UFC · resolved market

UFC Fight Night: Oezdemir vs. Menifield (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x925a52c86f34728394c5c239f599e11248d71ba24685563929b0871d3f1fbd1c

Rebuilt 21 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Oezdemirof Oezdemir, Menifield
Resolved: Nov 22, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $173,450
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $192,399

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $173,450 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 178 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in UFC
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x2b15…9b08backed Menifield	36c	71,019$25,326 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25,325.62	291	51.9%151 W · 140 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Oezdemir	64c	60,000$38,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21,600	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Oezdemir	66c	14,311$9,447 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,863.72	72	33.3%24 W · 48 L	-5.0wins	-0.07per pick	40cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Menifield	34c	13,742$4,721 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,721.06	63	46%29 W · 34 L	-3.1wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Oezdemir	66c	12,322$8,158 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,164.48	64	51.6%33 W · 31 L	+2.0wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x03ac…4f55backed Oezdemir	65c	10,000$6,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,499.99	267	43.8%117 W · 150 L	+7.6wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdecc…9d36backed Menifield	35c	8,575$3,001 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,001.25	169	51.5%87 W · 82 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Menifield	33c	7,885$2,612 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,612.18	300	39.3%118 W · 182 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc3f…5c6fbacked Menifield	33c	6,049$1,996 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,996.04	48	35.4%17 W · 31 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	-20%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x20cb…719bbacked Oezdemir	66c	5,805$3,831 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,973.55	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	-1.8wins	-0.11per pick	52cpaid	-38.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x596e…7b82backed Oezdemir	65c	5,000$3,250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,749.99	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.14per pick	61cpaid	+11.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20a8…f004backed Oezdemir	67c	4,695$3,138 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,557.14	209	54.1%113 W · 96 L	+3.7wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Menifield	34c	4,500$1,530 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,529.99	371	52.8%196 W · 175 L	+6.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Oezdemir	66c	4,048$2,682 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,365.85	177	52%92 W · 85 L	-5.8wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Menifield	33c	4,000$1,320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,320	170	55.3%94 W · 76 L	+10.6wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+11%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8efe…7b44backed Menifield	35c	2,857$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x50dd…c186backed Menifield	34c	2,732$929 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$928.78	65	33.8%22 W · 43 L	-4.3wins	-0.07per pick	41cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Menifield	33c	2,561$850 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$850.21	358	26%93 W · 265 L	-7.5wins	-0.02per pick	28cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ff5…f136backed Oezdemir	67c	2,051$1,374 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$676.69	59	59.3%35 W · 24 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	58cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4038…a389backed Menifield	1c	2,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	19	47.4%9 W · 10 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-27.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Oezdemir	66c	1,820$1,201 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$618.74	420	42.6%179 W · 241 L	-7.3wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f26…c83bbacked Menifield	33c	1,700$561 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$561	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cf4…20b3backed Oezdemir	66c	1,515$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$515.15	35	34.3%12 W · 23 L	-4.0wins	-0.11per pick	46cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x85d9…717bbacked Oezdemir	66c	1,511$997 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$513.74	31	58.1%18 W · 13 L	+1.5wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x22e6…409fbacked Menifield	34c	1,500$509 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$508.59	35	34.3%12 W · 23 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95b8…47c9backed Menifield	36c	1,389$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	58	43.1%25 W · 33 L	-2.3wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Oezdemir	68c	1,000$682 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$318.01	261	40.6%106 W · 155 L	-9.8wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9363…3608backed Oezdemir	67c	1,000$668 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$332.14	64	62.5%40 W · 24 L	+5.7wins	+0.09per pick	54cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Oezdemir	66c	999.99$660 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$340	367	45.8%168 W · 199 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Oezdemir	65c	965.51$631 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$334.47	332	53.3%177 W · 155 L	+6.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Oezdemir	68c	961$653 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$307.52	185	60%111 W · 74 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	60cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Menifield	33c	855$282 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$282.15	89	40.4%36 W · 53 L	+4.9wins	+0.06per pick	35cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb652…2db4backed Oezdemir	66c	845.09$558 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$287.33	29	65.5%19 W · 10 L	+1.1wins	+0.04per pick	62cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Oezdemir	67c	821$550 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$270.93	309	64.7%200 W · 109 L	+24.5wins	+0.08per pick	57cpaid	+16.