TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

UFC · resolved market

Cuamba vs. Lee

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Cuambaof Cuamba, Lee
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$171,807
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$199,946

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $171,807 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in UFC
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xafba…e61bbacked Lee51c97,880$49,938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49,938.0335253.1%187 W · 165 L+27.7wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+14.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2b15…9b08backed Cuamba53c51,912$27,493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,418.5929151.9%151 W · 140 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Cuamba49c30,343$14,868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,474.938940.4%36 W · 53 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Cuamba49c20,095$9,846 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,248.396841.2%28 W · 40 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Cuamba49c6,790$3,327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,462.93259.4%19 W · 13 L+3.4wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+23.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x477f…6c45backed Lee31c6,689$2,073 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,073.4528043.2%121 W · 159 L+10.6wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Cuamba48c4,623$2,239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,383.6828849.7%143 W · 145 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0441…e90fbacked Cuamba69c4,123$2,828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,294.911747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdecc…9d36backed Lee51c4,000$2,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,04016951.5%87 W · 82 L-0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Lee32c3,863$1,236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,236.165451.9%28 W · 26 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b3d…7422backed Lee52c3,270$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,700.41136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.22per pick58cpaid-38.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2876…c4b2backed Lee31c3,000$930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$929.91838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ae5…53c8backed Cuamba48c2,905$1,404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,500.755253.8%28 W · 24 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+23.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbad…9c95backed Lee51c2,111$1,077 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,076.6419154.5%104 W · 87 L+14.9wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+13%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7a8b…b1c8backed Cuamba71c2,000$1,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58013650%68 W · 68 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed Cuamba48c2,000$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,039.998140.7%33 W · 48 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Lee29c1,939$562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562.2310522.9%24 W · 81 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Lee47c1,597$753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752.6518145.3%82 W · 99 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x30ef…70dfbacked Cuamba48c1,400$672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$727.9110928.4%31 W · 78 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6dd6…f5f4backed Cuamba75c1,363$1,021 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.6453956.6%305 W · 234 L-2.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43a3…e3a5backed Cuamba48c1,270$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$660.63742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-24.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9542…4295backed Lee51c1,200$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$612560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+15.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Cuamba49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51021044.8%94 W · 116 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9ce…691abacked Lee50c1,000$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49517850%89 W · 89 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x76ed…fa48backed Cuamba49c900$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45911140.5%45 W · 66 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-12.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Cuamba51c864.98$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.841631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-36.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6006…cae5backed Lee50c798.48$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.26616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick40cpaid-49.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2140…6598backed Lee52c784.62$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40813450%67 W · 67 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0434…a98cbacked Cuamba50c757.17$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.1526451.9%137 W · 127 L+23.0wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+13.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Cuamba48c600$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3121258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+18.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0d7…f9fabacked Cuamba50c582.3$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.9512262.3%76 W · 46 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4889…e2d8backed Lee52c519.23$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27035664.6%230 W · 126 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Lee8c508.75$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.530964.7%200 W · 109 L+24.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+16.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa576…89a4backed Cuamba49c500$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-32.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked Lee52c500$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26010651.9%55 W · 51 L+7.1wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+17.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc3c3…91e4backed Cuamba51c500$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-39.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4cb9…3783backed Cuamba48c499.97$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.982630.8%8 W · 18 L-3.3wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-32.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Cuamba49c487.99$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.8818560%111 W · 74 L+0.9wins0.00per pick60cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe216…e7b3backed Cuamba49c473.1$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.13855.3%21 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Cuamba50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20039959.6%238 W · 161 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6cb6…ec83backed Cuamba50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20022342.2%94 W · 129 L-9.1wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Cuamba48c398.78$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.3619544.6%87 W · 108 L-0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83ce…1778backed Lee52c384.62$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007233.3%24 W · 48 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26f3…a4e4backed Lee52c384.62$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+30.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Lee50c328.5$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.2530039.3%118 W · 182 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f84…7650backed Lee64c285.21$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.586155.7%34 W · 27 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf826…cd1abacked Lee51c282.24$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.037737.7%29 W · 48 L-7.4wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-29.