NBA · resolved market
Warriors vs. Nuggets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1fac85c2aa31eb01e29e572313b5db61e928d6af003fa8bd6e796976114c3877
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nuggetsof Warriors, Nuggets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $395,479
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $432,776
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $395,479 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 263 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Warriors | 21c | 49,937$10,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,398.03 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Nuggets | 79c | 12,600$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,599.83 | 340 | 62.1%211 W · 129 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Warriors | 18c | 12,223$2,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,195.67 | 260 | 38.1%99 W · 161 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…3ea6backed Warriors | 18c | 12,170$2,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,190.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a84…4f5dbacked Warriors | 20c | 11,700$2,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,340 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeded…1db9backed Nuggets | 80c | 11,700$9,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,340 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +189.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Warriors | 11c | 10,541$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120.28 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Nuggets | 80c | 10,504$8,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,112.67 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1252…dec2backed Nuggets | 80c | 10,223$8,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,044.57 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Warriors | 23c | 10,147$2,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,314.91 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Warriors | 5c | 10,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 346 | 45.4%157 W · 189 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Warriors | 21c | 8,836$1,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,837.42 | 243 | 30.9%75 W · 168 L | -11.5wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Warriors | 19c | 7,400$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410 | 618 | 35.4%219 W · 399 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Warriors | 20c | 7,148$1,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,421.5 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd54…b245backed Warriors | 20c | 6,666$1,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,364.27 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Warriors | 20c | 5,591$1,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,118.14 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Nuggets | 75c | 4,937$3,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,244.46 | 477 | 51.8%247 W · 230 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Warriors | 12c | 4,898$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.64 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc7…e411backed Nuggets | 78c | 3,477$2,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.16 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Nuggets | 79c | 3,365$2,658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.56 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebf1…1d5dbacked Nuggets | 80c | 3,285$2,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.08 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 69cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Nuggets | 78c | 2,805$2,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.12 | 202 | 53.5%108 W · 94 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Warriors | 20c | 2,480$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.62 | 784 | 45.8%359 W · 425 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd43f…0bb0backed Warriors | 9c | 2,249$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.58 | 355 | 32.4%115 W · 240 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef2…f473backed Warriors | 18c | 2,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Warriors | 21c | 2,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Warriors | 20c | 2,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 345 | 24.3%84 W · 261 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Warriors | 16c | 1,707$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.4 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74bc…98c9backed Warriors | 16c | 1,617$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.11 | 130 | 42.3%55 W · 75 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Warriors | 19c | 1,602$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.04 | 444 | 59.7%265 W · 179 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Warriors | 20c | 1,525$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Warriors | 20c | 1,519$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.88 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Nuggets | 78c | 1,475$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.44 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48dd…1d79backed Warriors | 1c | 1,452$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x236d…5e45backed Nuggets | 72c | 1,394$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.79 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Warriors | 22c | 1,364$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 310 | 44.8%139 W · 171 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84b8…1193backed Warriors | 37c | 1,340$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3987…259ebacked Warriors | 20c | 1,320$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 80 | 22.5%18 W · 62 L | -10.0wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Nuggets | 78c | 1,302$1,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.66 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Nuggets | 71c | 1,098$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.99 | 394 | 49.2%194 W · 200 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Nuggets | 77c | 1,074$827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.08 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Warriors | 19c | 1,072$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.68 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Nuggets | 59c | 1,030$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.3 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Nuggets | 79c | 1,021$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.41 | 313 | 47%147 W · 166 L | -14.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f6…2e01backed Nuggets | 78c | 1,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 167 | 49.1%82 W · 85 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Warriors | 19c | 999.99$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 179 | 31.8%57 W · 122 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12fc…a2b1backed Nuggets | 78c | 985$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9912…4f03backed Nuggets | 74c | 964.67$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.21 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1161…ed62backed Warriors | 21c | 946.01$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +7.2wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa727…8289backed Nuggets | 80c | 750$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 72 | 61.1%44 W · 28 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21e6…cbd8backed Warriors | 29c | 692.5$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.82 | 114 | 59.6%68 W · 46 L | +8.