TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Patriots vs. Buccaneers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Patriotsof Patriots, Buccaneers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$795,645
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$877,988

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $795,645 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 540 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfd2b…8e50backed Patriots42c56,328$23,394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,934.0510026%26 W · 74 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x96e1…50aabacked Buccaneers45c38,253$17,205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,205.343748.6%18 W · 19 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x900c…1d7abacked Buccaneers58c35,593$20,507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,507.133553.4%179 W · 156 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Patriots47c32,592$15,174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,418.6120755.1%114 W · 93 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Buccaneers1c29,000$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2907733.8%26 W · 51 L-5.6wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-26.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed Buccaneers24c27,462$6,561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,561.2341947.3%198 W · 221 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3850…c4b4backed Patriots43c25,000$10,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,249.998946.1%41 W · 48 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+15.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ce2…e868backed Buccaneers57c21,000$11,970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,9701968.4%13 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x090a…01b4backed Patriots43c16,974$7,299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,675.4116836.9%62 W · 106 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Buccaneers60c16,412$9,928 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,928.4830043.7%131 W · 169 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04b9…cdaabacked Buccaneers58c15,000$8,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,699.9811649.1%57 W · 59 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed Patriots43c15,000$6,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,549.9519645.4%89 W · 107 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Buccaneers59c14,309$8,424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,423.9861148.6%297 W · 314 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Buccaneers57c14,000$7,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,979.9883147.8%397 W · 434 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Patriots41c13,963$5,725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,238.3886547.9%414 W · 451 L-6.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29bf…25b0backed Patriots59c13,400$7,906 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,4943458.8%20 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6c0…722ebacked Patriots80c12,814$10,251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,562.84671.7%33 W · 13 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Buccaneers44c11,993$5,264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,263.5747738.6%184 W · 293 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6ce…0772backed Buccaneers57c11,657$6,670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,669.64365.1%28 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick68cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae0f…f647backed Patriots43c11,618$4,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,657.5711252.7%59 W · 53 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+18.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8aec…1158backed Buccaneers59c10,175$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,0001353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8058…d023backed Buccaneers57c10,170$5,797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,796.623268.8%22 W · 10 L+5.0wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+27.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe52f…e6b0backed Buccaneers64c9,399$6,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,012.5633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.29per pick62cpaid-18.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Buccaneers58c9,017$5,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,229.5825744.4%114 W · 143 L+0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Buccaneers57c8,968$5,097 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,096.531,19649.9%597 W · 599 L+1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Patriots57c8,805$4,997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,807.8719235.4%68 W · 124 L-0.6wins0.00per pick36cpaid-35%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Buccaneers18c8,464$1,517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,516.9120026%52 W · 148 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-29.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked Buccaneers58c8,238$4,778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,778.162552%13 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa117…a311backed Buccaneers57c8,191$4,669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,669.141861.1%11 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Patriots43c8,000$3,430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,569.9726547.2%125 W · 140 L+10.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7320…28b4backed Patriots42c8,000$3,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,639.963351.5%17 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Patriots42c7,500$3,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,35035848.6%174 W · 184 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6630…ba2cbacked Patriots44c7,164$3,152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,012.021100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Buccaneers38c7,000$2,660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,66010333%34 W · 69 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-18.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01b4…372ebacked Buccaneers1c6,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604515.6%7 W · 38 L+6.1wins+0.13per pick2cpaid+931.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Buccaneers58c5,500$3,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,189.9924053.8%129 W · 111 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Buccaneers40c5,235$2,104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1048532.9%28 W · 57 L-5.7wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-30.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Buccaneers58c5,061$2,940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,940.2154451.7%281 W · 263 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Buccaneers39c4,961$1,934 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,933.5150242.4%213 W · 289 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Buccaneers1c4,532$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.3164747.3%306 W · 341 L+42.5wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+56.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3c82…e0cbbacked Buccaneers33c4,386$1,458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,457.6214147.5%67 W · 74 L+7.7wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-5.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Patriots43c4,177$1,782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,3957248.6%35 W · 37 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a45…dd1dbacked Patriots36c4,114$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,614.421926.3%5 W · 14 L-4.3wins-0.23per pick49cpaid-46.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xff6f…0141backed Patriots75c4,019$3,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$994.62450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f7a…db40backed Patriots46c4,000$1,830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,17018044.4%80 W · 100 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9249…4f16backed Buccaneers71c3,738$2,659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,658.9917647.7%84 W · 92 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Buccaneers57c3,721$2,121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,120.8612744.9%57 W · 70 L-8.8wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-14.