Serie A · resolved market
Atalanta vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf91f06803df7715b81b32abc7962c90cefaaa1ea90b9d25ab47e2e4d18b4c4a7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,073
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,024
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,073 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3cb6…15cdbacked Over | 57c | 4,769$2,718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,051.38 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 45c | 2,178$976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976.48 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…420bbacked Over | 55c | 1,268$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.92 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 43c | 1,221$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.92 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 42c | 1,044$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.83 | 333 | 57.4%191 W · 142 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Under | 45c | 1,039$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.55 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 44c | 915.6$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.83 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Under | 42c | 499.99$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 249 | 39.4%98 W · 151 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d75…8e95backed Under | 42c | 386.51$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.51 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68d6…cfb9backed Over | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6896…3682backed Over | 55c | 308.49$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.18 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.32per pick | 47cpaid | -74%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 45c | 282$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.07 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Under | 45c | 249.3$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.19 | 246 | 57.3%141 W · 105 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8208…1742backed Under | 51c | 204.62$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0efd…a51cbacked Over | 67c | 150.28$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.28 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +31%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x553b…f71cbacked Under | 42c | 150$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +7.1wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe930…b44dbacked Under | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99d4…bbeebacked Under | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked Under | 30c | 104.77$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.62 | 102 | 60.8%62 W · 40 L | +8.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb545…6e0abacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa798…492ebacked Over | 48c | 95.65$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +107.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6328…1bf3backed Over | 63c | 95.24$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.24 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Over | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Over | 58c | 86.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed Over | 55c | 73.78$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.2 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94a4…7bc9backed Over | 48c | 68.75$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Under | 59c | 67.23$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | -7.5wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x47a9…571cbacked Over | 42c | 66.67$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1af…f6c1backed Over | 42c | 61.9$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +84.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd200…ec52backed Over | 68c | 48.53$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0afb…74fabacked Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb7d…5b5abacked Over | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +77.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b2…c24ebacked Over | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 80 | 65%52 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26ab…41c1backed Over | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +5.4wins | +0.26per pick | 46cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x73a6…8924backed Under | 46c | 31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa9…5797backed Over | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16c8…2f76backed Over | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f08…8909backed Over | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Under | 41c | 25.42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf672…c3c4backed Over | 58c | 20.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.69 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Atalanta vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 2.5this page
- Atalanta vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Spread: Atalanta (-1.5)US Sassuolo Calcio won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.