TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

College Football · resolved market

Washington State vs. Oregon State

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Oregon Stateof Washington State, Oregon State
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$328,632
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$327,376

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $328,632 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in College Football
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xed88…f3c4backed Washington State62c200,288$123,317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123,316.6112549.6%62 W · 63 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ed7…e617backed Oregon State38c43,300$16,467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,832.525440.7%22 W · 32 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Oregon State40c28,012$11,199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,812.7285947.7%410 W · 449 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked Oregon State38c26,000$9,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,12075651.9%392 W · 364 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Oregon State39c20,000$7,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,3008948.3%43 W · 46 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed Oregon State41c19,320$7,871 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,449.9527648.9%135 W · 141 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1496…a429backed Oregon State39c19,006$7,322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,684.1621055.2%116 W · 94 L+13.3wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1e3a…4033backed Washington State62c16,129$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,00019362.2%120 W · 73 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Oregon State38c14,814$5,703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,110.712,01349.6%999 W · 1,014 L+24.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Washington State58c14,160$8,278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,278.1368440.8%279 W · 405 L-10.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04b9…cdaabacked Oregon State38c13,700$5,206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,493.9915745.2%71 W · 86 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Oregon State38c12,868$4,890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,978.435957.6%34 W · 25 L+0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8a5…122bbacked Oregon State39c12,710$4,957 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,753.1366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick25cpaid+193.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc210…f0cabacked Washington State62c10,494$6,506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,5062147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d85…228ebacked Oregon State39c10,256$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,256.413145.2%14 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Oregon State38c10,000$3,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,20027246%125 W · 147 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Oregon State39c8,121$3,149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,972.2319051.6%98 W · 92 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Oregon State38c8,000$3,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,96052641.8%220 W · 306 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Oregon State39c6,000$2,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,66020450.5%103 W · 101 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2a3…c3a6backed Washington State61c5,708$3,482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,481.7611653.4%62 W · 54 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed Washington State62c5,005$3,103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,102.887342.5%31 W · 42 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd27c…c081backed Washington State69c3,085$2,122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,122.05540%2 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick66cpaid-45.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Washington State63c3,029$1,909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,908.5526147.9%125 W · 136 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Oregon State39c3,000$1,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,830.016947.8%33 W · 36 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Washington State40c2,746$1,097 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,097.3740541.2%167 W · 238 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe496…002fbacked Washington State63c2,652$1,671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,670.7620%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaf9b…2e9dbacked Oregon State37c2,646$979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,666.98742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21d8…ad91backed Washington State58c2,608$1,511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,511.228145.7%37 W · 44 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Oregon State38c2,280$866 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,413.7549443.7%216 W · 278 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a92…4a9ebacked Washington State63c2,188$1,378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,378.44771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick51cpaid+48.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa0a2…8cb7backed Washington State63c2,149$1,354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,353.87250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a1e…86d3backed Washington State62c2,065$1,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,280.310753.3%57 W · 50 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c51…af7ebacked Washington State55c1,810$992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$992.211844.1%52 W · 66 L-0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Oregon State48c1,774$846 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$927.8786243.7%377 W · 485 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c8…f2efbacked Washington State64c1,566$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Oregon State35c1,310$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851.7964841.2%267 W · 381 L+12.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f86…2729backed Oregon State37c1,289$477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$812.07250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+35.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcfca…68fcbacked Oregon State39c1,200$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73247131.4%148 W · 323 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc98c…ba11backed Oregon State37c1,191$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$750.33250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+35.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Washington State62c1,085$673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$672.717361.3%106 W · 67 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x56c2…17bfbacked Washington State63c1,000$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6301650%8 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3ab…482ebacked Washington State1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick16cpaid+24.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbcb9…4734backed Oregon State61c951$578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.934139%16 W · 25 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-33%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf13…110dbacked Oregon State37c836$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526.682100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.58per pick43cpaid+139.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Oregon State49c821.55$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.4526750.9%136 W · 131 L+21.7wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+1.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1747…bdf1backed Oregon State39c750$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.5650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+40.