College Football · resolved market
Spread: Washington State (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc267cee53b0abac24f481db2ef5ffc6858543cdcda7fb849e4dd163295a77be8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oregon Stateof Washington State, Oregon State
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,736
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,736
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,736 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Washington State | 53c | 14,247$7,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,582.21 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9af…6371backed Washington State | 50c | 12,000$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Oregon State | 50c | 10,273$5,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,160.68 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Oregon State | 48c | 9,486$4,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,932.72 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Washington State | 52c | 7,456$3,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,878.59 | 342 | 50.3%172 W · 170 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Oregon State | 50c | 6,127$3,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,069.82 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Oregon State | 51c | 3,841$1,943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,897.12 | 276 | 48.9%135 W · 141 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23c6…e285backed Washington State | 51c | 3,749$1,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,911.99 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Oregon State | 49c | 3,270$1,602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,668.4 | 176 | 55.1%97 W · 79 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…2d63backed Oregon State | 49c | 2,613$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,332.63 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45ef…ee8abacked Oregon State | 50c | 1,838$919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18f9…d815backed Oregon State | 50c | 1,655$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$827.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f72…8fe7backed Oregon State | 49c | 1,516$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.16 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a92…4a9ebacked Washington State | 50c | 1,487$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed Oregon State | 47c | 1,019$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.06 | 95 | 40%38 W · 57 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31dd…a42bbacked Washington State | 51c | 1,011$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.61 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde91…f20abacked Oregon State | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Washington State | 52c | 869.62$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.2 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3447…9bffbacked Oregon State | 49c | 824$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.24 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc781…4388backed Washington State | 50c | 755$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +17%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x258e…d16cbacked Washington State | 52c | 625$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 174 | 50%87 W · 87 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb0…884cbacked Washington State | 50c | 547$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Oregon State | 51c | 543.23$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.95 | 756 | 51.9%392 W · 364 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7532…7463backed Washington State | 50c | 536$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Oregon State | 2c | 533$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.34 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb76…0985backed Oregon State | 49c | 312$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.12 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86ac…29cfbacked Washington State | 51c | 253$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.03 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c58…d703backed Washington State | 51c | 252$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.52 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Washington State | 53c | 250$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.5 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa177…6e84backed Washington State | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35b9…1d44backed Washington State | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a1d5backed Washington State | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Washington State | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 422 | 44.5%188 W · 234 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Oregon State | 52c | 193$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.64 | 293 | 51.9%152 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf1…c04bbacked Washington State | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…ad57backed Oregon State | 52c | 150$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9b…2e9dbacked Washington State | 50c | 106$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe832…7abbbacked Washington State | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc95c…cef3backed Washington State | 53c | 94.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.02 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc010…3d6ebacked Washington State | 50c | 62$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 53cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Oregon State | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 241 | 57.3%138 W · 103 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc95f…357fbacked Washington State | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c1…416abacked Washington State | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 100 | 59%59 W · 41 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Washington State (-3.5)this page
- O/U 47.5Under won
- Washington State vs. Oregon StateOregon State won
- Washington State vs. Oregon State: 1H MoneylineWashington State won
- Washington State vs. Oregon State: O/U 48.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.