MLB · resolved market
Diamondbacks vs. Dodgers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x92d6d2177b34dce9da2caef28bddc6ca9714845fddef79067ad2af0daad3c329
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Diamondbacksof Diamondbacks, Dodgers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $385,173
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $373,360
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $385,173 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 161 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Diamondbacks | 34c | 238,174$80,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157,248.97 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Dodgers | 66c | 50,000$33,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,000 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Dodgers | 66c | 50,000$33,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,000 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Dodgers | 66c | 40,610$26,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,771.5 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Dodgers | 66c | 24,034$15,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,862.13 | 171 | 56.1%96 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Dodgers | 66c | 23,345$15,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,351.56 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Dodgers | 46c | 15,032$6,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,954.42 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Dodgers | 2c | 13,595$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.16 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Diamondbacks | 34c | 12,111$4,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,993.26 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x712f…b93bbacked Dodgers | 66c | 12,000$7,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,920 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Diamondbacks | 34c | 10,077$3,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,651.67 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Dodgers | 66c | 9,000$5,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,940 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Diamondbacks | 36c | 7,714$2,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,936.89 | 196 | 49.5%97 W · 99 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Dodgers | 66c | 7,400$4,884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,883.82 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Dodgers | 19c | 7,328$1,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,401.38 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Diamondbacks | 35c | 6,836$2,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,433.23 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Dodgers | 12c | 6,000$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.42 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Dodgers | 66c | 6,000$3,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,960 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Dodgers | 65c | 5,403$3,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,525.78 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Dodgers | 64c | 5,234$3,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,349.98 | 432 | 47.2%204 W · 228 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Diamondbacks | 76c | 5,072$3,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,236.41 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Dodgers | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.08 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Dodgers | 66c | 5,000$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,300 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Dodgers | 66c | 4,706$3,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,105.73 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Diamondbacks | 35c | 4,450$1,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,892.53 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Dodgers | 66c | 3,860$2,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,547.6 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ea…0fc1backed Diamondbacks | 73c | 3,662$2,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985.51 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Dodgers | 58c | 3,184$1,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,850.36 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Dodgers | 30c | 2,629$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.61 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Dodgers | 63c | 2,562$1,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,614.09 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Dodgers | 66c | 2,500$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Dodgers | 25c | 2,321$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf19…ca28backed Dodgers | 66c | 2,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Dodgers | 10c | 1,897$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.73 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee5b…0e96backed Diamondbacks | 35c | 1,766$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,147.9 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Dodgers | 67c | 1,493$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Dodgers | 64c | 1,365$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.99 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Dodgers | 67c | 1,089$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.19 | 254 | 54.3%138 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Diamondbacks | 37c | 1,081$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.08 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Diamondbacks | 35c | 1,023$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.93 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Diamondbacks | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +12.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Diamondbacks | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Dodgers | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed Dodgers | 14c | 957.14$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 181 | 55.8%101 W · 80 L | -11.4wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Diamondbacks | 36c | 833.33$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.33 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Diamondbacks | 37c | 810$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.3 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Dodgers | 69c | 779$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.69 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03d2…7fb7backed Dodgers | 67c | 771.72$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Diamondbacks | 34c | 750$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x773c…cf18backed Diamondbacks | 36c | 694.44$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.44 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6148…acadbacked Diamondbacks | 35c | 693.99$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.09 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | +21.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf647…7911backed Dodgers | 60c | 665.38$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Dodgers | 26c | 648.04$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.23 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df7…baefbacked Dodgers | 65c | 615.38$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0624…017dbacked Dodgers | 66c | 606.06$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 266 | 51.1%136 W · 130 L | -16.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Diamondbacks | 36c | 551.54$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.99 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Dodgers | 66c | 534$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.44 | 207 | 48.8%101 W · 106 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Diamondbacks | 35c | 510.51$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.83 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Diamondbacks | 36c | 500$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Dodgers | 10c | 499.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 172 | 43%74 W · 98 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Diamondbacks | 35c | 481.99$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.29 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7836…6bc4backed Dodgers | 36c | 478.81$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.37 | 113 | 31.9%36 W · 77 L | -11.1wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…289abacked Diamondbacks | 38c | 477$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.33 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Diamondbacks | 36c | 470.36$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.03 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Dodgers | 67c | 460.41$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.37 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Diamondbacks | 36c | 419.98$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.78 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Dodgers | 37c | 410.65$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Dodgers | 63c | 380.99$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.03 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Dodgers | 12c | 360$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Diamondbacks | 35c | 350$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.5 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Dodgers | 8c | 350$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 212 | 46.2%98 W · 114 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe880…de2dbacked Dodgers | 65c | 347.88$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.12 | 84 | 54.8%46 W · 38 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Dodgers | 63c | 308.01$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.31 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Diamondbacks | 33c | 300$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201 | 326 | 51.5%168 W · 158 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9375…1dbdbacked Dodgers | 66c | 300$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 112 | 57.1%64 W · 48 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3088…ec44backed Diamondbacks | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.27 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Dodgers | 62c | 252.1$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.3 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa550…3885backed Diamondbacks | 35c | 244.98$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.24 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6282…e8f2backed Dodgers | 6c | 244.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 74 | 27%20 W · 54 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…7deebacked Diamondbacks | 37c | 216.22$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.22 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1db8…2d38backed Dodgers | 65c | 215.38$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Dodgers | 66c | 214$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.24 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadc4…1ce3backed Diamondbacks | 36c | 200$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45dd…0c58backed Dodgers | 66c | 200$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Diamondbacks | 36c | 200$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc417…3ca6backed Dodgers | 64c | 200$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 148 | 63.5%94 W · 54 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2c…4ae8backed Dodgers | 67c | 174.17$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 240 | 51.7%124 W · 116 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Diamondbacks | 33c | 156.51$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.58 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Dodgers | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb358…e547backed Dodgers | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a09…335dbacked Dodgers | 15c | 153.59$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.93 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Dodgers | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e2c…e2fdbacked Dodgers | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf60…8ebcbacked Dodgers | 65c | 150.31$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.7 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Dodgers | 66c | 150$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Diamondbacks | 35c | 150$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 564 | 40.4%228 W · 336 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe782…e7d9backed Dodgers | 66c | 150$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 122 | 58.2%71 W · 51 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Dodgers | 68c | 147.46$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Diamondbacks | 34c | 141.18$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.18 | 478 | 50.4%241 W · 237 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6891…949fbacked Dodgers | 65c | 140$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Diamondbacks vs. Dodgersthis page
- Diamondbacks vs. Dodgers: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Dodgers (-1.5)No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.