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Washington State46c726.55$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.0662843.6%274 W · 354 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Washington State61c715$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$438.641,09041.7%455 W · 635 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d1…4660backed Washington State24c655$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.28629.1%25 W · 61 L+15.2wins+0.18per pick11cpaid+361.6%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xce99…637ebacked Washington State64c625$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4003043.3%13 W · 17 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-17%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Oregon State38c600$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37213452.2%70 W · 64 L+6.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Oregon State39c600$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3664151.2%21 W · 20 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe8a…cfadbacked Oregon State55c580.59$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.824235.7%15 W · 27 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a7c…c52fbacked Oregon State37c527$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.012100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.58per pick43cpaid+139.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcbef…dffebacked Oregon State37c524$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.122100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.58per pick43cpaid+139.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Oregon State53c440$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20648546.8%227 W · 258 L-2.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc022…7f91backed Oregon State37c434$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.42250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+35.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc010…3d6ebacked Washington State63c427$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.01728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.25per pick53cpaid-43.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb26a…48dabacked Washington State55c360$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Washington State63c346$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.9134250.3%172 W · 170 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Washington State75c338$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.812955.2%16 W · 13 L-4.6wins-0.16per pick71cpaid-23%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Oregon State36c309.06$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.893548.4%453 W · 482 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Oregon State35c300$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.2557144.7%255 W · 316 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Oregon State37c299$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.3740244.8%180 W · 222 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3e9…ac60backed Washington State56c250$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick48cpaid+9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe012…d14bbacked Washington State34c250$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.15per pick27cpaid-81.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9249…4f16backed Oregon State39c245.9$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15010046%46 W · 54 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49b5…e5eebacked Washington State61c245.9$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+15.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0974…003dbacked Oregon State39c240$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.426846.3%124 W · 144 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f79…7ed4backed Oregon State38c200$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1247335.6%26 W · 47 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2c2…4de7backed Oregon State39c200$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12215734.4%54 W · 103 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Oregon State36c199.99$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12828032.9%92 W · 188 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x99c4…0c89backed Washington State53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004436.4%16 W · 28 L-0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9334…32dabacked Washington State64c187.5$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12018868.1%128 W · 60 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick69cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Washington State62c179.65$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.3850358.1%292 W · 211 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7879…4345backed Oregon State38c179$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.981560%9 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Washington State59c169.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10039847.7%190 W · 208 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x279b…e971backed Washington State62c161.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda82…5da2backed Washington State63c160$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.85251.9%27 W · 25 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb52d…95ffbacked Washington State64c156.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003961.5%24 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d28…932abacked Oregon State38c150$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9317634.7%61 W · 115 L+11.6wins+0.07per pick28cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xee76…e67abacked Washington State67c149.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick67cpaid-37.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa1e1…921ebacked Washington State67c149.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002470.8%17 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Oregon State38c145.21$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.0322030.5%67 W · 153 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+16.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x03f9…f78ebacked Oregon State51c135.94$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.94944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+50.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Washington State70c100$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7021538.6%83 W · 132 L-0.6wins0.00per pick39cpaid-16.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2994…ed6bbacked Washington State48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-32.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Oregon State40c99.99$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.9947331.5%149 W · 324 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b1f…6500backed Washington State54c92$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.689341.9%39 W · 54 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b9e…40a5backed Washington State77c85.71$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$665867.2%39 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Oregon State45c81.62$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.1126939.8%107 W · 162 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa072…9e34backed Washington State42c80$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.61414.3%2 W · 12 L-3.6wins-0.25per pick40cpaid-68.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xcf35…b327backed Washington State63c79.37$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505743.9%25 W · 32 L-4.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-19.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Oregon State43c63.97$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.4555350.3%278 W · 275 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe530…a2cabacked Washington State63c63.49$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409752.6%51 W · 46 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Washington State53c62$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.8630548.9%149 W · 156 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74bc…98c9backed Washington State49c60$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.410555.2%58 W · 47 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab3b…a825backed Washington State55c60$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.711070%77 W · 33 L+8.3wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+11.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Oregon State39c53$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.3381847.9%392 W · 426 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2359…f72bbacked Oregon State39c52.62$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.114055%77 W · 63 L-0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.