UFC · resolved market
Wells vs. Gorimbo
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8c7ee877cfbb746ea6d9d3bfb999669ccb2a48a5b0b80541ec0e1f65a38b8cb4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wellsof Wells, Gorimbo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $199,473
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $203,940
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $199,473 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Gorimbo | 58c | 70,705$41,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,175.62 | 352 | 53.1%187 W · 165 L | +27.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Wells | 42c | 61,043$25,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,667.22 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…9b08backed Wells | 46c | 20,542$9,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,994.38 | 291 | 51.9%151 W · 140 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c57…c94dbacked Gorimbo | 55c | 20,000$11,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,000 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01ba…b77abacked Wells | 42c | 20,000$8,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,599.97 | 222 | 59.5%132 W · 90 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x985f…4d62backed Wells | 13c | 10,750$1,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,352.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.87per pick | 13cpaid | +669.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Gorimbo | 52c | 10,151$5,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,258.79 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Gorimbo | 58c | 10,000$5,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,800 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Wells | 42c | 4,417$1,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,547.21 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Wells | 42c | 4,150$1,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,397.02 | 539 | 56.6%305 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb167…b2f9backed Wells | 79c | 3,436$2,706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.36 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab74…834dbacked Gorimbo | 58c | 3,293$1,919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,918.81 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed Gorimbo | 58c | 3,000$1,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,740 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Wells | 32c | 2,674$853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,821.49 | 105 | 22.9%24 W · 81 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Wells | 43c | 2,500$1,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,425 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05e1…6f5ebacked Wells | 43c | 2,169$929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,239.73 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Gorimbo | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160 | 162 | 47.5%77 W · 85 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8b…b1c8backed Wells | 40c | 1,948$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.58 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Gorimbo | 57c | 1,627$928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$927.56 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | +14.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Wells | 41c | 1,520$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896.8 | 195 | 44.6%87 W · 108 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Gorimbo | 51c | 1,488$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754.48 | 309 | 64.7%200 W · 109 L | +24.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Wells | 34c | 1,425$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$938.22 | 201 | 39.8%80 W · 121 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…f4efbacked Gorimbo | 58c | 1,300$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76ed…fa48backed Wells | 43c | 1,250$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.5 | 111 | 40.5%45 W · 66 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ce…691abacked Gorimbo | 57c | 1,228$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.26 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14cf…594ebacked Gorimbo | 21c | 1,178$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Wells | 37c | 1,060$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.37 | 181 | 45.3%82 W · 99 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf17a…8abebacked Gorimbo | 57c | 1,036$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.44 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Gorimbo | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Wells | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 81 | 40.7%33 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1388…339abacked Wells | 43c | 999.97$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.99 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xac0d…b006backed Wells | 58c | 999.67$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.17 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a54…f7f9backed Wells | 46c | 921.47$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.47 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Gorimbo | 37c | 885$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.01 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Wells | 42c | 860.05$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.78 | 180 | 38.9%70 W · 110 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0434…a98cbacked Gorimbo | 63c | 798.15$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.28 | 264 | 51.9%137 W · 127 L | +23.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Gorimbo | 58c | 750$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438 | 325 | 45.2%147 W · 178 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd27c…c081backed Gorimbo | 56c | 641.02$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.5 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -7.1wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xbbef…c32bbacked Gorimbo | 65c | 534.83$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.1 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -28%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…6598backed Gorimbo | 47c | 507.49$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.05 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Wells | 42c | 500$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Wells | 43c | 500$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 399 | 59.6%238 W · 161 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Gorimbo | 9c | 477.87$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.12 | 377 | 54.6%206 W · 171 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x412a…802cbacked Gorimbo | 57c | 459.22$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.75 | 168 | 51.8%87 W · 81 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Gorimbo | 53c | 453.91$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.68 | 109 | 28.4%31 W · 78 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Gorimbo | 58c | 426.74$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.51 | 366 | 55.2%202 W · 164 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14c8…ce8bbacked Gorimbo | 52c | 366.64$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ae1…fed4backed Gorimbo | 57c | 349.31$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf960…fcbfbacked Wells | 60c | 347.75$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.06 