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Menifield	27c	810.1$216 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$216	145	30.3%44 W · 101 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-38.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x209e…8bb4backed Menifield	33c	769.94$254 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$254.08	54	46.3%25 W · 29 L	-2.7wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-17%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7811…6e14backed Oezdemir	66c	760$502 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$258.4	32	68.8%22 W · 10 L	+3.7wins	+0.12per pick	57cpaid	+21.3%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3505…f7a3backed Oezdemir	66c	757.58$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$257.58	67	56.7%38 W · 29 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	59cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Oezdemir	65c	700$455 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$245	238	50.4%120 W · 118 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3c82…b56bbacked Oezdemir	66c	637.21$421 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$216.65	37	48.6%18 W · 19 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0ad…683fbacked Oezdemir	67c	618.57$417 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$201.99	109	61.5%67 W · 42 L	+8.2wins	+0.08per pick	54cpaid	+15.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Oezdemir	67c	599.98$402 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$197.99	171	58.5%100 W · 71 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	59cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9ce…691abacked Oezdemir	66c	597.86$394 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$204.21	178	50%89 W · 89 L	+3.9wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Oezdemir	68c	588.66$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$188.37	80	58.8%47 W · 33 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	61cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9945…1ef5backed Menifield	5c	571.43$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	50	20%10 W · 40 L	-5.6wins	-0.11per pick	31cpaid	-48.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2be4…01adbacked Oezdemir	66c	514.23$341 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$173.42	13	69.2%9 W · 4 L	+0.6wins	+0.04per pick	65cpaid	-3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf693…202fbacked Oezdemir	68c	512.99$350 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$162.99	28	60.7%17 W · 11 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	61cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1bdf…64c3backed Menifield	34c	500$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170	60	60%36 W · 24 L	+3.2wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Menifield	31c	499.96$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$154.99	235	37%87 W · 148 L	-3.8wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Oezdemir	66c	450$297 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$153	399	59.6%238 W · 161 L	+6.1wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf707…e8cebacked Menifield	35c	400$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-1.6wins	-0.23per pick	37cpaid	-74.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6dd6…f5f4backed Oezdemir	67c	400$266 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$134	539	56.6%305 W · 234 L	-2.1wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Menifield	8c	397$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.97	201	39.8%80 W · 121 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcac4…bf62backed Oezdemir	68c	389.71$265 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$124.71	15	66.7%10 W · 5 L	+0.6wins	+0.04per pick	62cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Oezdemir	65c	384$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$134.4	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-22%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77a3…0e3fbacked Oezdemir	69c	362.32$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112.32	35	71.4%25 W · 10 L	+6.3wins	+0.18per pick	54cpaid	+38.6%equal weight	62+0.10 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Oezdemir	69c	347.83$240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$107.83	87	59.8%52 W · 35 L	+2.2wins	+0.03per pick	57cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb307…be4abacked Menifield	33c	303.03$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	-2.1wins	-0.16per pick	32cpaid	-46.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x376d…9b48backed Menifield	35c	300$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.26per pick	26cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd5fc…d802backed Menifield	35c	300$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafe8…5f44backed Menifield	35c	300$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Menifield	35c	285.71$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	355	39.4%140 W · 215 L	-19.1wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2889…fc69backed Menifield	31c	276.7$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.78	75	41.3%31 W · 44 L	-2.6wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a2d…d491backed Menifield	36c	275.54$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	47	53.2%25 W · 22 L	+3.2wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9083…622ebacked Oezdemir	67c	223.88$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.88	8	87.5%7 W · 1 L	+2.0wins	+0.25per pick	62cpaid	+36.