UFC · resolved market

Vieira vs. Dumont

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x982d64b95e70960ab8027e806bf6507eef1a26cc6f33ad37e985e6d72ba290da

Rebuilt 2 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Dumontof Vieira, Dumont
Resolved: Nov 1, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $850,590
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $880,658

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $850,590 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in UFC
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xcfaa…2813backed Vieira	42c	742,696$313,419 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$313,419.05	30	36.7%11 W · 19 L	-3.8wins	-0.13per pick	49cpaid	-34.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdbad…9c95backed Dumont	57c	217,855$124,856 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92,999.02	191	54.5%104 W · 87 L	+14.9wins	+0.08per pick	47cpaid	+13%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Dumont	58c	141,130$82,160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58,969.81	352	53.1%187 W · 165 L	+27.7wins	+0.08per pick	45cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Dumont	55c	119,075$65,137 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53,938.07	37	51.4%19 W · 18 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa987…141dbacked Dumont	58c	96,200$55,796 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40,404	19	68.4%13 W · 6 L	+3.2wins	+0.17per pick	51cpaid	+30.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x01ba…b77abacked Dumont	58c	48,892$28,358 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20,534.8	222	59.5%132 W · 90 L	+15.1wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Dumont	49c	43,050$21,300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21,749.63	68	41.2%28 W · 40 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Dumont	58c	32,000$18,460 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,540	32	59.4%19 W · 13 L	+3.4wins	+0.11per pick	49cpaid	+23.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Dumont	58c	15,038$8,772 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,265.58	42	45.2%19 W · 23 L	-2.8wins	-0.07per pick	52cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Dumont	57c	11,111$6,333 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,777.73	25	40%10 W · 15 L	-3.0wins	-0.12per pick	52cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x43a3…e3a5backed Dumont	58c	8,000$4,640 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,360	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb167…b2f9backed Vieira	61c	8,000$4,920 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,919.99	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	-1.4wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb0d7…f9fabacked Dumont	58c	7,592$4,414 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,178.09	122	62.3%76 W · 46 L	+3.4wins	+0.03per pick	60cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Dumont	5c	7,074$359 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,715.5	105	22.9%24 W · 81 L	-4.0wins	-0.04per pick	27cpaid	-16%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Dumont	60c	4,999$2,989 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,009.61	288	49.7%143 W · 145 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Vieira	40c	4,063$1,619 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,618.56	52	44.2%23 W · 29 L	-2.3wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad6a…9dbdbacked Dumont	58c	4,010$2,326 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,684.34	49	46.9%23 W · 26 L	+2.8wins	+0.06per pick	41cpaid	+14.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Dumont	57c	3,722$2,131 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,590.19	332	53.3%177 W · 155 L	+6.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x477f…6c45backed Dumont	67c	3,517$2,350 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,167.42	280	43.2%121 W · 159 L	+10.6wins	+0.04per pick	39cpaid	+7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0b4…fed6backed Vieira	39c	2,960$1,154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,154.21	14	71.4%10 W · 4 L	+2.2wins	+0.16per pick	56cpaid	+19.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Dumont	59c	2,000$1,171 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$829	367	45.8%168 W · 199 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x06e8…4675backed Vieira	39c	1,992$772 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$772.05	88	35.2%31 W · 57 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9def…d1a5backed Dumont	59c	1,665$987 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$677.75	86	55.8%48 W · 38 L	+6.7wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+16.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6dd6…f5f4backed Dumont	57c	1,547$880 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$667.23	539	56.6%305 W · 234 L	-2.1wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Dumont	59c	1,528$902 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$626.48	54	51.9%28 W · 26 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x22ed…002bbacked Dumont	58c	1,434$832 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$602.48	39	43.6%17 W · 22 L	-1.6wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Dumont	30c	1,317$394 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$922.78	212	47.2%100 W · 112 L	+10.1wins	+0.05per pick	42cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Dumont	57c	1,300$744 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$556	309	64.7%200 W · 109 L	+24.5wins	+0.08per pick	57cpaid	+16.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9542…4295backed Dumont	59c	1,200$708 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$492	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.11per pick	49cpaid	+15.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Dumont	60c	1,177$706 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$470.8	185	60%111 W · 74 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	60cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4bee…ca01backed Vieira	22c	1,038$227 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$226.58	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-1.3wins	-0.09per pick	52cpaid	-31.