TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x73a6…8924

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
120
Categories scored
24
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: UFC, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category UFC at 59 out of 100; worst Us Politics at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved Nov 28, 2025, EST2718.5%5 W · 22 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick20cpaid+13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Detroit record the first snowfall?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+120.9%+$30.22
Will the highest temperature in London be between 53-54°F on November 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in London be 50°F or higher on November 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 45-46°F on November 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will the highest temperature in London be between 46-47°F on November 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 49-50°F on November 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will the highest temperature in London be between 45-46°F on November 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+378.1%+$151.22
Will the highest temperature in London be between 39-40°F on November 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will the highest temperature in London be between 43-44°F on November 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+408.2%+$204.09
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 51-52°F on November 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 49-50°F on November 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$45
Will the highest temperature in London be between 41-42°F on November 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Will the highest temperature in London be between 39-40°F on November 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 47-48°F on November 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will the highest temperature in London be between 42-43°F on November 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 43-44°F on November 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on November 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on November 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on November 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will the highest temperature in London be between 58-59°F on November 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will the highest temperature in London be between 56-57°F on November 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+927.9%+$278.38
Will the highest temperature in London be between 54-55°F on November 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will the highest temperature in London be between 64-65°F on November 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+720.2%+$180.06
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 49-50°F on November 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 47-48°F on November 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST1855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Leeds United vs. Aston Villa end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Leeds United win on 2025-11-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+82.2%+$62.39
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-11-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+127.3%+$127.27
Will Manchester City vs. Liverpool end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$22.4
Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$54.11
Will Liverpool win on 2025-11-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+31.6%+$44.27
Will Brentford win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$378Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+25%+$94.74
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-11-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$134.44
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-11-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+66.7%+$30.3
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+134.6%+$34.38
Spread: Aston Villa (-0.5)backed Aston Villa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+127.3%+$15.96
Aston Villa vs. Bournemouth: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$26.15
Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+198.1%+$27.84
Spread: Arsenal (-1.5)backed Sunderland AFC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+41.9%+$10.47
Will Everton win on 2025-11-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$16.27
Will Tottenham vs. Manchester United end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Tottenham win on 2025-11-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+48.4%+$6.97
All 18 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.7wins+0.30per pick58cpaid+54.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
UFC — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Machado Garry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+40.8%+$40.85
UFC Fight Night: Oezdemir vs. Menifield (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Oezdemir · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+47.1%+$47.06
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Orolbai (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Orolbai · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+56.3%+$56.25
UFC Fight Night: Cortes-Acosta vs. Gaziev (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Cortes-Acosta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+72.4%+$72.41
UFC Fight Night: Horiguchi vs. Ulanbekov (Flyweight, Prelims)backed Horiguchi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+194.1%+$194.12
UFC Fight Night: Perez vs. Almabayev (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Almabayev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+56.3%+$56.25
UFC Fight Night: Topuria vs. Almakhan (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Topuria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+75.4%+$75.44
UFC Fight Night: Naurdiev vs. Loder (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Loder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$100
UFC Fight Night: Freeman vs. Bujlo (Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Freeman · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+49.3%+$49.25
All 9 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.28per pick55cpaid+58.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+68.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+35%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-43.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
AI — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick46cpaid-64%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 17, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-18.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-65.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick58cpaid-66.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+121%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-42.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 8, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-29.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jacksonville State vs. UTEPbacked Jacksonville State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+40.8%+$16.34
Bowling vs. Eastern Michiganbacked Bowling · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$29.74
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-23.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atalanta vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$14.25
Will AC Milan win on 2025-11-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+53.2%+$63.2
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+181.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+181.9%+$63.66
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+69.5%+$24.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Israel allow independent journalists into Gaza by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+52.2%+$52.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Nov 8, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs MOUZ (BO3)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$70
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lakers vs. Hawksbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.