MLB · resolved market
Twins vs. Blue Jays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc8d7535cf4bf8c6709b5761b0a568786d4a3f01b0089529d2f9aa9aebe6ac037
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Blue Jaysof Twins, Blue Jays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,310,415
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,256,223
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,310,415 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 214 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Twins | 38c | 774,854$294,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294,246.35 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Blue Jays | 63c | 238,000$149,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88,060 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Twins | 37c | 232,744$86,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86,114.73 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Blue Jays | 62c | 172,187$106,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65,434.44 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Blue Jays | 62c | 95,146$58,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,155.31 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Blue Jays | 62c | 53,200$32,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,216 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Twins | 38c | 46,443$17,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,648.45 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x081c…f010backed Blue Jays | 62c | 32,000$19,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,160 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Blue Jays | 62c | 31,006$19,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,778.1 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Blue Jays | 65c | 28,546$18,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,952.06 | 171 | 56.1%96 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3751…7dfdbacked Blue Jays | 62c | 21,406$13,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,134.42 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Blue Jays | 56c | 19,877$11,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,829.4 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Blue Jays | 61c | 19,402$11,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,479.31 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Twins | 38c | 19,000$7,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,219.99 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Blue Jays | 62c | 17,909$11,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,725.14 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Twins | 39c | 15,497$5,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,995.64 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x991a…2411backed Twins | 40c | 13,605$5,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,421.44 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Blue Jays | 53c | 13,445$7,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,384.71 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Blue Jays | 62c | 13,000$8,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,940 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff1…2890backed Blue Jays | 62c | 12,517$7,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,756.43 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Blue Jays | 62c | 11,110$6,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,255.12 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Blue Jays | 61c | 10,608$6,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,126.52 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Blue Jays | 62c | 10,000$6,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,800 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Twins | 38c | 10,000$3,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,799.99 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x712f…b93bbacked Blue Jays | 62c | 9,000$5,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,419.99 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Blue Jays | 62c | 8,010$4,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,043.8 | 130 | 65.4%85 W · 45 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Blue Jays | 62c | 7,656$4,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,909.28 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Blue Jays | 62c | 7,260$4,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,758.8 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Blue Jays | 41c | 7,202$2,957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,244.57 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Blue Jays | 62c | 5,800$3,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,203.83 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Blue Jays | 65c | 5,158$3,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,801.48 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea98…ce4dbacked Blue Jays | 62c | 5,092$3,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,935.02 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Blue Jays | 62c | 5,080$3,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,930.4 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x350d…a3d2backed Twins | 37c | 5,010$1,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,853.69 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Blue Jays | 62c | 4,288$2,659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,629.44 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Blue Jays | 20c | 4,142$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,313.46 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Blue Jays | 62c | 4,000$2,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb006…4eb8backed Blue Jays | 63c | 3,334$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,233.58 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Twins | 67c | 2,944$1,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,966.08 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Twins | 50c | 2,566$1,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,291.41 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Blue Jays | 62c | 2,500$1,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Blue Jays | 53c | 2,096$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985.23 | 241 | 54.4%131 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Twins | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Blue Jays | 63c | 2,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf75…ee4fbacked Blue Jays | 19c | 1,877$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,520.71 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +64%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Twins | 68c | 1,828$1,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,238.39 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d5…1ccbbacked Blue Jays | 63c | 1,714$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.29 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519f…2af7backed Blue Jays | 63c | 1,587$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.3 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Twins | 37c | 1,538$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.8 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Blue Jays | 63c | 1,480$932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.6 | 282 | 58.5%165 W · 117 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…f04bbacked Blue Jays | 63c | 1,274$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.43 | 378 | 57.4%217 W · 161 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41e…d27dbacked Blue Jays | 72c | 1,256$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.04 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Twins | 37c | 1,250$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.5 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Blue Jays | 51c | 1,117$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.85 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Blue Jays | 17c | 1,080$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$897.2 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Twins | 36c | 1,073$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.26 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3afe…6d3dbacked Blue Jays | 57c | 1,031$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +74.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Blue Jays | 42c | 1,000$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.62 | 78 | 33.3%26 W · 52 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Blue Jays | 62c | 910.76$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.09 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Blue Jays | 62c | 900$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Twins | 38c | 897.11$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.9 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6148…acadbacked Twins | 37c | 797$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.89 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | +21.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Blue Jays | 62c | 774.19$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.19 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Blue Jays | 67c | 749.52$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.52 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Blue Jays | 51c | 702.67$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.42 | 172 | 43%74 W · 98 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03d2…7fb7backed Blue Jays | 63c | 695.48$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.53 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Twins | 72c | 679$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.73 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Blue Jays | 35c | 669$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.85 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Blue Jays | 63c | 600$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Blue Jays | 62c | 559.93$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.77 | 301 | 51.5%155 W · 146 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Twins | 37c | 553$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.51 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Twins | 37c | 549.99$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.5 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +13.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaade…71f1backed Blue Jays | 62c | 548.52$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.44 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Twins | 37c | 544.19$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.35 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7836…6bc4backed Blue Jays | 17c | 500$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415 | 113 | 31.9%36 W · 77 L | -11.1wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Blue Jays | 25c | 500$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 182 | 49.5%90 W · 92 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f70…63b2backed Twins | 39c | 500$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Twins | 6c | 499.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 254 | 16.1%41 W · 213 L | -15.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Blue Jays | 56c | 447$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.62 | 212 | 46.2%98 W · 114 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Blue Jays | 46c | 421$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.68 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecba…5fb4backed Blue Jays | 58c | 412.19$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.19 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb8c…0a55backed Blue Jays | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18f6…b00bbacked Blue Jays | 62c | 403.5$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.33 | 118 | 59.3%70 W · 48 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Blue Jays | 44c | 377.28$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.67 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Blue Jays | 17c | 356.47$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.87 | 272 | 13.6%37 W · 235 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Blue Jays | 62c | 350$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Twins | 34c | 349.6$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.05 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6979…d7a2backed Twins | 32c | 347.94$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.08 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Blue Jays | 63c | 341$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.17 | 340 | 51.2%174 W · 166 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Twins | 59c | 340.39$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.5 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…23c5backed Twins | 39c | 328.21$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Twins | 36c | 326.36$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.43 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa320…8232backed Blue Jays | 62c | 322.96$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.73 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -20.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Twins | 38c | 300$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…bedbbacked Twins | 68c | 300$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 133 | 59.4%79 W · 54 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Blue Jays | 62c | 297.47$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.04 | 326 | 51.5%168 W · 158 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Blue Jays | 62c | 291.63$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.82 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Blue Jays | 63c | 291.4$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.82 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Blue Jays | 35c | 270.94$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.29 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Twins | 38c | 263$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.94 | 313 | 47.9%150 W · 163 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Twins vs. Blue Jaysthis page
- Spread: Blue Jays (-1.5)No won
- Twins vs. Blue Jays: O/U 8.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.