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…b792backed Warriors | 21c | 661$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.81 | 699 | 29.8%208 W · 491 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Nuggets | 79c | 626$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.46 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd76e…225bbacked Warriors | 21c | 618$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.78 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0c…b90abacked Warriors | 34c | 600$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 174 | 44.3%77 W · 97 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Nuggets | 79c | 576$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.96 | 949 | 51.3%487 W · 462 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Warriors | 20c | 575.19$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.04 | 246 | 34.1%84 W · 162 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea1…56f2backed Warriors | 21c | 530$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.3 | 591 | 31.1%184 W · 407 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2630…e941backed Nuggets | 65c | 529.22$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.72 | 428 | 45.1%193 W · 235 L | -15.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Warriors | 14c | 525$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.75 | 1,113 | 41.6%463 W · 650 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a0…c3b9backed Nuggets | 79c | 500$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 275 | 47.6%131 W · 144 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8465…6bbdbacked Warriors | 22c | 500$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d79…4da1backed Warriors | 21c | 499.99$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cc…9f53backed Warriors | 17c | 494.09$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.5 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff9…bdc5backed Warriors | 27c | 470.91$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.7 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Warriors | 19c | 463.06$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.41 | 302 | 49.3%149 W · 153 L | +33.5wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5284…27f5backed Nuggets | 65c | 460.64$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.64 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Warriors | 19c | 416$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.04 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3a…67cabacked Warriors | 24c | 415.8$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 508 | 38.2%194 W · 314 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d6a…37bfbacked Warriors | 23c | 400$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b30…48a8backed Warriors | 22c | 400$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Warriors | 27c | 400$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa763…709ebacked Nuggets | 78c | 387.99$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.36 | 198 | 45.5%90 W · 108 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Nuggets | 78c | 355.34$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.37 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Warriors | 20c | 318.1$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.2 | 248 | 35.1%87 W · 161 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…1654backed Warriors | 13c | 309.52$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 104 | 31.7%33 W · 71 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69c2…40cfbacked Warriors | 21c | 300$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 481 | 32.6%157 W · 324 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Nuggets | 77c | 300$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 457 | 43.3%198 W · 259 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd99…f375backed Warriors | 16c | 300$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.88 | 381 | 51.2%195 W · 186 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…3e9fbacked Warriors | 20c | 300$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 92 | 27.2%25 W · 67 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x769f…7b86backed Nuggets | 78c | 300$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Warriors | 21c | 298.84$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.02 | 289 | 40.8%118 W · 171 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc740…9b0dbacked Warriors | 22c | 290$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Warriors | 26c | 286.17$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.37 | 433 | 21.2%92 W · 341 L | -15.0wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Warriors | 21c | 285.71$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 427 | 44.5%190 W · 237 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62fb…4d60backed Nuggets | 75c | 273$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.25 | 355 | 47.3%168 W · 187 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Warriors | 22c | 241.23$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.02 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Warriors | 21c | 239$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.19 | 524 | 32.6%171 W · 353 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…1081backed Warriors | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75e1…3ff3backed Nuggets | 80c | 225$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…7ed4backed Warriors | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 111 | 29.7%33 W · 78 L | -9.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Warriors | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 608 | 34.4%209 W · 399 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…bce2backed Warriors | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 774 | 37.5%290 W · 484 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…0730backed Warriors | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 110 | 28.2%31 W · 79 L | -9.1wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed Warriors | 20c | 197.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.53 | 137 | 40.9%56 W · 81 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd5…1306backed Warriors | 20c | 197.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.53 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x209c…efc4backed Warriors | 23c | 194.65$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.77 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -4.0wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4a76…ddd4backed Warriors | 22c | 194$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.68 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa979…21cfbacked Nuggets | 79c | 194$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c5…f798backed Nuggets | 79c | 194$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.74 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Warriors vs. Nuggetsthis page
- Spread: Nuggets (-3.5)Nuggets won
- Warriors vs. Nuggets: O/U 232.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.