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x205b…dd3cbacked Buccaneers58c3,454$2,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,002.9614148.2%68 W · 73 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Buccaneers46c3,434$1,565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,564.6131848.1%153 W · 165 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Buccaneers68c3,297$2,255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,254.5727348.7%133 W · 140 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe965…6559backed Patriots73c3,119$2,277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$842.086149.2%30 W · 31 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b8c…9390backed Patriots42c3,000$1,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7407558.7%44 W · 31 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+16.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked Buccaneers57c3,000$1,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,71024456.6%138 W · 106 L+17.3wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbddd…3d9abacked Patriots67c2,956$1,988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$968.151266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Patriots41c2,838$1,164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,674.4537350.9%190 W · 183 L+12.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Patriots58c2,529$1,478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,051.4331056.8%176 W · 134 L+16.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x821d…0a01backed Patriots44c2,500$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4003040%12 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb256…b6dfbacked Patriots43c2,490$1,063 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,426.888659.3%51 W · 35 L+13.5wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+39%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xc52a…41abbacked Buccaneers55c2,393$1,316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,316475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+75.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2800…2081backed Patriots43c2,324$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,324.416752.2%35 W · 32 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4d0…91acbacked Patriots42c2,270$943 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,327.4412446.8%58 W · 66 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked Patriots42c2,205$926 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,279.2241248.5%200 W · 212 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc31…4a51backed Buccaneers57c2,193$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2503256.3%18 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe5f…d795backed Patriots41c2,000$820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,18011452.6%60 W · 54 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc701…f932backed Buccaneers43c2,000$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8604134.1%14 W · 27 L-5.1wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-35.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd039…2532backed Patriots43c2,000$860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1407732.5%25 W · 52 L-5.9wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-21.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6392…0dc7backed Buccaneers57c2,000$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,140944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5132…150dbacked Buccaneers57c2,000$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,140250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdccd…a16bbacked Patriots43c2,000$860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,139.971100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Patriots25c1,962$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,461.5416344.8%73 W · 90 L+9.0wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Buccaneers57c1,960$1,117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,117.1532050.9%163 W · 157 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked Patriots45c1,900$857 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,04314438.9%56 W · 88 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked Patriots73c1,870$1,374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.25457.4%31 W · 23 L+4.1wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+20.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf327…34dbbacked Buccaneers58c1,800$1,044 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0442360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb40…a284backed Patriots42c1,800$756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,044.2114443.8%63 W · 81 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Patriots43c1,787$768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,018.5953348.4%258 W · 275 L+1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20da…e704backed Patriots28c1,786$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,285.712821.4%6 W · 22 L0.0wins0.00per pick22cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Patriots45c1,785$808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$976.8322950.2%115 W · 114 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe88e…a7d4backed Buccaneers42c1,774$743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$742.958349.4%41 W · 42 L-5.0wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe504…600ebacked Buccaneers15c1,759$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.922343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf6d…9c5cbacked Patriots42c1,698$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$977.842540%10 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+23.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9faf…778cbacked Buccaneers59c1,695$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0500…6bfbbacked Patriots67c1,695$1,137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$557.553447.1%16 W · 18 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Buccaneers1c1,676$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.984311.6%7 W · 424 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-82.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76fc…e0bdbacked Buccaneers47c1,650$769 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$769.55050%25 W · 25 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+22.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Buccaneers57c1,633$934 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$934.149855.1%54 W · 44 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Buccaneers31c1,617$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.0256852.3%297 W · 271 L+26.3wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b51…e165backed Buccaneers58c1,500$870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87030446.7%142 W · 162 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa815…a3c3backed Patriots77c1,500$1,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3453464.7%22 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick65cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1a2…372abacked Buccaneers57c1,500$855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8553961.5%24 W · 15 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1fce…2229backed Buccaneers48c1,500$725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$724.951855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9def…d1a5backed Patriots43c1,470$632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$837.914945.6%68 W · 81 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dcf…146ebacked Buccaneers26c1,416$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.576540%26 W · 39 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-21.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x400f…e712backed Patriots50c1,412$706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$706.171172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.6wins+0.24per pick49cpaid+56.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Patriots58c1,401$819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582.3419551.3%100 W · 95 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7546…3a91backed Buccaneers27c1,385$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3705230.8%16 W · 36 L-6.2wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-32.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc7e2…eb4abacked Buccaneers57c1,364$777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$777.48560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x559f…cd83backed Patriots44c1,364$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$763.64540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Buccaneers57c1,339$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$760.431854.7%174 W · 144 L+16.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x48e1…5127backed Patriots43c1,291$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$735.75100%5 W · 0 L+3.0wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+164.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.