | 72c | 2,739$1,974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.72 | 9,891 | 46.4%4,594 W · 5,297 L | +40.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Reds | 20c | 2,524$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.93 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Dodgers | 55c | 2,500$1,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Dodgers | 74c | 2,080$1,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.21 | 345 | 50.7%175 W · 170 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Reds | 44c | 2,079$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$914.76 | 234 | 55.6%130 W · 104 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b8…b745backed Reds | 44c | 1,800$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1dfcbacked Dodgers | 56c | 1,800$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Dodgers | 55c | 1,780$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801 | 1,926 | 53.4%1,029 W · 897 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f3…d82cbacked Dodgers | 56c | 1,750$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Reds | 4c | 1,546$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.16 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Dodgers | 55c | 1,429$786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.11 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Reds | 44c | 1,384$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.96 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb142…cd11backed Reds | 41c | 1,371$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.18 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Dodgers | 56c | 1,354$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.91 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…be88backed Reds | 1c | 1,333$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 255 | 11.8%30 W · 225 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb006…4eb8backed Reds | 43c | 1,234$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.59 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Reds | 45c | 1,200$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 301 | 51.5%155 W · 146 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Reds | 45c | 966$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.7 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4180…cf9cbacked Reds | 44c | 924.16$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.63 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Reds | 43c | 899.96$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.98 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40ab…fbb5backed Reds | 44c | 872.55$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.92 | 166 | 54.8%91 W · 75 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Reds | 44c | 852.27$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Dodgers | 56c | 714.29$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.29 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d5…1ccbbacked Dodgers | 55c | 665.45$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.45 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Dodgers | 70c | 663.14$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.09 | 4,201 | 50.2%2,109 W · 2,092 L | +94.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77c4…3e4ebacked Reds | 5c | 625.61$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.28 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0624…017dbacked Dodgers | 56c | 625$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 266 | 51.1%136 W · 130 L | -16.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Dodgers | 57c | 526$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.18 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Dodgers | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Reds | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,219 | 40.4%493 W · 726 L | -33.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Reds | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9171…a0c6backed Reds | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x089d…c7c9backed Reds | 10c | 448$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.73 | 107 | 13.1%14 W · 93 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c96…f165backed Reds | 44c | 420.83$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Reds | 43c | 399.97$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.99 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed Reds | 40c | 372.51$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fc…5ddfbacked Dodgers | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3b1…979abacked Dodgers | 57c | 345.49$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.56 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Reds | 44c | 338.7$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Reds | 43c | 312.49$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.37 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Reds | 44c | 300$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 3,320 | 46.2%1,535 W · 1,785 L | +22.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe063…8a04backed Reds | 10c | 295$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.29 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Dodgers | 55c | 284.26$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.92 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Reds | 5c | 283.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,402 | 55.1%773 W · 629 L | -29.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Dodgers | 56c | 267$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.48 | 313 | 47.9%150 W · 163 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Dodgers | 75c | 264.88$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.65 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa550…3885backed Reds | 43c | 244$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.92 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Reds | 43c | 233$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.19 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Reds | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Reds | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Reds | 42c | 227.17$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.41 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Dodgers | 57c | 222.81$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.81 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Dodgers | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d74…2759backed Reds | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7db7…d372backed Dodgers | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Reds | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3c…fb3fbacked Reds | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6282…e8f2backed Reds | 13c | 198.5$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.69 | 74 | 27%20 W · 54 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Reds | 45c | 195.56$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Dodgers | 56c | 194$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.36 | 340 | 51.2%174 W · 166 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Reds | 44c | 181.82$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Dodgers | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a6…d90cbacked Dodgers | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +3.5wins | +0.19per pick | 45cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cb…9c85backed Dodgers | 49c | 155$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.05 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x510a…cd0ebacked Reds | 51c | 155$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.05 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Reds | 43c | 149.99$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.5 | 331 | 40.2%133 W · 198 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9c…f9bebacked Dodgers | 58c | 134.43$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.46 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…ff23backed Dodgers | 55c | 133$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.85 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a29…c0b6backed Dodgers | 58c | 120.69$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.69 | 166 | 59.6%99 W · 67 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Reds | 43c | 117.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.25 | 1,293 | 47.3%611 W · 682 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…8507backed Reds | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadc4…1ce3backed Dodgers | 56c | 110$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.4 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x900b…34bcbacked Dodgers | 57c | 105.26$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.26 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Dodgers | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0258…13bfbacked Reds | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Dodgers | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 172 | 43%74 W · 98 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3095…8e0ebacked Reds | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 155 | 43.9%68 W · 87 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92ed…82c6backed Dodgers | 55c | 99.99$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Reds | 41c | 99.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 564 | 40.4%228 W · 336 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc417…3ca6backed Dodgers | 56c | 99.99$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 148 | 63.5%94 W · 54 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Reds vs. Dodgersthis page
- Reds vs. Dodgers: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Dodgers (-1.5)Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.