UFC · resolved market
Cuamba vs. Lee
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7c208b6b9620d7f0f4fd7c98cc5efe26f1fc2293760abba88f6050c9fc568d3d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cuambaof Cuamba, Lee
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $171,807
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $199,946
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $171,807 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Lee | 51c | 97,880$49,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,938.03 | 352 | 53.1%187 W · 165 L | +27.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…9b08backed Cuamba | 53c | 51,912$27,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,418.59 | 291 | 51.9%151 W · 140 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Cuamba | 49c | 30,343$14,868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,474.93 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Cuamba | 49c | 20,095$9,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,248.39 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Cuamba | 49c | 6,790$3,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,462.9 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…6c45backed Lee | 31c | 6,689$2,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,073.45 | 280 | 43.2%121 W · 159 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Cuamba | 48c | 4,623$2,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,383.68 | 288 | 49.7%143 W · 145 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0441…e90fbacked Cuamba | 69c | 4,123$2,828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,294.91 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdecc…9d36backed Lee | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 169 | 51.5%87 W · 82 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Lee | 32c | 3,863$1,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,236.16 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3d…7422backed Lee | 52c | 3,270$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700.4 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 58cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2876…c4b2backed Lee | 31c | 3,000$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.9 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae5…53c8backed Cuamba | 48c | 2,905$1,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500.75 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Lee | 51c | 2,111$1,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,076.64 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | +14.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8b…b1c8backed Cuamba | 71c | 2,000$1,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Cuamba | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.99 | 81 | 40.7%33 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Lee | 29c | 1,939$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.23 | 105 | 22.9%24 W · 81 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Lee | 47c | 1,597$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.65 | 181 | 45.3%82 W · 99 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Cuamba | 48c | 1,400$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.91 | 109 | 28.4%31 W · 78 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Cuamba | 75c | 1,363$1,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.64 | 539 | 56.6%305 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43a3…e3a5backed Cuamba | 48c | 1,270$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.63 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9542…4295backed Lee | 51c | 1,200$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Cuamba | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 210 | 44.8%94 W · 116 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ce…691abacked Lee | 50c | 1,000$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76ed…fa48backed Cuamba | 49c | 900$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459 | 111 | 40.5%45 W · 66 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Cuamba | 51c | 864.98$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.84 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6006…cae5backed Lee | 50c | 798.48$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.26 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 40cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…6598backed Lee | 52c | 784.62$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0434…a98cbacked Cuamba | 50c | 757.17$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.15 | 264 | 51.9%137 W · 127 L | +23.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Cuamba | 48c | 600$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked Cuamba | 50c | 582.3$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.95 | 122 | 62.3%76 W · 46 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…e2d8backed Lee | 52c | 519.23$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 356 | 64.6%230 W · 126 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Lee | 8c | 508.75$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 309 | 64.7%200 W · 109 L | +24.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa576…89a4backed Cuamba | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Lee | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…91e4backed Cuamba | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Cuamba | 48c | 499.97$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.98 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Cuamba | 49c | 487.99$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.88 | 185 | 60%111 W · 74 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…e7b3backed Cuamba | 49c | 473.1$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.1 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Cuamba | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 399 | 59.6%238 W · 161 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb6…ec83backed Cuamba | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 223 | 42.2%94 W · 129 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Cuamba | 48c | 398.78$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.36 | 195 | 44.6%87 W · 108 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…1778backed Lee | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 72 | 33.3%24 W · 48 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26f3…a4e4backed Lee | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Lee | 50c | 328.5$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.25 | 300 | 39.3%118 W · 182 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…7650backed Lee | 64c | 285.21$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.58 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf826…cd1abacked Lee | 51c | 282.24$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.03 | 77 | 37.7%29 W · 48 L | -7.4wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Lee | 50c | 250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44c1…aa71backed Lee | 43c | 239.96$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.38 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Lee | 32c | 227.91$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.48 | 192 | 30.7%59 W · 133 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Cuamba | 49c | 219.34$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.96 | 564 | 50.5%285 W · 279 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…ab3ebacked Lee | 51c | 200$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 287 | 43.9%126 W · 161 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x465b…41c3backed Lee | 53c | 200$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x211a…9613backed Lee | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba6…af21backed Lee | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3505…f7a3backed Lee | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x196b…0235backed Lee | 52c | 190.38$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6643…0109backed Cuamba | 48c | 176.35$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.7 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Cuamba | 49c | 170.45$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.31 | 180 | 38.9%70 W · 110 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06b3…26ffbacked Lee | 50c | 161$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce49…c3b9backed Lee | 45c | 150$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eec…6d82backed Cuamba | 58c | 139.74$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.74 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd02c…769fbacked Lee | 15c | 138.46$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Cuamba | 49c | 135.82$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.22 | 124 | 46.8%58 W · 66 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Cuamba | 49c | 133.85$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.26 | 134 | 37.3%50 W · 84 L | -10.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Cuamba | 46c | 128.36$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.31 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc16…f420backed Cuamba | 52c | 121.93$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.53 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd116…be32backed Cuamba | 50c | 120.5$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.25 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +3.8wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +73.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0174…f66fbacked Lee | 49c | 120.41$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x929c…8cb6backed Lee | 52c | 120$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 111 | 52.3%58 W · 53 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac1e…ea39backed Lee | 51c | 107.84$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 324 | 31.8%103 W · 221 L | -9.6wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Lee | 52c | 105.77$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Cuamba | 48c | 105$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.6 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c50…7403backed Lee | 47c | 102.19$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.03 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Cuamba | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Lee | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Cuamba | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 366 | 55.2%202 W · 164 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f8…0ff2backed Lee | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf8…7f09backed Lee | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 140 | 52.1%73 W · 67 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2337…2b5fbacked Lee | 52c | 99.76$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea0…41aebacked Lee | 52c | 97.31$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Lee | 52c | 93.96$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.86 | 515 | 33.6%173 W · 342 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaade…64eabacked Lee | 52c | 89.67$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.63 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Lee | 45c | 86.67$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 169 | 55.6%94 W · 75 L | +23.8wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb37f…6d0ebacked Lee | 31c | 80.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…010dbacked Cuamba | 49c | 80$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14c8…ce8bbacked Lee | 40c | 77.36$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…3c72backed Cuamba | 49c | 74.98$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.24 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed Cuamba | 40c | 74.7$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.82 | 158 | 39.2%62 W · 96 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe239…14eabacked Lee | 29c | 74.62$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.64 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd263…54a7backed Cuamba | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Cuamba | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 186 | 44.1%82 W · 104 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e87…6e9dbacked Cuamba | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a2…9b3fbacked Cuamba | 62c | 60.92$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.96 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -6.7wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x85d3…0698backed Cuamba | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Lee | 51c | 54.9$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 166 | 55.4%92 W · 74 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85da…13b9backed Lee | 46c | 54.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -3.8wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x82a0…4a12backed Lee | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Lee | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 167 | 36.5%61 W · 106 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd7…b5a9backed Lee | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cuamba vs. Leethis page
- Ardelean vs. Conejo RuizArdelean won
- Carnelossi vs. AlencarAlencar won
- Delija vs. Cortes-AcostaCortes-Acosta won
- Dulgarian vs. del Valledel Valle won
- Dumas vs. JohnsonJohnson won
- Elekana vs. ChristianElekana won
- Garcia vs. OnamaGarcia won
- Radtke vs. FrunzaRadtke won
- Rowe vs. KoKo won
- Vieira vs. DumontDumont won
- Wells vs. GorimboWells won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.