NBA · resolved market
Heat vs. Lakers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf192aee1653bfada50a4ee99868db2e12df6ab2b925b56a38f1cfdae616aa2b6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lakersof Heat, Lakers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,446,821
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,532,069
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,446,821 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 558 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8dbf…53bebacked Heat | 37c | 611,037$223,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223,354.37 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Lakers | 69c | 415,975$287,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128,629.98 | 202 | 53.5%108 W · 94 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Heat | 23c | 300,005$69,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69,001.07 | 382 | 48.7%186 W · 196 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…1556backed Heat | 26c | 200,000$52,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,999.97 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Lakers | 74c | 118,085$87,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,004.4 | 192 | 49.5%95 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Lakers | 64c | 100,000$64,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,699.99 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d58…9a15backed Heat | 27c | 97,000$26,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,289.99 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1c…a0a4backed Lakers | 64c | 93,633$59,957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,676.04 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Lakers | 68c | 87,591$59,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,338.22 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8628…6f0bbacked Heat | 36c | 82,937$29,641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,640.5 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -3.9wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Lakers | 63c | 76,355$48,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,913.4 | 710 | 52.1%370 W · 340 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Lakers | 73c | 70,026$50,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,217.86 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Lakers | 80c | 58,647$46,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,840.43 | 474 | 48.7%231 W · 243 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…936fbacked Heat | 17c | 54,650$9,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,290.43 | 83 | 33.7%28 W · 55 L | -7.6wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Lakers | 68c | 52,835$35,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,883.87 | 148 | 56.1%83 W · 65 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Lakers | 76c | 52,798$40,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,795.66 | 340 | 62.1%211 W · 129 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Lakers | 63c | 51,878$32,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,944.53 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Lakers | 63c | 50,714$31,951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,763.41 | 418 | 48.3%202 W · 216 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f2…ace5backed Heat | 36c | 46,000$16,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,560 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Lakers | 75c | 33,812$25,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,500.76 | 279 | 17.9%50 W · 229 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…59dabacked Heat | 0c | 33,334$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.94 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d7…bef5backed Heat | 18c | 29,929$5,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,250 | 259 | 25.9%67 W · 192 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5077…4e7cbacked Heat | 32c | 28,362$9,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,039.32 | 97 | 33%32 W · 65 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Heat | 35c | 22,857$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c8…fed1backed Heat | 36c | 19,500$7,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,023.96 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Lakers | 75c | 17,861$13,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,464.97 | 471 | 44.2%208 W · 263 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Lakers | 78c | 17,195$13,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,744.97 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Lakers | 78c | 16,121$12,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,577.65 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e8…731cbacked Heat | 21c | 15,716$3,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,285.51 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Lakers | 64c | 15,000$9,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,400 | 346 | 45.4%157 W · 189 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked Lakers | 64c | 14,950$9,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,456.32 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +7.2wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Lakers | 64c | 14,870$9,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,406.08 | 300 | 53.3%160 W · 140 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Lakers | 65c | 14,600$9,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,110 | 222 | 43.7%97 W · 125 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Lakers | 64c | 14,555$9,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,297.78 | 121 | 60.3%73 W · 48 L | +10.3wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Lakers | 79c | 14,524$11,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,073.2 | 524 | 60.1%315 W · 209 L | +35.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Lakers | 73c | 12,339$9,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,321.87 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…8f58backed Heat | 37c | 11,351$4,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,199.86 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7bd…2a37backed Heat | 15c | 10,800$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,620 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +7.6wins | +0.19per pick | 19cpaid | +241.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x25cc…9297backed Lakers | 65c | 10,000$6,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,500 | 169 | 42%71 W · 98 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x007b…adc6backed Lakers | 64c | 9,668$6,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,480.31 | 147 | 27.9%41 W · 106 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59f4…c1f1backed Lakers | 77c | 9,624$7,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,218.76 | 98 | 38.8%38 W · 60 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Heat | 32c | 7,932$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 310 | 44.8%139 W · 171 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2630…e941backed Heat | 9c | 7,450$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.13 | 428 | 45.1%193 W · 235 L | -15.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Lakers | 63c | 6,775$4,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,506.73 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb7…082dbacked Lakers | 72c | 6,000$4,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680 | 132 | 50%66 W · 66 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…f0cabacked Lakers | 64c | 5,594$3,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,013.75 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d85…228ebacked Heat | 38c | 5,533$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Heat | 23c | 5,437$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260.07 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9015…de85backed Heat | 32c | 5,140$1,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,662 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Heat | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 401 | 33.4%134 W · 267 L | +27.0wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e8…4bf2backed Lakers | 64c | 4,972$3,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,789.