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x504f…3ddcbacked Gorimbo | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f16…5546backed Wells | 45c | 333.33$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.33 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ab…341bbacked Gorimbo | 68c | 322.08$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -3.4wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff5…f136backed Wells | 63c | 315.34$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.35 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02f0…57b6backed Wells | 43c | 301.88$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.07 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…e2d8backed Gorimbo | 58c | 301.72$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 356 | 64.6%230 W · 126 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41e0…a8e0backed Gorimbo | 55c | 299.98$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.99 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Wells | 43c | 286.05$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.05 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | -7.6wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Gorimbo | 59c | 278.78$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.48 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae0…cf6abacked Wells | 51c | 262.76$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.81 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0441…e90fbacked Wells | 42c | 260.47$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.03 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Gorimbo | 58c | 250$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 367 | 45.8%168 W · 199 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Wells | 44c | 234.83$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.3 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Wells | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 515 | 33.6%173 W · 342 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…e7b3backed Gorimbo | 57c | 219.22$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df1…e7a9backed Gorimbo | 57c | 214.49$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.26 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.5wins | -0.27per pick | 50cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked Wells | 43c | 191.6$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.46 | 122 | 62.3%76 W · 46 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb37f…6d0ebacked Wells | 27c | 184.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.5 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Gorimbo | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 355 | 39.4%140 W · 215 L | -19.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb61d…74d2backed Gorimbo | 56c | 157$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.15 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a2…9b3fbacked Gorimbo | 77c | 144.76$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.2 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -6.7wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x408b…f0ebbacked Gorimbo | 58c | 129.31$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0174…f66fbacked Gorimbo | 58c | 120.69$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…010dbacked Wells | 43c | 120$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.4 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x929c…8cb6backed Gorimbo | 56c | 119.97$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.19 | 111 | 52.3%58 W · 53 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1e…e465backed Gorimbo | 63c | 119.52$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.7 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | -9.8wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc31a…174ebacked Wells | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf96c…40e1backed Gorimbo | 57c | 115.33$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.74 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x211a…9613backed Gorimbo | 58c | 103.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44c1…aa71backed Gorimbo | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x465b…41c3backed Gorimbo | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed Gorimbo | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.4 | 487 | 49.1%239 W · 248 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Wells | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 88 | 40.9%36 W · 52 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58ca…0672backed Gorimbo | 52c | 99.61$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.7 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e834backed Gorimbo | 67c | 96.33$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.26 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef6…8c16backed Wells | 52c | 90.72$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.32 | 113 | 37.2%42 W · 71 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Gorimbo | 57c | 90$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.3 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e50…7a6bbacked Wells | 38c | 86.29$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.15 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a8…0cecbacked Gorimbo | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Wells | 45c | 85.36$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 564 | 50.5%285 W · 279 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36bc…ec72backed Gorimbo | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 158 | 48.1%76 W · 82 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…4f5abacked Gorimbo | 23c | 84.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 181 | 41.4%75 W · 106 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a56…695bbacked Wells | 35c | 83.33$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.16 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd263…54a7backed Gorimbo | 54c | 82.67$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.66 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1337…2b45backed Gorimbo | 54c | 82$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.87 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -4.2wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed Wells | 32c | 80$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.14 | 101 | 48.5%49 W · 52 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +20%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38eb…a211backed Wells | 43c | 67.63$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.55 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc77f…9542backed Gorimbo | 58c | 66.14$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd02c…769fbacked Wells | 35c | 57.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.74 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbc…5196backed Gorimbo | 64c | 51.4$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.68 | 79 | 40.5%32 W · 47 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe15f…93d7backed Wells | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wells vs. Gorimbothis page
- Ardelean vs. Conejo RuizArdelean won
- Carnelossi vs. AlencarAlencar won
- Cuamba vs. LeeCuamba won
- Delija vs. Cortes-AcostaCortes-Acosta won
- Dulgarian vs. del Valledel Valle won
- Dumas vs. JohnsonJohnson won
- Elekana vs. ChristianElekana won
- Garcia vs. OnamaGarcia won
- Radtke vs. FrunzaRadtke won
- Rowe vs. KoKo won
- Vieira vs. DumontDumont won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.