TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x35cc…88c1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
57
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: UFC, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category UFC at 57 out of 100; worst Ukraine at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1776.5%13 W · 4 L+2.7wins+0.16per pick60cpaid+29.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
UFC — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 327: Jirí Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Jirí Procházka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
UFC 325: Fiziev vs. Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Fiziev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Gaethje · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+113.4%+$184.75
UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Machado Garry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+25%+$25
UFC Fight Night: Oezdemir vs. Menifield (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Oezdemir · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+47.1%+$11.76
UFC Fight Night: Perez vs. Almabayev (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Almabayev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+51.5%+$25.76
UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Makhachev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+35.1%+$87.79
UFC 322: Shevchenko vs. Weili (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)backed Shevchenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+81.8%+$65.45
UFC 322: Brady vs. Morales (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Brady · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$200
UFC 322: Dariush vs. Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Saint Denis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+56.3%+$37.69
Bueno Silva vs. Cavalcantibacked Cavalcanti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+47.1%+$47.06
Vieira vs. Dumontbacked Dumont · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$58.11
Rakic vs. Murzakanovbacked Murzakanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$235.66
Volkov vs. Almeidabacked Volkov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$403Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+142.3%+$573
Allen vs. de Ridderbacked de Ridder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$176.92
Fiorot vs. Jasudaviciusbacked Fiorot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$408Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+40.2%+$164.24
Oliveira vs. Gamrotbacked Oliveira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$983Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$1,064.53
All 17 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT1266.7%8 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick74cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Madrid Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Corentin Moutetbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$28.5
Madrid Open: Iga Swiatek vs Ann Libacked Iga Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.85
Tallahassee: Daniil Glinka vs Jack Kennedybacked Jack Kennedy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+25%+$43.5
Miami Open, Qualification: Katie Volynets vs Priscilla Honbacked Katie Volynets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+25%+$20
BNP Paribas Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakinabacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Antalya 3: Maja Chwalinska vs Tamara Zidansekbacked Tamara Zidansek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+48.5%+$65.33
Sinner vs. Minaur: Match O/U 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$34
Sinner vs. Minaur: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+25%+$10
ATP World Tour Finals, Bjorn Borg Group: Alexander Zverev vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+33.3%+$33.33
Sinner vs. Shelton: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+28.2%+$8.74
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Taylor Fritz vs Alex de Minaurbacked Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Rinderknech vs Valentin Vacherotbacked Vacherot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+62.7%+$66.65
All 12 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT5100%5 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+39.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-17.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick73cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 25, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$65.71
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$47.05
All 2 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-31.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SD Huesca win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$49.94
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$34
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Vladimir Putin be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Sep 18, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blonde Broker vs Ashleybacked Ashley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$601Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2024, EDT-100%-$601.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Oct 28, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Vinicius Jr win the Ballon D’Or?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2024, EDT-100%-$73.88
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.