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Dumont	59c	1,000$590 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$410	171	58.5%100 W · 71 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	59cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76ed…fa48backed Dumont	58c	1,000$580 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$420	111	40.5%45 W · 66 L	-5.6wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9ce…691abacked Dumont	62c	1,000$620 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$380	178	50%89 W · 89 L	+3.9wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Dumont	58c	800$467 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$333	72	37.5%27 W · 45 L	-5.5wins	-0.08per pick	45cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed Vieira	40c	750$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	+2.2wins	+0.11per pick	37cpaid	+50%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d52…834ebacked Dumont	58c	700$406 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$294	92	28.3%26 W · 66 L	-7.5wins	-0.08per pick	36cpaid	-31.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0174…f66fbacked Dumont	14c	650.78$89 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$561.78	100	43%43 W · 57 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Dumont	58c	600$348 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$252	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+1.0wins	+0.09per pick	50cpaid	+18.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed Dumont	58c	580$336 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$243.6	12	50%6 W · 6 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57c3…3201backed Dumont	61c	574.7$351 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$224.13	14	85.7%12 W · 2 L	+3.8wins	+0.27per pick	59cpaid	+53.7%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Dumont	58c	563.99$327 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$236.88	139	53.2%74 W · 65 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked Dumont	60c	518.74$309 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$210	106	51.9%55 W · 51 L	+7.1wins	+0.07per pick	45cpaid	+17.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4889…e2d8backed Dumont	58c	517.24$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$217.24	356	64.6%230 W · 126 L	+9.3wins	+0.03per pick	62cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x12ac…7f5abacked Dumont	58c	509.86$296 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$214.14	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+1.5wins	+0.30per pick	50cpaid	+56.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x504f…3ddcbacked Dumont	59c	423.73$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$173.73	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2140…6598backed Dumont	59c	403.39$238 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$165.39	134	50%67 W · 67 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Dumont	61c	400$242 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$158	366	55.2%202 W · 164 L	-6.8wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c03…604ebacked Dumont	39c	389.99$151 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$238.89	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	+0.8wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6cb6…ec83backed Vieira	68c	386.06$261 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$260.99	223	42.2%94 W · 129 L	-9.1wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd43e…b2c0backed Dumont	59c	338.98$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$138.98	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.18per pick	68cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ae1…fed4backed Dumont	58c	336.21$195 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$141.21	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6643…0109backed Vieira	41c	316.51$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.77	121	47.1%57 W · 64 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14c8…ce8bbacked Dumont	30c	300$89 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$211	32	68.8%22 W · 10 L	+3.1wins	+0.10per pick	59cpaid	+15.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xae43…8194backed Dumont	59c	300$177 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$123	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-2.4wins	-0.15per pick	53cpaid	-45.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc5ab…341bbacked Dumont	50c	280.6$140 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$140.6	24	41.7%10 W · 14 L	-3.4wins	-0.14per pick	56cpaid	-32.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x85c2…9730backed Dumont	11c	257.06$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$229.06	134	37.3%50 W · 84 L	-10.2wins	-0.08per pick	45cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe154…0b7fbacked Dumont	59c	250$148 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102.5	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.08per pick	24cpaid	-71.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa576…89a4backed Vieira	42c	250$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.09per pick	42cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe827…5209backed Dumont	59c	250$148 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102.5	23	34.8%8 W · 15 L	-1.1wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb71…10cdbacked Vieira	42c	238.36$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.11	515	33.6%173 W · 342 L	-7.2wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ef6…8c16backed Vieira	44c	225.25$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	113	37.2%42 W · 71 L	-7.0wins	-0.06per pick	43cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0434…a98cbacked Vieira	65c	220$143 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$143	264	51.9%137 W · 127 L	+23.0wins	+0.09per pick	43cpaid	+13.7%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Dumont	59c	200$119 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.2	399	59.6%238 W · 161 L	+6.1wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d4e…18debacked Dumont	40c	200$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$121	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.61per pick	40cpaid	+153.