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe154…0b7fbacked Lee50c250$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-71.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x44c1…aa71backed Lee43c239.96$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.386741.8%28 W · 39 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Lee32c227.91$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.4819230.7%59 W · 133 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Cuamba49c219.34$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.9656450.5%285 W · 279 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4574…ab3ebacked Lee51c200$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10128743.9%126 W · 161 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x465b…41c3backed Lee53c200$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1056944.9%31 W · 38 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x211a…9613backed Lee52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1048939.3%35 W · 54 L-6.8wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-12.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0ba6…af21backed Lee51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-33.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3505…f7a3backed Lee52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006756.7%38 W · 29 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x196b…0235backed Lee52c190.38$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6643…0109backed Cuamba48c176.35$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.712147.1%57 W · 64 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Cuamba49c170.45$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.3118038.9%70 W · 110 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06b3…26ffbacked Lee50c161$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.25540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce49…c3b9backed Lee45c150$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6710750.5%54 W · 53 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6eec…6d82backed Cuamba58c139.74$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.743756.8%21 W · 16 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd02c…769fbacked Lee15c138.46$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212343.5%10 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-17.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Cuamba49c135.82$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.2212446.8%58 W · 66 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x85c2…9730backed Cuamba49c133.85$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.2613437.3%50 W · 84 L-10.2wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-18.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Cuamba46c128.36$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.3121247.2%100 W · 112 L+10.1wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc16…f420backed Cuamba52c121.93$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.532100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+73.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd116…be32backed Cuamba50c120.5$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.251872.2%13 W · 5 L+3.8wins+0.21per pick51cpaid+73.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0174…f66fbacked Lee49c120.41$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5910043%43 W · 57 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x929c…8cb6backed Lee52c120$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.411152.3%58 W · 53 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac1e…ea39backed Lee51c107.84$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5532431.8%103 W · 221 L-9.6wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e5b…590dbacked Lee52c105.77$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$554746.8%22 W · 25 L-4.0wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-16.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Cuamba48c105$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.65455.6%30 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c50…7403backed Lee47c102.19$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.031838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Cuamba48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527237.5%27 W · 45 L-5.5wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-23.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb580…9b95backed Lee49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493148.4%15 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Cuamba49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5136655.2%202 W · 164 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84f8…0ff2backed Lee52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527448.6%36 W · 38 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cf8…7f09backed Lee46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4614052.1%73 W · 67 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2337…2b5fbacked Lee52c99.76$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.88333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-38.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ea0…41aebacked Lee52c97.31$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.61741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb71…10cdbacked Lee52c93.96$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.8651533.6%173 W · 342 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaade…64eabacked Lee52c89.67$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.634139%16 W · 25 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Lee45c86.67$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3916955.6%94 W · 75 L+23.8wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+59.8%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xb37f…6d0ebacked Lee31c80.65$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x10cf…010dbacked Cuamba49c80$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.84344.2%19 W · 24 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x14c8…ce8bbacked Lee40c77.36$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313268.8%22 W · 10 L+3.1wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+15.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x860d…3c72backed Cuamba49c74.98$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.242259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+22.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x312d…6814backed Cuamba40c74.7$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.8215839.2%62 W · 96 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-17.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe239…14eabacked Lee29c74.62$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.644151.2%21 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd263…54a7backed Cuamba70c71.43$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.433946.2%18 W · 21 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84d9…76dbbacked Cuamba49c61.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.2218644.1%82 W · 104 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e87…6e9dbacked Cuamba49c61.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.22560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+0.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc9a2…9b3fbacked Cuamba62c60.92$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.963735.1%13 W · 24 L-6.7wins-0.18per pick53cpaid-26.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x85d3…0698backed Cuamba50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305644.6%25 W · 31 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc5b…f102backed Lee51c54.9$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2816655.4%92 W · 74 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85da…13b9backed Lee46c54.59$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252437.5%9 W · 15 L-3.8wins-0.16per pick53cpaid-34.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x82a0…4a12backed Lee52c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5cfe…ed69backed Lee52c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2616736.5%61 W · 106 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8bd7…b5a9backed Lee51c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.