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x012c…478ebacked Oezdemir	68c	220.59$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.59	33	57.6%19 W · 14 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Oezdemir	69c	200$138 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.4	88	40.9%36 W · 52 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x30ef…70dfbacked Menifield	31c	199.71$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.91	109	28.4%31 W · 78 L	-4.3wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f84…7650backed Oezdemir	68c	176.47$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.47	61	55.7%34 W · 27 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	58cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf65d…e573backed Oezdemir	66c	151.52$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.52	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	63cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fab…3c98backed Oezdemir	66c	150$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51	130	59.2%77 W · 53 L	+5.5wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x912a…357bbacked Oezdemir	67c	150$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.5	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.33per pick	67cpaid	+49.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x004f…9612backed Menifield	35c	150$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.5	37	43.2%16 W · 21 L	-2.0wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xedc7…4fafbacked Menifield	33c	150$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.5	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.33per pick	33cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca32…8d76backed Oezdemir	67c	150$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.5	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+1.3wins	+0.19per pick	53cpaid	+51.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9840…8b6dbacked Oezdemir	66c	150$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51	72	58.3%42 W · 30 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	58cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee44…0082backed Oezdemir	67c	149.25$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.25	45	44.4%20 W · 25 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac1e…ea39backed Menifield	34c	147.06$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	324	31.8%103 W · 221 L	-9.6wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xac4c…271abacked Menifield	34c	147.06$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.15per pick	35cpaid	-44.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f99…db70backed Menifield	34c	147.06$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	33cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x75ce…0a6fbacked Menifield	34c	147.06$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	19	21.1%4 W · 15 L	-2.1wins	-0.11per pick	32cpaid	-55.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x73a6…8924backed Oezdemir	68c	147.06$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.06	9	88.9%8 W · 1 L	+2.7wins	+0.30per pick	58cpaid	+54.6%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbe86…ec62backed Oezdemir	68c	147.06$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.06	83	54.2%45 W · 38 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e2d…4323backed Oezdemir	68c	147.06$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.06	64	51.6%33 W · 31 L	-4.3wins	-0.07per pick	58cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcb34…59eabacked Menifield	34c	147.05$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	130	44.6%58 W · 72 L	+2.3wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b4e…2c1fbacked Oezdemir	69c	144.93$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.93	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+0.6wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe09a…6679backed Menifield	35c	144.29$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.5wins	-0.30per pick	50cpaid	-67.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc7bf…b567backed Menifield	35c	143.71$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	-2.2wins	-0.16per pick	37cpaid	-31.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x11c8…e0a2backed Oezdemir	66c	143.58$95 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.82	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.17per pick	49cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a4d…caa6backed Menifield	35c	142.86$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-2.9wins	-0.42per pick	56cpaid	-77.7%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5dfe…3173backed Menifield	35c	142.86$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.9wins	-0.11per pick	49cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0cbb…f8a3backed Oezdemir	68c	139.71$95 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.71	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+1.4wins	+0.11per pick	51cpaid	+21.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b26…b3f6backed Menifield	35c	135$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.25	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+0.8wins	+0.11per pick	32cpaid	+40.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x05e1…6f5ebacked Oezdemir	65c	122.29$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.8	63	34.9%22 W · 41 L	-3.8wins	-0.06per pick	41cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2bc7…e411backed Menifield	32c	119.69$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.9	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	59cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df4…9e8fbacked Oezdemir	66c	113.64$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.64	25	52%13 W · 12 L	+1.0wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb45…1a6bbacked Oezdemir	66c	113.64$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.64	13	76.9%10 W · 3 L	+2.5wins	+0.19per pick	58cpaid	+39.3%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xda37…fa9ebacked Oezdemir	66c	109.44$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.21	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.08per pick	58cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc82f…a08bbacked Oezdemir	67c	102.15$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.48	28	71.4%20 W · 8 L	+3.0wins	+0.11per pick	61cpaid	+15.8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x02dc…ef17backed Oezdemir	67c	101.49$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.49	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	60cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

UFC Fight Night: Oezdemir vs. Menifield (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)this page
Fight to Go the Distance?No won
O/U 0.5 RoundsUnder won
Will Volkan Oezdemir win by KO or TKO?Yes won
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?Yes won
Will the fight be won by submission?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

UFC Fight Night: Oezdemir vs. Menifield (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event