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b9c…900fbacked Dumont	60c	200$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80	78	30.8%24 W · 54 L	-9.1wins	-0.12per pick	42cpaid	-36.1%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xcc8b…8923backed Vieira	42c	194$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.48	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.42per pick	42cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Dumont	58c	180$104 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.6	371	52.8%196 W · 175 L	+6.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e5b…590dbacked Dumont	59c	169.49$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.49	47	46.8%22 W · 25 L	-4.0wins	-0.09per pick	55cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x10cf…010dbacked Vieira	42c	160$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.6	43	44.2%19 W · 24 L	+1.7wins	+0.04per pick	40cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x35cc…88c1backed Dumont	63c	157.06$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.11	17	76.5%13 W · 4 L	+2.7wins	+0.16per pick	60cpaid	+29.6%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Dumont	58c	150$87 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63	564	50.5%285 W · 279 L	+6.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cfe…ed69backed Vieira	38c	143.13$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.96	167	36.5%61 W · 106 L	-7.1wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6098…599fbacked Vieira	71c	140.85$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-2.9wins	-0.36per pick	61cpaid	-66.9%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1102…af36backed Dumont	56c	139.99$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.6	487	49.1%239 W · 248 L	-8.3wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e87…6e9dbacked Vieira	72c	138.89$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	57cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xf53b…4340backed Dumont	59c	135.62$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.62	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-18%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ea0…41aebacked Dumont	56c	124.75$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.75	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	-1.3wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x44c1…aa71backed Vieira	41c	120$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.2	67	41.8%28 W · 39 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Vieira	41c	115.91$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.92	192	30.7%59 W · 133 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3149…9762backed Dumont	59c	101.69$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.69	44	50%22 W · 22 L	-3.4wins	-0.08per pick	58cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x66fe…e123backed Dumont	59c	100$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc286…d936backed Dumont	62c	100$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.1wins	+0.53per pick	47cpaid	+141.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Dumont	58c	90$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.8	54	55.6%30 W · 24 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	-1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce49…c3b9backed Dumont	59c	80$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.9	107	50.5%54 W · 53 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cf8…7f09backed Dumont	46c	80$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43	140	52.1%73 W · 67 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe8a…cfadbacked Dumont	52c	75.09$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.68	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…e834backed Dumont	44c	67$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.42	81	43.2%35 W · 46 L	-3.6wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x85da…13b9backed Dumont	48c	60.47$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.67	24	37.5%9 W · 15 L	-3.8wins	-0.16per pick	53cpaid	-34.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc9a2…9b3fbacked Vieira	71c	51.33$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.56	37	35.1%13 W · 24 L	-6.7wins	-0.18per pick	53cpaid	-26.4%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x934f…5bd8backed Dumont	60c	50$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	101	48.5%49 W · 52 L	+3.7wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+20%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd9f…c1a4backed Vieira	41c	48.78$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.38per pick	38cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc5b…f102backed Dumont	61c	45.9$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.9	166	55.4%92 W · 74 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbda7…3e66backed Dumont	36c	40$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.7	73	50.7%37 W · 36 L	+3.8wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9840…8b6dbacked Dumont	61c	39.99$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.6	72	58.3%42 W · 30 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	58cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c45…47f1backed Vieira	39c	38.72$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	190	65.3%124 W · 66 L	+9.7wins	+0.05per pick	60cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0f02…c7dfbacked Vieira	39c	38.46$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-0.9wins	-0.11per pick	36cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x86e6…f634backed Vieira	55c	36.67$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	95	47.4%45 W · 50 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9380…a275backed Vieira	57c	34.92$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.11per pick	54cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc723…c5aebacked Vieira	58c	34.48$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-3.4wins	-0.34per pick	44cpaid	-73.7%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Vieira vs. Dumontthis page
Ardelean vs. Conejo RuizArdelean won
Carnelossi vs. AlencarAlencar won
Cuamba vs. LeeCuamba won
Delija vs. Cortes-AcostaCortes-Acosta won
Dulgarian vs. del Valledel Valle won
Dumas vs. JohnsonJohnson won
Elekana vs. ChristianElekana won
Garcia vs. OnamaGarcia won
Radtke vs. FrunzaRadtke won
Rowe vs. KoKo won
Wells vs. GorimboWells won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Vieira vs. Dumont

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event