TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

UFC · resolved market

Dulgarian vs. del Valle

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
del Valleof Dulgarian, del Valle
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$283,516
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$303,055

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $283,516 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in UFC
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5139…a8dbbacked del Valle31c143,208$44,954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98,253.598940.4%36 W · 53 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Dulgarian68c57,614$38,978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38,977.524040%16 W · 24 L-5.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-22.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2c57…c94dbacked Dulgarian69c55,000$37,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37,749.991457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Dulgarian69c40,000$27,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,6006850%34 W · 34 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01ba…b77abacked del Valle33c18,437$6,067 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,369.5622259.5%132 W · 90 L+15.1wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked del Valle37c18,418$6,895 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,523.4435253.1%187 W · 165 L+27.7wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+14.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Dulgarian68c17,111$11,618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,618.255244.2%23 W · 29 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-17.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x43a3…e3a5backed Dulgarian63c14,447$9,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,029.61742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-24.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Dulgarian56c11,574$6,466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,465.596841.2%28 W · 40 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x134a…9e42backed Dulgarian57c10,139$5,808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,808.257841%32 W · 46 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b5b…1480backed Dulgarian60c8,674$5,204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,20420%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc06a…f31fbacked del Valle43c7,611$3,258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,353.22100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+105.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed del Valle41c6,653$2,759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,893.3719544.6%87 W · 108 L-0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdecc…9d36backed del Valle37c5,410$2,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,408.316951.5%87 W · 82 L-0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Dulgarian58c5,000$2,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,899.9911746.2%54 W · 63 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Dulgarian58c4,980$2,888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,888.34245.2%19 W · 23 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf6c0…722ebacked Dulgarian63c4,870$3,068 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,068.37545.3%34 W · 41 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked del Valle44c4,615$2,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,584.1737152.8%196 W · 175 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Dulgarian68c3,815$2,593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,593.3928849.7%143 W · 145 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Dulgarian63c3,596$2,263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,263.1433253.3%177 W · 155 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed del Valle37c3,500$1,305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,194.993234.4%11 W · 21 L-4.9wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-25.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Dulgarian33c3,430$1,137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,136.9620139.8%80 W · 121 L-0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22ed…002bbacked Dulgarian59c2,490$1,469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4693943.6%17 W · 22 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6dd6…f5f4backed del Valle55c1,690$922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$768.4453956.6%305 W · 234 L-2.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Dulgarian68c1,500$1,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,01536745.8%168 W · 199 L-1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b15…9b08backed del Valle48c1,264$608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$656.2929151.9%151 W · 140 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked del Valle44c1,250$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70016247.5%77 W · 85 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76ed…fa48backed Dulgarian70c1,150$805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80511140.5%45 W · 66 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-12.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4768…34a7backed Dulgarian62c1,143$712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked del Valle35c1,060$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$688.81957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+28.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xeab2…2b11backed del Valle33c1,048$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$702.481442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed del Valle42c1,000$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$580.2521554.4%117 W · 98 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9def…d1a5backed Dulgarian59c1,000$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5908655.8%48 W · 38 L+6.7wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+16.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1dc8…4c1dbacked del Valle30c793.16$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55621044.8%94 W · 116 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Dulgarian37c700.22$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.614530.3%44 W · 101 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-38.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Dulgarian57c695$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.5930964.7%200 W · 109 L+24.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+16.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb0d7…f9fabacked Dulgarian66c666.77$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$438.8212262.3%76 W · 46 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9999…9868backed Dulgarian70c628.57$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4401758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+23.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x83ce…1778backed del Valle33c606.06$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.067233.3%24 W · 48 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1747…bdf1backed del Valle43c565.12$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.122100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick53cpaid+96.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3505…f7a3backed Dulgarian65c540$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3516756.7%38 W · 29 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f84…7650backed Dulgarian65c540$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3516155.7%34 W · 27 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9b7…60a4backed Dulgarian59c500$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29532545.2%147 W · 178 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Dulgarian67c500$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3377237.5%27 W · 45 L-5.5wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-23.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa9ce…691abacked Dulgarian63c500$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31517850%89 W · 89 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x156b…baa0backed Dulgarian63c475.26$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005244.2%23 W · 29 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Dulgarian56c474$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.447343.8%32 W · 41 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a54…f7f9backed del Valle33c454.55$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.552147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Dulgarian57c450$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.539959.6%238 W · 161 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed del Valle43c443.23$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.4319230.7%59 W · 133 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Dulgarian59c412.95$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.258840.9%36 W · 52 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd116…be32backed del Valle40c400$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2421872.2%13 W · 5 L+3.8wins+0.21per pick51cpaid+73.