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Lakers | 64c | 4,941$3,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,772.9 | 489 | 44.2%216 W · 273 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb644…d6e1backed Heat | 19c | 4,905$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$932.94 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…3aa5backed Heat | 35c | 4,629$1,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,638.23 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +32%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Heat | 20c | 4,500$919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918.75 | 270 | 41.5%112 W · 158 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe887…05cabacked Lakers | 65c | 4,425$2,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,548.62 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Heat | 36c | 4,337$1,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,555.21 | 248 | 35.1%87 W · 161 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Heat | 36c | 4,050$1,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,458 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Heat | 0c | 4,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 457 | 3.5%16 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Heat | 35c | 4,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9376…c075backed Heat | 18c | 3,965$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.91 | 141 | 56%79 W · 62 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…733ebacked Heat | 30c | 3,931$1,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,165 | 98 | 57.1%56 W · 42 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Lakers | 73c | 3,921$2,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,048.32 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Heat | 35c | 3,593$1,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,262.33 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ae…7b92backed Heat | 36c | 3,500$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,259.97 | 181 | 42%76 W · 105 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9d…269dbacked Heat | 18c | 3,462$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.59 | 487 | 39.8%194 W · 293 L | -21.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b1…a75ebacked Heat | 29c | 3,397$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.82 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Heat | 1c | 3,396$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.96 | 645 | 17.1%110 W · 535 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Heat | 15c | 3,183$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.18 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a7…d3abbacked Heat | 14c | 3,140$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.64 | 200 | 34%68 W · 132 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked Heat | 36c | 3,100$1,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,109 | 185 | 36.8%68 W · 117 L | -11.8wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c2d…3749backed Lakers | 69c | 3,074$2,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$953.04 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Heat | 37c | 3,000$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110 | 477 | 48.8%233 W · 244 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Lakers | 64c | 2,910$1,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056.82 | 444 | 59.7%265 W · 179 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17d5…6438backed Heat | 14c | 2,827$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…ee55backed Lakers | 73c | 2,783$2,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.49 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6de…95e8backed Heat | 36c | 2,778$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 230 | 47%108 W · 122 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06c0…e618backed Lakers | 65c | 2,759$1,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$965.64 | 134 | 55.2%74 W · 60 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa15b…252ebacked Lakers | 74c | 2,703$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.7 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa746…d20dbacked Lakers | 78c | 2,658$2,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.22 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c14…04d9backed Heat | 1c | 2,657$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.92 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf22c…9050backed Heat | 18c | 2,618$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.23 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Heat | 37c | 2,500$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$925 | 180 | 47.8%86 W · 94 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa71a…e4e2backed Lakers | 65c | 2,443$1,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.08 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…3c20backed Heat | 13c | 2,034$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.16 | 64 | 28.1%18 W · 46 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Heat | 21c | 2,023$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.88 | 853 | 44%375 W · 478 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcac4…bf62backed Lakers | 74c | 2,018$1,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.74 | 36 | 75%27 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Heat | 22c | 2,000$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435 | 784 | 45.8%359 W · 425 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48d…5182backed Lakers | 69c | 1,900$1,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589 | 46 | 71.7%33 W · 13 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +23%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Heat | 36c | 1,889$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Heat | 8c | 1,873$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.42 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Lakers | 79c | 1,734$1,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.63 | 169 | 62.1%105 W · 64 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ff…805cbacked Heat | 36c | 1,667$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 428 | 27.3%117 W · 311 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc9…e444backed Heat | 12c | 1,597$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.02 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -6.0wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb4…c292backed Lakers | 64c | 1,563$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.5 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 69cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf162…63cdbacked Lakers | 64c | 1,518$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.52 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd99…f375backed Lakers | 77c | 1,509$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.36 | 381 | 51.2%195 W · 186 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Heat | 18c | 1,450$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.48 | 260 | 38.1%99 W · 161 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc17f…50aabacked Lakers | 77c | 1,424$1,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.78 | 240 | 48.3%116 W · 124 L | -13.4wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a8…a48ebacked Lakers | 64c | 1,406$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.25 | 143 | 58.7%84 W · 59 L | +12.9wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Heat vs. Lakersthis page
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-2.5)Lakers won
- Heat vs. Lakers: O/U 232.5Over won
- Heat vs. Lakers: O/U 233.5Over won
- Heat vs. Lakers: O/U 234.5Over won
- Heat vs. Lakers: O/U 235.5Over won
- Heat vs. Lakers: O/U 236.5Over won
- Heat vs. Lakers: O/U 237.5Over won
- Spread: Lakers (-4.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Lakers (-5.5)Lakers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.