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Dulgarian9c350$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.518145.3%82 W · 99 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4889…e2d8backed Dulgarian62c322.58$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20035664.6%230 W · 126 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc64…fc2bbacked del Valle36c307.03$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.038752.9%46 W · 41 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-0.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ef6…8c16backed del Valle36c305.88$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.8811337.2%42 W · 71 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-21.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb71…10cdbacked del Valle45c303.98$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.1951533.6%173 W · 342 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73c0…0afebacked del Valle45c298.17$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.471100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+124.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x468f…c2a7backed Dulgarian68c294.12$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20014045.7%64 W · 76 L-0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Dulgarian57c287$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.5913953.2%74 W · 65 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x048f…8592backed Dulgarian60c250$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1102…af36backed del Valle35c249.99$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.748749.1%239 W · 248 L-8.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd614…1fa3backed Dulgarian9c240$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.637754.6%206 W · 171 L+19.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2140…6598backed del Valle43c232.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.5613450%67 W · 67 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc27b…43cbbacked del Valle31c225.81$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.81560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+41.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbbef…c32bbacked Dulgarian53c217.75$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.41933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-28%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0174…f66fbacked del Valle34c206.76$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.7610043%43 W · 57 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14c8…ce8bbacked del Valle44c200$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1123268.8%22 W · 10 L+3.1wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+15.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4574…ab3ebacked del Valle31c199.97$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.9828743.9%126 W · 161 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6098…599fbacked Dulgarian58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100825%2 W · 6 L-2.9wins-0.36per pick61cpaid-66.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x85da…13b9backed Dulgarian65c169.23$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1102437.5%9 W · 15 L-3.8wins-0.16per pick53cpaid-34.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x36bc…ec72backed del Valle30c166.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.6715848.1%76 W · 82 L+9.1wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Dulgarian63c158.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10035539.4%140 W · 215 L-19.1wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-15.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb90…1917backed Dulgarian59c150$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.511540.9%47 W · 68 L-10.2wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-16.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5960…d692backed del Valle30c150$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.75552.7%29 W · 26 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14cf…594ebacked del Valle37c135.14$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.14520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-45.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed del Valle45c130.01$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.536655.2%202 W · 164 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44c1…aa71backed del Valle38c110$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.26741.8%28 W · 39 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc02…958abacked del Valle43c110$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.93751.4%19 W · 18 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked del Valle30c100$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$702934.5%10 W · 19 L-3.8wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-20.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x05e1…6f5ebacked Dulgarian60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606334.9%22 W · 41 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-22.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Dulgarian64c91.11$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.2812446.8%58 W · 66 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x23cc…4f5abacked del Valle40c90$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5418141.4%75 W · 106 L+10.4wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xac1e…ea39backed del Valle34c88.24$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.2432431.8%103 W · 221 L-9.6wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Dulgarian70c75$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.55455.6%30 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f22…aaecbacked Dulgarian70c71.43$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501275%9 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+23.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa198…acc5backed Dulgarian67c71.15$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.56875%6 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+20%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe274…dc85backed Dulgarian66c70$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.12240.9%9 W · 13 L-3.6wins-0.16per pick57cpaid-33.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked del Valle18c64.61$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.314827%40 W · 108 L+0.3wins0.00per pick27cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dda…a6e1backed del Valle42c59.52$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.52250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+19%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc18…4dc9backed del Valle44c56.82$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.82450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+15%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed del Valle35c55.38$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3612052.5%63 W · 57 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2836…c511backed Dulgarian67c50.79$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.033154.8%17 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe063…8a04backed Dulgarian58c50.35$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.326036.7%22 W · 38 L+0.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce49…c3b9backed del Valle30c50$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.810750.5%54 W · 53 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea81…30b5backed del Valle46c47.93$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.9328333.2%94 W · 189 L+0.5wins0.00per pick33cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc757…f18cbacked del Valle43c46.51$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.513351.5%17 W · 16 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9380…a275backed del Valle43c46.51$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.51742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c45…47f1backed del Valle33c45.45$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.4519065.3%124 W · 66 L+9.7wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+6.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc31a…174ebacked del Valle45c44.44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.449744.3%43 W · 54 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-0.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.